Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
2%chance
Install
How many times will Donald Trump visit Trump Bedminster in Oct 2026?
The odds
0.03median
-0.504.50
Median 0.03Middle half -0.24 – 0.29
How the odds have moved
Median: 0.04 on Oct 20, 0.03 now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 95% | ▲ 1 | 96¢ | 97¢ | $1.03 | 13.8K | |
| 1 | 3% | ▼ 2 | 3¢ | 4¢ | $25.00 | 6.4K |
| 2 | <1% | 1¢ | $100.00 | 13.1K | ||
| 3 | <1% | 1¢ | $100.00 | 12.3K | ||
| 4 | <1% | 1¢ | $100.00 | 4.8K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Trump Bedminster
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Natalie Harp exposed as she goes on posting spree while Donald Trump is busy at rallyIt seems aide Natalie Harp was handling Donald Trump's social media while the president delivered remarks at a Kansas rally. While Trump addressed the crowd in Kansas, appearing alongside Republican Sen. Roger Marshall to discuss… -
Craig Carton gets the ‘heebie-jeebies’ from sports betting ads on WFANCraig Carton is a gambling addict hosting a show on a sports radio station that takes full advantage of the country’s sports betting boom. Carton doesn’t hide his addiction while co-hosting his WFAN afternoon show with Evan Roberts, often…
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Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.