MVP Winner? (2026-27 season)

Kalshi Sports › NFL Closes Feb 12, 2028 · $22.6K today · $1.7M traded · $1.4M at stake · prices read 43 min ago

The odds

30%Josh Allen
  • Josh Allen30%▲ 1
  • Brock Purdy28%▲ 5
  • Patrick Mahomes7%
  • Joe Burrow5%▼ 1
  • Drake Maye5%▼ 1
  • Jordan Love4%▲ 2
  • Trevor Lawrence4%▼ 1
  • Jared Goff3%
  • Bryce Young3%▲ 1
  • Caleb Williams2%
  • Lamar Jackson1%▼ 1
  • CJ Stroud1%
37 more
  • Bijan Robinson1%
  • Jahmyr Gibbs1%
  • Kenneth Walker1%
  • Ashton Jeanty<1%
  • Jayden Daniels<1%
  • Justin Herbert<1%
  • Jalen Hurts<1%
  • Baker Mayfield<1%
  • Dak Prescott<1%▼ 1
  • Matthew Stafford<1%
  • Kyler Murray<1%
  • Tua Tagovailoa<1%
  • Sam Darnold<1%
  • Jonathan Taylor<1%
  • Bo Nix<1%
  • Michael Penix Jr<1%
  • Aaron Rodgers<1%
  • JJ McCarthy<1%
  • Justin Jefferson<1%
  • Ja'Marr Chase<1%
  • Jaxon Smith-Njigba<1%
  • Saquon Barkley<1%
  • Cam Ward<1%
  • Puka Nacua<1%
  • Christian McCaffrey<1%
  • Myles Garrett<1%
  • Micah Parsons<1%
  • Jaxson Dart<1%
  • Tyler Shough<1%
  • A.J. Brown<1%
  • Josh Jacobs<1%
  • CeeDee Lamb<1%
  • Daniel Jones<1%
  • Tie/Co-Winners<1%
  • Derrick Henry<1%
  • Deshaun Watson<1%
  • Kirk Cousins<1%

How the odds have moved

Josh Allen: 30% on Oct 20, 30% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Contracts
Josh Allen 30% ▲ 1 30¢ 32¢ $3.13 1.5M
Brock Purdy 28% ▲ 5 28¢ 29¢ $3.45 1.6M
Patrick Mahomes 7% 7¢ 8¢ $12.50 1.3M
Joe Burrow 5% ▼ 1 5¢ 6¢ $16.67 1.5M
Drake Maye 5% ▼ 1 5¢ 6¢ $16.67 1.6M
Jordan Love 4% ▲ 2 4¢ 5¢ $20.00 1.7M
Trevor Lawrence 4% ▼ 1 4¢ 5¢ $20.00 1.2M
Jared Goff 3% 3¢ 4¢ $25.00 1.9M
Bryce Young 3% ▲ 1 3¢ 4¢ $25.00 1.9M
Caleb Williams 2% 2¢ 3¢ $33.33 1.6M
Lamar Jackson 1% ▼ 1 1¢ 2¢ $50.00 1.1M
CJ Stroud 1% 1¢ 2¢ $50.00 1.2M
Bijan Robinson 1% 1¢ 2¢ $50.00 1.4M
Jahmyr Gibbs 1% 1¢ 2¢ $50.00 1.5M
Kenneth Walker 1% 1¢ 2¢ $50.00 1.8M
Ashton Jeanty <1% 1¢ $100.00 20.6K
Jayden Daniels <1% 1¢ $100.00 201.2K
Justin Herbert <1% 1¢ $100.00 850.0K
Jalen Hurts <1% 1¢ $100.00 777.2K
Baker Mayfield <1% 1¢ $100.00 334.0K
Dak Prescott <1% ▼ 1 1¢ $100.00 1.6M
Matthew Stafford <1% 1¢ $100.00 937.7K
Kyler Murray <1% 1¢ $100.00 1.2M
Tua Tagovailoa <1% 1¢ $100.00 16.0K
Sam Darnold <1% 1¢ $100.00 265.2K
Jonathan Taylor <1% 1¢ $100.00 30.7K
Bo Nix <1% 1¢ $100.00 827.2K
Michael Penix Jr <1% 1¢ $100.00 250.9K
Aaron Rodgers <1% 1¢ $100.00 253.4K
JJ McCarthy <1% 1¢ $100.00 38.5K
Justin Jefferson <1% 1¢ $100.00 23.8K
Ja'Marr Chase <1% 1¢ $100.00 11.2K
Jaxon Smith-Njigba <1% 1¢ $100.00 1.2M
Saquon Barkley <1% 1¢ $100.00 49.4K
Cam Ward <1% 1¢ $100.00 41.3K
Puka Nacua <1% 1¢ $100.00 14.3K
Christian McCaffrey <1% 1¢ $100.00 64.0K
Myles Garrett <1% 1¢ $100.00 71.5K
Micah Parsons <1% 1¢ $100.00 1.3K
Jaxson Dart <1% 1¢ $100.00 788.5K
Tyler Shough <1% 1¢ $100.00 2.6M
A.J. Brown <1% 1¢ $100.00 3.5K
Josh Jacobs <1% 1¢ $100.00 4.7K
CeeDee Lamb <1% 1¢ $100.00 7.2K
Daniel Jones <1% 1¢ $100.00 324.4K
Tie/Co-Winners <1% 1¢ $100.00 17.6K
Derrick Henry <1% 1¢ $100.00 40.8K
Deshaun Watson <1% 1¢ $100.00 17.6K
Kirk Cousins <1% 1¢ $100.00 31.1K

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The same question on Polymarket

Pro Football: 2026 MVP Winner

29%Josh Allen
  • Josh Allen29%▼ 1
  • Brock Purdy28%▲ 4
  • Patrick Mahomes9%
  • Jordan Love6%▲ 4
24 more
  • Joe Burrow6%
  • Trevor Lawrence4%▼ 2
  • Jared Goff4%
  • Caleb Williams3%
  • Drake Maye3%
  • Jahmyr Gibbs1%
  • Jaxson Smith-Njigba1%
  • Dak Prescott1%▼ 1
  • Justin Herbert1%
  • Lamar Jackson1%▼ 2
  • Jalen Hurts<1%
  • Baker Mayfield<1%
  • Matthew Stafford<1%▼ 1
  • Derrick Henry<1%
  • Bo Nix<1%
  • Bijan Robinson<1%
  • Saquon Barkley<1%
  • Justin Jefferson<1%
  • Jaxson Dart<1%
  • Puka Nacua<1%
  • De'Von Achane<1%
  • Myles Garrett<1%
  • Christian McCaffrey<1%
  • Sam Darnold<1%
PolymarketCloses Feb 28, 2027 · $10.5K today · $1.3M traded

Shown side by side, never averaged: each venue's rules decide its own market.

The news: MVP, Josh Allen, Brock Purdy

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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

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