PolymarketSports › NFLCloses Feb 28, 2027 · $12.7K today · $1.3M traded · $145K at stake · prices read 11 min ago
The odds
34%Josh Allen
Josh Allen34%▲ 7
Brock Purdy16%▲ 3
Joe Burrow13%▲ 6
Jordan Love5%
Drake Maye5%▲ 2
Patrick Mahomes4%▼ 4
Caleb Williams4%▲ 1
Jared Goff3%
Justin Herbert3%▲ 2
Trevor Lawrence2%
Lamar Jackson2%
Dak Prescott1%▲ 1
16 more
Jahmyr Gibbs1%▲ 1
Matthew Stafford1%
Derrick Henry1%▲ 1
Jaxson Smith-Njigba1%▲ 1
Bo Nix1%▲ 1
Jalen Hurts1%▲ 1
Christian McCaffrey1%
Bijan Robinson<1%
Jaxson Dart<1%
Baker Mayfield<1%
De'Von Achane<1%
Saquon Barkley<1%
Sam Darnold<1%
Justin Jefferson<1%
Myles Garrett<1%
Puka Nacua<1%
How the odds have moved
Josh Allen: 30% on Oct 20, 34% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Polymarket. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Why it moved
Oct 26, 8 PM ETJosh Allen: 29% → 34%
No headline about it in the hours around this move.
The biggest swings over the chart's period, each with the headlines about the market's subject published in the hours before it. News and odds moving together is not proof one caused the other.
Every outcome
Outcome
Chance
Day
Bid
Ask
Pays
Traded
Josh Allen
34%
▲ 7
34¢
36¢
$2.78
$64.3K
Brock Purdy
16%
▲ 3
16¢
17¢
$5.78
$46.1K
Joe Burrow
13%
▲ 6
13¢
15¢
$6.67
$42.3K
Jordan Love
5%
4¢
7¢
$14.93
$25.4K
Drake Maye
5%
▲ 2
3¢
6¢
$15.63
$38K
Patrick Mahomes
4%
▼ 4
2¢
7¢
$13.89
$37.8K
Caleb Williams
4%
▲ 1
4¢
4¢
$22.73
$14K
Jared Goff
3%
3¢
4¢
$25.64
$31.1K
Justin Herbert
3%
▲ 2
1¢
4¢
$23.81
$85.9K
Trevor Lawrence
2%
2¢
3¢
$40.00
$38.4K
Lamar Jackson
2%
1¢
2¢
$43.48
$69K
Dak Prescott
1%
▲ 1
1¢
2¢
$45.45
$45.3K
Jahmyr Gibbs
1%
▲ 1
0¢
3¢
$38.46
$25.1K
Matthew Stafford
1%
0¢
3¢
$40.00
$28.3K
Derrick Henry
1%
▲ 1
0¢
2¢
$45.45
$25.8K
Jaxson Smith-Njigba
1%
▲ 1
0¢
2¢
$45.45
$33.5K
Bo Nix
1%
▲ 1
1¢
1¢
$76.92
$25.1K
Jalen Hurts
1%
▲ 1
1¢
2¢
$62.50
$45.1K
Christian McCaffrey
1%
2¢
$47.62
$25.7K
Bijan Robinson
<1%
0¢
0¢
$20.4K
Jaxson Dart
<1%
0¢
0¢
$48.5K
Baker Mayfield
<1%
0¢
0¢
$139K
De'Von Achane
<1%
0¢
$19.7K
Saquon Barkley
<1%
0¢
$144K
Sam Darnold
<1%
0¢
$21.6K
Justin Jefferson
<1%
0¢
$22.5K
Myles Garrett
<1%
0¢
$23.4K
Puka Nacua
<1%
0¢
$21.3K
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
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Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions
