Will Trump approve a new city on federal land?

Kalshi Politics › Trump administration Closes Jan 20, 2029 · $2K traded · $751 at stake · prices read 20 min ago

The odds

35%Before Jan 20, 2029
  • Before Jan 1, 202816%
  • Before Jan 20, 202935%▼ 1

How the odds have moved

Before Jan 1, 2028: 16% on Oct 20, 16% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Contracts
Before Jan 1, 2028 16% 11¢ 20¢ $5.00
Before Jan 20, 2029 35% ▼ 1 33¢ 37¢ $2.70 5.7K

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Trump

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  • President Trump, first lady Melania Trump cast early voting ballotsFox News · 22 h agoPresident Donald Trump and first lady Melania Trump deliver remarks after casting their early voting ballots in West Palm Beach, Fla. President Trump, first lady Melania Trump cast early voting ballots President Donald Trump and first lady…
  • President Trump and first lady Melania Trump vote early in West Palm BeachNew York Post · 20 h agoA hoarse-sounding President Trump and first lady Melania Trump voted early in West Palm Beach on Saturday – as Trump vowed to keep up the vigorous campaign schedule A hoarse-sounding President Trump cast his ballot alongside first lady…
  • Obama MOCKS Trump's White House renovationsFox News · 5 h agoFormer President Barack Obama mocked President Donald Trump's White House renovations during a campaign rally for Abdul El-Sayed in Michigan. Obama MOCKS Trump's White House renovations Former President Barack Obama mocked President Donald…
  • 2026 Midterm Elections: Trump, Obama Rally MichiganFox News · 6 h agoPresident Donald Trump is set to campaign in Michigan as Democrats deploy Barack Obama and Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez while a Justice Department lawsuit threatens to complicate the closely watched Alaska Senate race. President Donald Trump…
  • Tracking Trump: Trump rolls back Canada tariffs; Melania Trump’s peace deal; Hegseth bans insider trading; and moreThe Washington Post · 46 h agoBreaking news and analysis on politics, business, world, national news, entertainment and more. In-depth DC, Virginia, Maryland news coverage including traffic, weather, crime, education, restaurant reviews and more. Trump rolled back some…
  • Trump RIPS Obama: Iran thought he was a SUCKER!Fox News · 2 h agoPresident Donald Trump sharply criticized Barack Obama's previous JCPOA deal with Iran, calling it the 'worst and dumbest deal' he has ever seen. Trump RIPS Obama: Iran thought he was a SUCKER! President Donald Trump sharply criticized…
  • Trump rallies Republicans in Georgia ahead of midtermsFox News · 3 h agoFox News' Madison Scarpino reports from Perry, Georgia, where Trump rallies supporters for Republican candidates. Trump rallies Republicans in Georgia ahead of midterms Fox News' Madison Scarpino reports from Perry, Georgia, where Trump…
  • Will Trump’s midterm blitz boost turnout?Fox News · 24 h agoPaul Gigot interviews pollster Mark Penn on ‘The Journal Editorial Report.' Will Trump’s midterm blitz boost turnout? Paul Gigot interviews pollster Mark Penn on ‘The Journal Editorial Report.'
  • Trump says he WARNED Macron: 'You are DESTROYING France'Fox News · 83 min agoPresident Donald Trump discusses immigration in Europe during an appearance on 'Sunday Morning Futures,' criticizing policies in France, Spain and Italy and recalling a warning he says he delivered to French President Emmanuel Macron…
  • WATCH LIVE: Trump delivers remarks at rally in MichiganFox News · 2 h agoPresident Trump delivers remarks at a rally in Port Huron, Michigan ahead of midterms. WATCH LIVE: Trump delivers remarks at rally in Michigan President Trump delivers remarks at a rally in Port Huron, Michigan ahead of midterms.
  • Trump weighs pardons after Slotkin's warning to young conservativesFox News · 7 h agoHeritage Foundation senior fellow Zack Smith discusses potential pardons for Trump administration staffers amid Sen. Elissa Slotkin’s warning to young conservatives. Trump weighs pardons after Slotkin's warning to young conservatives…
  • Michael Knowles defends archbishop's White House prayer with TrumpFox News · 7 h ago'Michael Knowles Show' host Michael Knowles joins 'Fox & Friends Weekend' to react to Denver Archbishop James Golka defending his prayer with President Donald Trump and also weighs in on the far-left riots spreading across Europe. Michael…

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Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions