How high will the Nasdaq-100 price get in 2026?
31,365high with an even chance
Traders see an even chance of trading as high as 31,365.
- Reaches 30,800100%
- Reaches 31,000100%
Install
NASDAQ-100 price at year-end? (Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST)
The odds
30,136median
25,00043,000
Median 30,136Middle half 27,786 – 32,038
How the odds have moved
Median: 29,708 on Oct 20, 30,136 now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26,000 or above | 85% | ▲ 2 | 82¢ | 87¢ | $1.15 | 7.9K |
| 27,000 or above | 81% | ▲ 2 | 77¢ | 84¢ | $1.19 | 6.8K |
| 28,000 or above | 74% | ▲ 4 | 70¢ | 77¢ | $1.30 | 10.3K |
| 29,000 or above | 62% | ▲ 2 | 61¢ | 62¢ | $1.61 | 7.6K |
| 30,000 or above | 52% | ▼ 2 | 48¢ | 55¢ | $1.82 | 3.6K |
| 31,000 or above | 41% | ▼ 2 | 37¢ | 44¢ | $2.27 | 6.3K |
| 32,000 or above | 26% | ▲ 1 | 22¢ | 29¢ | $3.45 | 4.1K |
| 33,000 or above | 13% | ▼ 1 | 10¢ | 15¢ | $6.67 | 6.3K |
| 34,000 or above | 6% | 1¢ | 10¢ | $10.00 | 1.1K | |
| 35,000 or above | 4% | 1¢ | 7¢ | $14.29 | 825 | |
| 36,000 or above | 4% | 2¢ | 6¢ | $16.67 | 845 | |
| 37,000 or above | 4% | 2¢ | 5¢ | $20.00 | 169 | |
| 38,000 or above | 3% | 1¢ | 5¢ | $20.00 | 80.00 | |
| 39,000 or above | 3% | 1¢ | 4¢ | $25.00 | 55.00 | |
| 40,000 or above | 3% | 1¢ | 4¢ | $25.00 | 229 | |
| 41,000 or above | 3% | 1¢ | 4¢ | $25.00 | ||
| 42,000 or above | 2% | 4¢ | $25.00 | 487 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Nasdaq, tech stocks
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Tech stocks dropped sharply. What it means for the rest of the economyTech stocks dropped sharply Wednesday, NPR's Leila Fadel asks David Wessel of the Brookings Institution what it means. Tech stocks dropped sharply. What it means for the rest of the economy Tech stocks dropped sharply Wednesday, NPR's… -
Goldman says these top tech stocks have plenty of upside ahead of earningsGoldman Sachs said this week there are plenty of top tech companies to buy heading into their quarterly results. -
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Money Shifts From Tech Stocks to U.S. Treasurys on Big Tech Credit Fears■AI PRISM [Stock News] U.S. Treasury Yield Plunges to 4.953% HD Hyundai to Build U.S. Smart Shipyard by 2029 SK hynix Withdraws Solidigm Listing [News of Interest to Stock Investors] 1. Money Moves From Tech Stocks to Treasurys as 10-Year… -
New-Age Tech Stocks Tumble This Week, Swiggy Leads Sell-Off With 24.5% FallSixty-three of the 67 new-age tech stocks under Inc42’s coverage declined this week, led by Swiggy’s 24.5% fall The sell-off extended beyond companies reporting weak results, with 63 of 67 stocks declining, showing that broader market… - Nasdaq Falls 2.6% as AI Trade Worries Hit Tech Stocks, Meta DropsUS stocks fell on Thursday as worries about the AI trade returned. Tech shares led the drop after earnings from Tesla and Meta. The S&P 500 fell more than 1%, and the Nasdaq Composite lost 2.6%. The Dow Jones Industrial Average was little…
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US Tech Stocks Under Pressure: 3 Stocks to Watch Before Next Week’s EarningsThe upcoming reports could test whether the recent pullback is a temporary setback or a broader reassessment of AI valuations. The key question is whether accelerating AI demand can support Microsoft’s growth without putting further… -
Todd Gordon is turning to this inverse Nasdaq ETF as tech stocks weakenCNBC Todd Gordon is turning to this inverse Nasdaq ETF as tech stocks weaken -
The Weekly Bottom Line: Yields Fall as Tech Stocks Sell OffWall Street found refuge in bonds this week, but little comfort elsewhere. The 10-year Treasury yield briefly slipped below 5% as investors sought safety, offering rate-sensitive sectors some reprieve. Yet the rally was not solely due to… -
What Is One of the Best Tech Stocks to Hold for the Next 10 Years?Not long ago, enterprise customer relationship management (CRM) software provider Salesforce (NYSE:CRM | CRM Price Prediction) was a darling of the technology sector. In 2020, during the height of the COVID-19 pandemic, Salesforce… -
Wall Street Warns of AI Bubble but Keeps Buying Tech StocksGlobal investors are buying more technology stocks even as warnings mount that the artificial intelligence boom could turn into a bubble. The question is why they cannot stop investing when they already see the risk. Tech Allocations Hit… -
Investors Are Worried About Too Much AI Spending. They're Not Wrong, But It's Paying Off for These 2 Tech Stocks.AI companies have already shoveled hundreds of billions of dollars into capital expenditures (capex) this year, and spending could surpass $1.3 trillion in 2027, according to S&P Global. The justification for the spending by many tech…
Related markets
All indexes ›S&P 500 Futures Price (Oct 26, 2026)
27%Above 7,175
7,1507,900
S&P 500 Daily Up/Down (Oct 26, 2026)
99%chance▲ 31
Will the S&P finish positive this year? (2026)
90%chance
What will S&P 500 (SPY) hit in October 2026?
$776.57high with an even chance
Traders see an even chance of trading as high as $776.57 and as low as $752.96.
- Reaches $770>99%
- Reaches $78024%
- Falls to $760>99%
- Falls to $75029%
Already reached: ↑ $780, ↑ $770, ↓ $760, ↑ $770, ↑ $770, ↓ $770
10Y US Treasury yield on Dec 31, 2027?
5.31%median
1.74%8.24%
Median 5.31%Middle half 4.36% – 6.35%
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions