Companies removed from the MSCI USA Index in Q4? (Q4 2026)

Kalshi Finance › Companies Closes Dec 31 · $1.1K traded · $743 at stake · prices read 2 h ago

The odds

67%The Cooper Companies

The Cooper Companies67%
Deckers Outdoor59%
DICK'S Sporting Goods37%
McCormick & Company (non-voting common shares)34%▲ 1
The Carlyle Group34%▲ 1
Watsco27%▲ 1
Fidelity National Financial17%
Hyatt Hotels (Class A)15%
Rollins14%
Circle Internet Group (Class A)14%
Corebridge Financial5%
United Airlines Holdings3%

How the odds have moved

Not enough history yet.

Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome	Chance	Day	Bid	Ask	Pays	Contracts
The Cooper Companies	67%		62¢	71¢	$1.41	607
Deckers Outdoor	59%		55¢	63¢	$1.59	468
DICK'S Sporting Goods	37%		32¢	41¢	$2.44	452
McCormick & Company (non-voting common shares)	34%	▲ 1	30¢	38¢	$2.63	100
The Carlyle Group	34%	▲ 1	30¢	38¢	$2.63	457
Watsco	27%	▲ 1	23¢	30¢	$3.33	106
Fidelity National Financial	17%		13¢	21¢	$4.76	145
Hyatt Hotels (Class A)	15%		11¢	19¢	$5.26
Rollins	14%		10¢	18¢	$5.56
Circle Internet Group (Class A)	14%		10¢	18¢	$5.56
Corebridge Financial	5%		2¢	8¢	$12.50
United Airlines Holdings	3%			5¢	$20.00

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: MSCI USA Index, The Cooper Companies, Deckers Outdoor

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DICK'S Sporting Goods Q3 Dick's business comparable sales growth?

3.61%median

0%5%

Median 3.61%Middle half 3.12% – 4.18%

Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

About this market

VenueKalshi

Settles onMSCI

Trading closesDec 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET

Traded$1.1K (2,335 contracts)

This week$1.1K

At stake$743

Followed here sinceOct 19, 2026

The rules

If DICK'S Sporting Goods is announced to be or is officially removed from MSCI USA Index during October 1, 2026 to December 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

The full rules are on the market's page at Kalshi.

Prices it is about

MSCI Inc.MSCI · about the company563.49−0.98%
The Carlyle Group Inc.CG · about the company36.56+0.49%
United Airlines Holdings, Inc.UAL · about the company95.60−0.52%
ROLROL · about the company
HH · about the company
FNFFNF · about the company
Dick's Sporting Goods IncDKS · about the company143.77−0.40%
DECKDECK · about the company

From 4Conservative Finance. Prices may be delayed up to 15 min. Not investment advice.

Reading the odds

A prediction market trades contracts that pay $1 if something happens. Its price is the market's chance: a contract at 62¢ means traders give it 62%. Each number here is the midpoint between the best bid and offer, or the last trade when they are more than ten cents apart.

For a question with many answers (who wins, which range a number lands in), the chances are scaled to add up to 100%. A price ladder ("above 4.25%, above 4.50% ...") gives a whole distribution: its median is where traders see an even chance either way.

Kalshi is a U.S. exchange regulated by the CFTC; its money is counted in contracts, shown here as dollars at their price. Polymarket counts dollars. ForecastEx is Interactive Brokers' exchange, regulated by the CFTC; its contracts too are shown as dollars at their price. Crypto.com lists its markets on Crypto.com | Derivatives North America, a U.S. exchange regulated by the CFTC; it reports the dollars traded. Where more than one asks the same question, each is shown, never averaged.

Prefer betting odds? Switch to American (+150) or decimal (2.50) odds at the top of the page.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.