Largest Company end of December 2026?
60%NVIDIA
- NVIDIA60%▲ 2
- Apple38%▼ 1
- Alphabet1%
5 more
- Microsoft1%
- SpaceX<1%
- Tesla<1%
- Saudi Aramco<1%
- Amazon<1%
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Companies added to the MSCI USA Index in Q4? (Q4 2026)
The odds
98%Moderna
- Moderna98%▲ 11
- Fervo Energy98%
- Oklo83%
- Tenet Healthcare69%
- Woodward54%
- IonQ17%▼ 3
- US Foods3%
- Royal Gold1%▼ 49
How the odds have moved
Moderna: 87% on Oct 20, 98% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Why it moved
- Oct 25, 12 PM ETModerna: 88% → 98%
No headline about it in the hours around this move.
The biggest swings over the chart's period, each with the headlines about the market's subject published in the hours before it. News and odds moving together is not proof one caused the other.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moderna | 98% | ▲ 11 | 83¢ | 99¢ | $1.01 | 802 |
| Fervo Energy | 98% | 2¢ | 98¢ | $1.02 | 87.00 | |
| Oklo | 83% | 2¢ | 42¢ | $2.38 | 14.00 | |
| Tenet Healthcare | 69% | 2¢ | 87¢ | $1.15 | 741 | |
| Woodward | 54% | 2¢ | 42¢ | $2.38 | 624 | |
| IonQ | 17% | ▼ 3 | 2¢ | 97¢ | $1.03 | |
| US Foods | 3% | 2¢ | 30¢ | $3.33 | 2.2K | |
| Royal Gold | 1% | ▼ 49 | 2¢ | 49¢ | $2.04 | 895 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: MSCI USA Index, Fervo Energy
Search ›-
Fervo Energy (NASDAQ:FRVO) Stock Price Down 2.5% – Here’s WhyPosted by Michael Walen on Oct 23rd, 2026 Fervo Energy Company (NASDAQ:FRVO – Get Free Report) shares fell 2.5% during trading on Friday. The stock traded as low as $7.83 and last traded at $8.04. Approximately 5,962,187 shares traded… - Critical Comparison: Fervo Energy (FRVO) vs. Its RivalsPosted by Danessa Lincoln on Oct 22nd, 2026 Fervo Energy (NASDAQ:FRVO – Get Free Report) is one of 141 publicly-traded companies in the “Independent Power & Renewable Electricity Producers” industry, but how does it weigh in compared to…
- Fervo Energy (NASDAQ:FRVO) Stock Price Down 2.9% - Here's What HappenedFervo Energy Company (NASDAQ:FRVO - Get Free Report)'s share price was down 2.9% during mid-day trading on Wednesday. The company traded as low as $8.97 and last traded at $9.02. 4,957,684 shares were traded during mid-day trading, a…
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FERVO ENERGY COMPANY FRVO INVESTORS: Contact Kirby McInerney LLP About the Firm’s Securities Investigation Following 16.6% Share DropNEW YORK--(BUSINESS WIRE)--The law firm of Kirby McInerney LLP reminds investors of its investigation on behalf of Fervo Energy Company (“Fervo” or the “Company”) (NASDAQ: FRVO) investors concerning the Company’s and/or members of its… - Fervo Energy (NASDAQ:FRVO) Stock Price Up 2.1% - Still a Buy?Shares of Fervo Energy Company (NASDAQ:FRVO - Get Free Report) rose 2.1% during mid-day trading on Tuesday. The stock traded as high as $9.54 and last traded at $9.29. Approximately 10,173,886 shares were traded during mid-day trading, an…
- FRVO Investor News: If You Have Suffered Losses in Fervo Energy Company, You Are Encouraged to Contact The Rosen Law Firm About Your RightsOctober 20, 2026 17:32 ET | Source: The Rosen Law Firm PA Follow The Rosen Law Firm PA NEW YORK, Oct. 20, 2026 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- WHY: Rosen Law Firm, a global investor rights law firm, announces an investigation of potential securities…
- Fervo Energy (NASDAQ:FRVO) Stock Gets Price Target Reduction from JPMorgan Chase & Co.Posted by Danessa Lincoln on Oct 19th, 2026 Fervo Energy (NASDAQ:FRVO – Get Free Report) had its target price cut by equities research analysts at JPMorgan Chase & Co. from $38.00 to $27.00 in a report released on Monday, Benzinga reports…
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Amphenol (NYSE:APH) Stock Price Up 1.3% – What’s Next?Posted by Kim Johansen on Oct 23rd, 2026 Amphenol Corporation (NYSE:APH – Get Free Report) traded up 1.3% on Friday. The company traded as high as $74.68 and last traded at $74.0050. 12,983,897 shares were traded during trading, a decline… -
Eli Lilly and Company (NYSE:LLY) Stock Falls 2.4% – Should You Sell?Posted by Michael Walen on Oct 23rd, 2026 Eli Lilly and Company (NYSE:LLY – Get Free Report)’s share price fell 2.4% during trading on Friday. The stock traded as low as $1,257.62 and last traded at $1,275.5030. Approximately 2,266,270… -
Fervo Energy Declares Commercial Operation at Cape Station Ahead of Schedule, Leading the Race for Next-Generation Geothermal EnergyFirst GeoBlock reaches contractual commercial operation date (COD) and is generating revenue under the terms of Fervo’s Power Purchase Agreement (... Fervo Energy Declares Commercial Operation at Cape Station Ahead of Schedule, Leading the… - Fervo Energy Launches Ground Truth, a Six-Part Podcast on the Creation of America's Leading Next-Generation Geothermal CompanyHOUSTON, Oct. 08, 2026 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Fervo Energy (Nasdaq: FRVO), a global pioneer of next-generation geothermal energy, today announced t... Fervo Energy Launches Ground Truth, a Six-Part Podcast on the Creation of America's Leading…
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US federal geothermal lease bids head for a record in 2026Winning bids for US federal geothermal leases reached USD 1,207 per acre in 2026, as demand for land outpaces BLM's capacity to process nominations and permits. Winning bids for geothermal leases on US federal land are heading for a record…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions