Next Pirates of the Caribbean Movie: Cast (Before 2029)

Kalshi Culture › Movies & box office Closes Jan 1, 2029 · $189 traded · $88 at stake · prices read 12 h ago

The odds

32%Orlando Bloom

Orlando Bloom32%
Keira Knightley23%
Margot Robbie18%
Kaya Scodelario16%
Kevin McNally16%
Hailee Steinfeld15%
Javier Bardem13%
Penélope Cruz12%
Brenton Thwaites11%
Bill Nighy11%
Geoffrey Rush11%
Austin Butler11%

1 more

Ayo Edebiri11%

How the odds have moved

Orlando Bloom: 33% on Oct 19, 32% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome	Chance	Bid	Ask	Pays	Contracts
Orlando Bloom	32%	29¢	34¢	$2.94	139
Keira Knightley	23%	19¢	26¢	$3.85	82.00
Margot Robbie	18%	14¢	22¢	$4.55	659
Kaya Scodelario	16%	12¢	20¢	$5.00
Kevin McNally	16%	12¢	20¢	$5.00	5.00
Hailee Steinfeld	15%	11¢	19¢	$5.26
Javier Bardem	13%	9¢	17¢	$5.88
Penélope Cruz	12%	8¢	16¢	$6.25
Brenton Thwaites	11%	7¢	15¢	$6.67
Bill Nighy	11%	7¢	15¢	$6.67
Geoffrey Rush	11%	7¢	15¢	$6.67	63.00
Austin Butler	11%	7¢	15¢	$6.67
Ayo Edebiri	11%	7¢	15¢	$6.67

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Caribbean Movie, Pirates, Orlando Bloom

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Robert Carlyle, Elijah Wood, Orlando Bloom Join ‘The Gentlemen’ Cast as Production Starts on Season 3Variety · 3 days agoNetflix’s “The Gentlemen” has revealed a host of new cast members as production on Season 3 gets underway in the U.K. and Morocco. Among the new faces as the series returns: Robert Carlyle (“Line of Duty”), Elijah Wood (“Yellowjackets”)…
The Gentlemen season 3: Netflix starts production with Robert Carlyle, Elijah Wood and Orlando BloomTV Central · 3 days agoGuy Ritchie’s The Gentlemen is back in production for season 3 on Netflix. A host of new stars has joined the crime series, led by Robert Carlyle, Elijah Wood and Orlando Bloom. The confirmation comes less than two months after season 2…
Orlando Bloom and Elijah Wood among guest stars for new series of The GentlemenThe Standard · 3 days agoStars including Orlando Bloom, Elijah Wood and Robert Carlyle have joined the cast of The Gentlemen as it begins production on series three in the UK and Morocco. The Netflix series will feature a host of guest stars including Bloom and…
‘The Gentlemen’ Season 3 in Production at Netflix as Robert Carlyle, Elijah Wood and Orlando Bloom Join CastWhat's on Netflix · 3 days agoNetflix has confirmed cameras are rolling on Guy Ritchie's third season, with Eddie and Susie heading to the Middle East to build a casino. Filming actually started weeks ago, and far earlier than most expected. By Kasey Moore •…
Netflix’s The Gentlemen Season 3 Starts Production With Orlando Bloom & a Surprise CastYahoo Entertainment · 3 days agoThe Gentlemen Season 3 has added Orlando Bloom, a Lord of the Rings star, and several other actors to its cast. The popular Netflix crime drama was created by Guy Ritchie. It has been confirmed that Season 3 of The Gentlemen is now filming…
Keira Knightley’s awkward memory lapse leaves Bridgerton star Luke Thompson in stitchesThe Independent · 4 days agoActors star together in new West End play ‘The Lives of Others’ Luke Thompson had to remind Keira Knightley that they were in a film together after the actor forgot about it. The pair were on the ITV show This Morning to talk about their…
The Gentlemen season 3 confirms new cast: Robert Carlyle, Orlando Bloom and Elijah Wood to join host of stars as production begins - after Meghan Markle was 'linked' to Netflix showDaily Mail · 3 days agoThe Gentlemen have announced the new stars joining an already star-studded cast for season three. Guy Ritchie's hit Netflix series is back in production and following reports Meghan Markle was in talks for a role, the official cast has…
Keira Knightley Forgets She Previously Starred Opposite Luke Thompson — Right in Front of HimTheWrap · 5 days ago“I don’t remember anyone on that film at all,” the actress defends Keira Knightley completely forgot she was previously in a movie with her “The Lives of Others” co-star Luke Thompson. While talking about their new West End play on “This…
‘The Gentlemen’ Season 3 Heads To The Middle East, Adds Robert Carlyle, Elijah Wood, Orlando Bloom, Dexter Fletcher & More To CastThe Playlist · 3 days ago‘Digger’: Denis Villeneuve Praises Alejandro G.
From Wildwood to John Legend: your complete entertainment guide to the week aheadthe Guardian · 2 days agoAnination studio Laika takes flight with a grownup stop-motion tale, while the Grammy-, Oscar- and everything-winner returns with a Pharell-produced 11th album False Idols Halloween Drumsheds, London, 24 October Queer club night False…
Keira Knightley makes West End comeback in The Lives of Others playThe Independent · 6 days agoKnightley will take to the stage at London's Adelphi Theatre for an adaptation of the Oscar-winning German film Keira Knightley is set to make her highly anticipated return to the West End stage after an absence of nearly 15 years…
Keira Knightley discusses her role in the stage adaptation of The Lives of Others, exploring themes of surveillance and paranoia.SSBCrack News · 6 days agoHome » Trending » Keira Knightley discusses her role in the stage adaptation of The Lives of Others, exploring themes of surveillance and paranoia. Keira Knightley and Luke Thompson are preparing for a unique theatrical experience with the…

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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

About this market

VenueKalshi

Settles onFox News, MSNBC, The Wall Street Journal

Trading closesJan 1, 2029 10:00 AM ET

Traded$189 (948 contracts)

At stake$88

Followed here sinceOct 19, 2026

The rules

If Margot Robbie is cast in The next feature-length film in the Pirates of the Caribbean franchise to be released by Walt Disney Studios after Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales (2017) before Jan 1, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.

The full rules are on the market's page at Kalshi.

Reading the odds

A prediction market trades contracts that pay $1 if something happens. Its price is the market's chance: a contract at 62¢ means traders give it 62%. Each number here is the midpoint between the best bid and offer, or the last trade when they are more than ten cents apart.

For a question with many answers (who wins, which range a number lands in), the chances are scaled to add up to 100%. A price ladder ("above 4.25%, above 4.50% ...") gives a whole distribution: its median is where traders see an even chance either way.

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Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions