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Wisconsin Governor margin of victory
The odds
How the odds have moved
Tiffany, 1+ pts: 16% on Oct 24, 16% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tiffany, 1+ pts | 16% | ▲ 1 | 12¢ | 19¢ | $5.26 | |
| Tiffany, 2+ pts | 13% | 12¢ | 14¢ | $7.14 | 11.0K | |
| Tiffany, 5+ pts | 4% | 1¢ | 8¢ | $12.66 | 12.9K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Wisconsin Governor
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Data center policy key part of Wisconsin governor's raceDemocratic candidate for Wisconsin governor David Crowley, left, and Republican candidate Tom Tiffany, right. LaShawnda Jones / Wikimedia Commons / CC BY-SA 4.0, Gage Skidmore / Flickr / CC BY-SA 4.0 (The Center Square) – Both Wisconsin… -
Wisconsin governor candidates tangle over the economy, Trump and the 2020 election in tense debateDemocrat David Crowley and Republican Tom Tiffany sparred Wednesday night in their sole debate in Wisconsin’s race for governor, sniping at each other on affordability, President Donald Trump, abortion and the 2020 election. Crowley, the… -
Wisconsin governor debate reaction; Point TakenDavid Crowley and Tom Tiffany finally shared a debate stage Wednesday night, but Point Taken hosts Steve Scaffidi and Kristin Brey came away wanting more specifics from both candidates. “Light on details,” Brey said while breaking down the… -
Candidates for Wisconsin Governor meet in their only debateThe candidates for Wisconsin Governor met for their only debate. Democratic Milwaukee County Executive David Crowley and Republican Congressman Tom Tiffany are seeking the state’s top job. During opening statements, Crowley talked about… -
Wisconsin governor race: Crowley, Tiffany debate affordabilityMILWAUKEE - Democrat David Crowley and Republican Tom Tiffany took the debate stage Wednesday, going back and forth on a number of key issues, as the race for Wisconsin governor enters its final stretch. The one and only debate: Crowley… -
Wisconsin governor candidates show clear differences in lone debateDemocratic candidate for Wisconsin governor David Crowley, left, and Republican candidate Tom Tiffany, right. LaShawnda Jones / Wikimedia Commons / CC BY-SA 4.0, Gage Skidmore / Flickr / CC BY-SA 4.0 (The Center Square) – Republican Tom… -
Election 2026 Wisconsin GovernorRutland Herald Wisconsin Democratic gubernatorial nominee David Crowley, left, and Wisconsin Republican gubernatorial nominee Tom Tiffany, right, during a debate at Marquette University Law School, Wednesday, Oct. 21, 2026, in Milwaukee. -
Wisconsin governor candidates David Crowley, Tom Tiffany clash on taxes, schools in only debateDemocrat David Crowley and Republican Tom Tiffany faced off at Marquette University in their sole debate, sparring over cost of living, education funding and healthcare as polls show a tight race. Voters watched the only debate between the… -
David Crowley and Tom Tiffany square off in lone debate for Wisconsin governor's raceAZ Family David Crowley and Tom Tiffany square off in lone debate for Wisconsin governor's race Why storm chasers flocked to Arizona this week Hail damages cars, windows in north Phoenix during storm Hornets Ryan Kalkbrenner and Brandon… -
Crowley, Tiffany clash on education, taxes in Wisconsin governor’s debateMADISON (WKOW) -- The only scheduled debate between Democratic gubernatorial candidate David Crowley and Republican candidate Tom Tiffany was held Wednesday evening. The debate was hosted and moderated by WISN. The hourlong debate covered… -
Crowley, Tiffany face off for Wisconsin governorLeft: David Crowley. Right: Tom Tiffany. WAUKESHA — The Wisconsin race attracting the most attention in this fall’s election cycle is at the top of the ticket, where Milwaukee County Executive David Crowley is squaring off against U.S… -
Crowley and Tiffany face off in only Wisconsin governor debate before Election DayMILWAUKEE, Wis. (WISN/WBAY) - WISN 12 News hosted on Wednesday the only debate between Democratic candidate David Crowley and Republican candidate Tom Tiffany in the race to become Wisconsin’s next governor. WISN 12 News Political Director…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions