Alabama's 1st District margin of victory
25.7median
1560
Median 25.7Middle half 20.5 – 30.8
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Tennessee Governor margin of victory
The odds
11.1median
036
Median 11.1Middle half 6.40 – 15.4
How the odds have moved
Median: 15.3 on Oct 19, 11.1 now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blackburn, 3+ pts | 88% | ▲ 1 | 83¢ | 93¢ | $1.08 | 12.00 |
| Blackburn, 6+ pts | 77% | ▲ 2 | 72¢ | 82¢ | $1.22 | 206 |
| Blackburn, 9+ pts | 62% | ▲ 3 | 57¢ | 67¢ | $1.49 | 22.00 |
| Blackburn, 12+ pts | 45% | ▲ 1 | 40¢ | 50¢ | $2.00 | 980 |
| Blackburn, 15+ pts | 27% | ▼ 3 | 26¢ | 27¢ | $3.70 | 2.2K |
| Blackburn, 18+ pts | 16% | ▼ 2 | 11¢ | 21¢ | $4.76 | 438 |
| Blackburn, 21+ pts | 7% | 2¢ | 12¢ | $8.33 | 23.00 | |
| Blackburn, 24+ pts | 4% | 0¢ | 7¢ | $13.70 | 45.00 | |
| Blackburn, 27+ pts | 3% | 0¢ | 6¢ | $17.54 | 86.00 | |
| Blackburn, 30+ pts | 3% | 0¢ | 5¢ | $19.61 | 9.00 | |
| Blackburn, 33+ pts | 3% | 5¢ | $20.00 | 80.00 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Tennessee Governor
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How to watch the Tennessee governor's forum, and who's attendingThe Tennessee Press Association is hosting the only independent debate for governor candidates this year, and Democratic nominee Jerri Green, independent David Hatley and independent Lauren Pinkston will participate. U.S. Sen Marsha… - Two polls, two different pictures of the Tennessee governor's raceKingsport Times News Editor's Note: The Hatley for Governor campaign returned a comment after this story's deadline The story has been updated to include their statement NASHVILLE â Two polls released Tuesday are showing vastly…
- Two polls, two different pictures of Tennessee governor's raceJohnson City Press NASHVILLE â Two polls released Tuesday are showing vastly different results in who Tennesseans support for Tennessee's next governor The first, conducted by Republican-heavy pollster Spry Strategies, shows U.S…
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Candidate questions — Tennessee governorMarsha Blackburn, Jerri Green, David Hatley and Lauren Pinkston B.S. from Mississippi State University I was born and raised in Memphis, Tennessee, and Memphis remains my lifelong home and current hometown. I am also proud to be the only… -
Beyond the Podium: Marsha Blackburn, Republican candidate for Tennessee governorPresident Trump delivers remarks at a midterm rally in Pendleton, South Carolina. JOHNSON CITY, Tn. (WCYB) — News 5 sat down with Republican gubernatorial candidate Marsha Blackburn as Tennesseans head to the polls for the final week of… -
Pete Hegseth’s Exit OptionDefense Secretary Pete Hegseth “has been angling for Sen. Marsha Blackburn to appoint him to her Senate seat, if she becomes Tennessee governor, sparing him a potential impeachment trial,” Puck reports. Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth “has… -
Pentagon Responds To Rumors That Pete Hegseth May Seek U.S. Senate Appointment – 100PercentFedUp.com – by DanielleThe Pentagon addressed rumors that Secretary of War Pete Hegseth is eyeing Sen. Marsha Blackburn’s seat if she becomes Tennessee governor. According to Puck, Hegseth may attempt to convince Blackburn to appoint him to the seat. Blackburn… -
Pete Hegseth’s Reported Political Backup Plan Emerges Amid Impeachment Push — ReportPete Hegseth may be considering a political move as pressure grows over his tenure in the Trump administration. The defense secretary is reportedly interested in a possible Tennessee Senate appointment if Sen. Marsha Blackburn becomes… -
Pete Hegseth Reportedly Angling For Blackburn's Senate Seat To Avoid ImpeachmentThe midterms will shape our future. HuffPost holds power accountable. Become a member to keep independent journalism strong. The defense secretary might try an intriguing escape route, according to Puck. Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth is… - Become an Independent member to bookmark this articleThank you for registering Please refresh the page or navigate to another page on the site to be automatically logged inPlease refresh your browser to be logged in Swipe for next article Become an Independent member to bookmark this article…
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Pete Hegseth Reportedly Eyeing Tennessee Senate Seat as Impeachment Fears MountPete Hegseth eyes his next move as lawmakers move to impeach him as Defense Secretary. Oct. 26 2026, Published 12:09 p.m. ET Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth is reportedly angling for an appointment to a Tennessee Senate seat to secure a…
Related markets
All governors ›Alabama's 2nd District margin of victory
23%Figures, 2+ pts
-132
Alabama's 3rd District margin of victory
38.1median
2454
Median 38.1Middle half 33.2 – 43.2
Alabama's 4th District margin of victory
57.1median
4272
Median 57.1Middle half 52.5 – 61.6
Alabama's 5th District margin of victory
23.7median
737
Median 23.7Middle half 18.6 – 29
Alabama's 6th District margin of victory
26.2median
1548
Median 26.2Middle half 20.7 – 31.5
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions