Alabama's 1st District margin of victory
25.6median
1560
Median 25.6Middle half 20.3 – 30.8
Install
Oregon Governor margin of victory
The odds
5.25median
-129
Median 5.25
How the odds have moved
Median: 4.66 on Oct 20, 5.25 now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kotek, 2+ pts | 69% | ▼ 3 | 66¢ | 72¢ | $1.39 | 1.3K |
| Kotek, 5+ pts | 52% | ▼ 3 | 50¢ | 53¢ | $1.89 | 8.0K |
| Kotek, 8+ pts | 34% | 32¢ | 35¢ | $2.86 | 9.0K | |
| Kotek, 11+ pts | 20% | ▼ 2 | 18¢ | 22¢ | $4.55 | 2.4K |
| Kotek, 14+ pts | 12% | ▼ 1 | 11¢ | 13¢ | $7.69 | 1.8K |
| Kotek, 17+ pts | 5% | 0¢ | 9¢ | $10.75 | 391 | |
| Kotek, 20+ pts | 2% | 4¢ | $25.00 | |||
| Kotek, 23+ pts | 2% | 4¢ | $25.00 | 34.00 | ||
| Kotek, 26+ pts | 2% | 4¢ | $25.00 | 1.00 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Oregon Governor
Search ›-
Tina Kotek Just Ahead in Oregon Governor’s RaceA new The Oregonian/OregonLive/DHM Research poll in Oregon finds Tina Kotek (D) leading Christine Drazan (R) in the governor’s race, 46% to 44%. Oregon Governor’s Race Tina Kotek (D) 46% Christine Drazan (R) 44% The… -
PACs and megadonors shift millions as Oregon governor’s race enters final stretchIncumbent Democratic Gov. Tina Kotek has outpaced Republican challenger Christine Drazan in fundraising for the Nov. 3 election,… PACs and megadonors shift millions as Oregon governor’s race enters final stretch Incumbent Democratic Gov… - Phil Knight on Backing Anti-Abortion Republican Candidate for Oregon Governor: 'I’m More Conservative Than Nike'Phil Knight has chosen to back the Republican candidate in the tight Oregon governor race, Christine Drazan, who has also been outspoken about her anti-abortion views. He currently serves as the chairman emeritus of Nike’s board and…
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Conservative Legislator Drazan Wins GOP Nod for Oregon GovernorChristine Drazan secured the Republican nomination for Oregon governor, positioning herself for a general election showdown against Democratic incumbent Tina Kotek this fall. Drazan's primary victory clears the field on the Republican side… -
Guest Column: Next Oregon governor must bring commitment to preventionPublished 7:29 am Wednesday, October 21, 2026 By Jean Carlton, Debra Gaisford, Paul Kemp, Carol Manstrom and Jess Marks/ After the horrific tragedy at Silver Rail Elementary School, our community and state are reeling. We need time and… -
Two longtime rivals seek new audiences in Oregon governor’s race. Who will persuade voters?Published 8:56 am Tuesday, October 20, 2026 In her second quest to defeat Oregon Gov. Tina Kotek, Sen. Christine Drazan, R-Canby, has gone straight into the political lion’s den. She has announced policy plans to reduce taxes and… -
Big Deal or No Big Deal?! AOC’s Transgender Comments, Clinton vs. McConaughey, and Pentagon Betting BanKyle Campbell, veteran political strategist and host of the Politically Basic podcast, and George Carrillo, a former Democratic candidate for Oregon governor, join Tiffany Meier Tonight for “Big Deal or No Big Deal?!” What would you like… -
Federal election monitors will be on hand in Portland on Election DayElection Day is Tuesday, Nov. 3. Stay informed with OPB on the Oregon governor's race and other regional contests in Oregon and Southwest Washington at our ballot guide. FILE — Ballots move through a signature verification system at the… -
City of Umatilla declares state of emergency over Governor’s order pausing data center developmentIn response to an executive order from Oregon Governor Tina Kotek that paused permitting for data centers in the state, the City of Umatilla has declared a local state of emergency due to an expected financial loss the city may experience… - Cyrus Javadi switched parties. Will his Oregon district reelect him anyway?Election Day is Tuesday, Nov. 3. Stay informed with OPB on the Oregon governor's race and other regional contests in Oregon and Southwest Washington at our ballot guide. On a sunny Sunday last month, Cyrus Javadi was not having much…
- In final weeks of 3rd District campaign, Braun champions ban on transgender girls in girls’ sportsElection Day is Tuesday, Nov. 3. Stay informed with OPB on the Oregon governor's race and other regional contests in Oregon and Southwest Washington at our ballot guide. Washington state Senate Minority Leader John Braun, a Republican…
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Amazon, data centers and the race for Oregon governorKelly Doherty had been in elected office for less than a month when Amazon reached out. In a July 2023 email, an Amazon representative congratulated Doherty on winning a seat on the commission that oversees the Port of Morrow in Eastern…
Related markets
All governors ›Alabama's 2nd District margin of victory
24%Figures, 2+ pts
-132
Alabama's 3rd District margin of victory
38.6median
2454
Median 38.6Middle half 32.7 – 43.5
Alabama's 4th District margin of victory
59.3median
4272
Median 59.3Middle half 54.3 – 63.6
Alabama's 5th District margin of victory
23.6median
737
Median 23.6Middle half 18.5 – 29
Alabama's 6th District margin of victory
26.2median
1548
Median 26.2Middle half 20.7 – 31.5
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions