Alabama's 1st District margin of victory
25.6median
1560
Median 25.6Middle half 20.3 – 30.7
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New Mexico Governor margin of victory
The odds
12.6median
-228
Median 12.6Middle half 7.79 – 18.9
How the odds have moved
Median: 11.8 on Oct 20, 12.6 now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Haaland, 1+ pts | 91% | 90¢ | 92¢ | $1.09 | 95.00 | |
| Haaland, 4+ pts | 89% | 85¢ | 93¢ | $1.07 | 61.00 | |
| Haaland, 7+ pts | 80% | ▲ 1 | 77¢ | 83¢ | $1.20 | 569 |
| Haaland, 10+ pts | 61% | 60¢ | 62¢ | $1.61 | 1.3K | |
| Haaland, 13+ pts | 49% | ▼ 1 | 45¢ | 52¢ | $1.92 | 486 |
| Haaland, 16+ pts | 36% | ▼ 1 | 31¢ | 40¢ | $2.50 | 469 |
| Haaland, 19+ pts | 25% | ▼ 1 | 20¢ | 29¢ | $3.45 | 301 |
| Haaland, 22+ pts | 17% | ▼ 1 | 12¢ | 21¢ | $4.76 | 301 |
| Haaland, 25+ pts | 10% | ▼ 1 | 7¢ | 13¢ | $7.69 | 202 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: New Mexico Governor
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In New Mexico Governor’s Race, Deb Haaland’s Historic Bid Tests Democrats' Political HoldIf Deb Haaland wins New Mexico’s race for governor, she’ll make history as the first Native American woman to lead a state In New Mexico Governor’s Race, Deb Haaland’s Historic Bid Tests Democrats' Political Hold But first she has to… -
Election 2026 New Mexico Governordailyrecordnews.com - Manage Subscription (Pay Your Bill, Vacation Request, Update Account Info) Republican gubernatorial nominee Gregg Hull answers reporters' questions about his plan for phasing out state income tax for all New Mexicans… -
New Mexico governor responds to Trump’s call to change state name to ‘New America’(Gray News) – The governor of New Mexico is responding to President Donald Trump’s post on social media Monday calling for the state to change its name to “New America.” Trump said in a post on Truth Social, “New Mexico should immediately… -
Vance Defends Ramaswamy Amid Uproar Over Controversial Anti-Acton Ad - The Arena with Kasie Hunt - Podcast on CNN PodcastsVP JD Vance and Vivek Ramaswamy both speak out about the controversial Ramaswamy ad featuring his opponent's estranged mother. Rep. Greg Landsman gets emotional while talking about the ad and his friend Amy Acton. A new CNN poll shows that… -
Hull Calls for Limits on Governor AuthorityRepublican gubernatorial nominee Gregg Hull supports limits on New Mexico governors' emergency powers, including time caps and legislative oversight. Hull Calls for Limits on Governor Authority Gregg Hull said he would support legislation… -
New Mexico 2026 Election Results2026 results › New Mexico General election, November 3, 2026 Results will appear on this page on election night, November 3, 2026, as votes are counted. The last polls in New Mexico close at 9 PM ET. Follow every state live → On the New… - AP News Summary at 7:21 a.m. EDTIran says 7 oil tankers were attacked in the Strait of Hormuz as fears grow of a return to war Russia frees American Stephen Hubbard after over 4 years behind bars Vatican says tests show Pope Leo XIV won't need further treatment for lung…
- AP News Summary at 9:30 a.m. EDTIran says 7 oil tankers attacked in the Strait of Hormuz as fears grow of a return to war Russian missiles pound Kyiv as Moscow says over 800 Ukrainian drones downed Iran says 7 tankers were damaged in the Strait of Hormuz, and other…
- AP News Summary at 8:58 a.m. EDTIran says 7 oil tankers attacked in the Strait of Hormuz as fears grow of a return to war Russian missiles pound Kyiv as Moscow says over 800 Ukrainian drones downed Iran says 7 tankers were damaged in the Strait of Hormuz, and other…
- AP News Summary at 6:20 a.m. EDTIran says 7 oil tankers are on fire or damaged in a key strait as fears grow of a return to war Russia frees American Stephen Hubbard after over 4 years behind bars Vatican says tests show Pope Leo XIV won't need further treatment for lung…
- AP News Summary at 8:21 a.m. EDTIran says 7 oil tankers attacked in the Strait of Hormuz as fears grow of a return to war Russia frees American Stephen Hubbard after over 4 years behind bars Vatican says tests show Pope Leo XIV won't need further treatment for lung…
- AP News Summary at 7:52 a.m. EDTIran says 7 oil tankers were attacked in the Strait of Hormuz as fears grow of a return to war Russia frees American Stephen Hubbard after over 4 years behind bars Vatican says tests show Pope Leo XIV won't need further treatment for lung…
Related markets
All around the world ›Alabama's 2nd District margin of victory
24%Figures, 2+ pts
-132
Alabama's 3rd District margin of victory
38.5median
2454
Median 38.5Middle half 32.7 – 43.4
Alabama's 4th District margin of victory
59.2median
4272
Median 59.2Middle half 54.3 – 63.5
Alabama's 5th District margin of victory
23.6median
737
Median 23.6Middle half 18.5 – 28.9
Alabama's 6th District margin of victory
26.1median
1548
Median 26.1Middle half 20.6 – 31.4
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions