Alabama's 1st District margin of victory
25.6median
1560
Median 25.6Middle half 20.3 – 30.8
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New Hampshire Governor margin of victory
The odds
9.38median
-126
Median 9.38Middle half 5.59 – 13.7
How the odds have moved
Median: 10.8 on Oct 20, 9.38 now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ayotte, 2+ pts | 90% | 86¢ | 94¢ | $1.06 | 3.4K | |
| Ayotte, 5+ pts | 79% | ▲ 1 | 75¢ | 83¢ | $1.20 | 370 |
| Ayotte, 8+ pts | 59% | ▼ 1 | 56¢ | 61¢ | $1.64 | 1.3K |
| Ayotte, 11+ pts | 40% | ▼ 1 | 35¢ | 45¢ | $2.22 | 1.7K |
| Ayotte, 14+ pts | 24% | ▼ 1 | 19¢ | 28¢ | $3.57 | 1.6K |
| Ayotte, 17+ pts | 11% | 7¢ | 15¢ | $6.67 | 217 | |
| Ayotte, 20+ pts | 7% | ▲ 2 | 5¢ | 9¢ | $11.36 | 200 |
| Ayotte, 23+ pts | 5% | 5¢ | 6¢ | $16.95 | 780 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: New Hampshire Governor
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Former President Obama endorses Warmington for New Hampshire governorFormer President Barack Obama twice won New Hampshire's electoral votes in his presidential campaigns; now, he's trying to help Cinde Warmington notch her own statewide victory in the race for governor as he officially endorses her… -
Warmington Comes Out Swinging, Lands Few Punches in First New Hampshire Governor's DebateDemocrat Cinde Warmington came out swinging in her first debate with Republican Gov. Kelly Ayotte on Tuesday, blaming the incumbent for everything from soaring rents to rising health care costs. But Ayotte gave as good as she got, hitting… -
Joyce Craig wins organized labor endorsements in race for N.H. governorWith two contested primaries in full swing, one gubernatorial candidate won the support Tuesday of the New Hampshire AFL-CIO, solidifying her status as organized labor’s favorite in the race. Democratic candidate Joyce Craig, the former… -
Ayotte maintains lead over Warmington in new pollA new poll shows there's a clear front-runner in the race for New Hampshire governor. The poll from the Saint Anselm College Survey Center shows incumbent Republican Gov. Kelly Ayotte leading Democratic challenger Cinde Warmington 50% to… -
Program Alert: NHPR and Granite State News Collaborative cancel Senate forumNHPR and the Granite State News Collaborative have cancelled next week's scheduled forum for candidates in the U.S. Senate race. Republican John Sununu declined to participate in the forum. In an email to NHPR Wednesday afternoon, a Sununu… -
YDC Claims Receives $35M, Administrator Praised For Asking Lawyers To Take LessExecutive Councilor Janet Stevens is pictured with Helen Rogers, who is 110 years old and honored with the Boston Post Cane at Wednesday's Executive Council meeting. By DAMIEN FISHER, InDepthNH.org CONCORD - The former corrections officer… -
Famous Dems campaign for Pappas as NH's crucial Senate race hits final stretchThe campaign trail is heating up in New Hampshire as high-profile surrogates stump in the U.S. Senate race between Chris Pappas and John Sununu, which could have national implications. Two weeks until Election Day and New Hampshire's U.S… -
New Hampshire Approves Blockchain Basic LawsNew Hampshire Governor Kelly Ayotte has signed legislation protecting the use, custody, mining and staking of digital assets. The measure follows a 2025 law that allows the state treasury to invest some public funds in eligible… -
Ayotte and Warmington clash over costs, taxes, energy and schools in first debateGov. Kelly Ayotte and Democrat Cinde Warmington shake hands at the conclusion of their first debate before the Greater Manchester Chamber of Commerce at the New Hampshire Institute of Politics at Saint Anselm College in Manchester on Oct… -
Democratic Secretary of State Candidate Ryan Peterman Brings Campaign to AudubonThe Democratic candidate for Secretary of State, Ryan Peterman, brought his campaign to Audubon yesterday (Friday). Following high school, Peterman attended the United States Naval Academy in Annapolis, Md., and was commissioned as an… -
The Democrats Are Still Not Out of Danger With Their Own Senate SeatsPolitico, the hard-left, partisan Democrat Capitol Hill newspaper, has deep thoughts about their hero, Abdul El-Sayed, in their article titled “Washington Isn’t Ready for Abdul El-Sayed:” Well, that is one way to put it. Another way would… - Warmington slams Ayotte’s record on data centersGranite Post News Granite Post News Staff Democratic candidate for New Hampshire governor Cinde Warmington called out Republican Governor Kelly Ayotte for changing her stated position on data centers while also taking no meaningful action…
Related markets
All governors ›Alabama's 2nd District margin of victory
24%Figures, 2+ pts
-132
Alabama's 3rd District margin of victory
38.6median
2454
Median 38.6Middle half 32.7 – 43.5
Alabama's 4th District margin of victory
59.3median
4272
Median 59.3Middle half 54.3 – 63.6
Alabama's 5th District margin of victory
23.6median
737
Median 23.6Middle half 18.5 – 29
Alabama's 6th District margin of victory
26.2median
1548
Median 26.2Middle half 20.6 – 31.5
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions