Alabama's 1st District margin of victory
25.6median
1560
Median 25.6Middle half 20.3 – 30.7
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Iowa Governor margin of victory
The odds
12%Lahn, 1+ pts
-112
How the odds have moved
Lahn, 1+ pts: 12% on Oct 23, 12% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lahn, 1+ pts | 12% | 9¢ | 14¢ | $7.14 | 368 | |
| Lahn, 3+ pts | 9% | ▲ 1 | 8¢ | 10¢ | $10.10 | 6.8K |
| Lahn, 6+ pts | 5% | 3¢ | 7¢ | $15.38 | 3.7K | |
| Lahn, 9+ pts | 3% | 5¢ | $18.87 | 1.1K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Iowa Governor
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Candidates for Iowa governor discuss their top priorities: cancer, cost of livingDES MOINES, Iowa (Iowa Capital Dispatch) - In the race for Iowa governor, Democrat Rob Sand and Republican Zach Lahn agree addressing high cancer rates and making life more affordable for Iowans are their top priorities if elected Nov. 3… -
Iowa governor race sees record fundraisingIOWA (Iowa Capital Dispatch) - Iowa’s competitive congressional and statewide races have brought in record high campaign fundraising hauls for the state ahead of the Nov. 3, 2026 election. Sand has raised more than twice as much as Lahn… -
Iowa governor's race is most expensive in state history: Who’s funding it?The Iowa race for governor has become the most expensive in state history, with Democrat Rob Sand and Republican Zach Lahn raising a combined $81 million for the campaign. Sand has raised about $54 million while Lahn has raised about $27… -
Iowa governor race shatters state fundraising recordThe race to be the next Iowa governor is officially the most expensive in state history. CEDAR RAPIDS, Iowa (KCRG) - The race to be the next Iowa governor is officially the most expensive in state history. So far this year, Zach Lahn and… -
‘I think it’s time to try something different’ on Iowa governor, labor head says“More private schools, less healthcare, lower wages—we’ve already been headed in this direction as a state. I think it’s time to try something different.” That’s Charlie Wishman, president of the Iowa Federation of Labor AFL-CIO, the… -
Lahn raises more, but Sand holds cash advantage in Iowa governor’s raceIowa’s candidates for governor raised more than $33 million over three months. Republican Zach Lahn narrowly led in cash fundraising, while Democrat Rob Sand headed into the final stretch before Election Day with a much larger balance… -
Iowa's governor race hits fundraising record, Democrat Rob Sand leads with 322K donorsIowa's gubernatorial race hit a record $81 million raised this election cycle, with Democrat Rob Sand leading in small donations against Republican Zach Lahn. Both candidates, however, have asked for polls to remain open longer in some… -
Lahn’s Iowa bid shadows a Koch-linked pastZach Lahn has made a point of selling himself to voters as a self-made businessman in his campaign for Iowa governor. That image leaves out a more tangled chapter tied to one of the most politically powerful networks in the country and to… -
Opinion: Beware of smooth-talking politicians like Zach LahnZach Lahn (left) and Rob Sand, the candidates for Iowa governor. My mom warned, if the Fuller Brush man comes knocking, lock the door. Back then, a fast-talking Fuller Brush man literally would stick a foot in the door to make a sale. Mom… -
Iowa’s candidates for governor won’t reschedule third debateZach Lahn (left) and Rob Sand, the candidates for Iowa governor. Iowa’s candidates for governor will not face off for a third debate after attempts to reschedule the event failed. The announcement comes after Democratic candidate Rob Sand… -
Rob Sand withdraws from Iowa governor debate after brother-in-law’s deathDemocratic nominee for governor Rob Sand has withdrawn from a debate scheduled for Wednesday, his campaign confirmed Monday evening. Sand's campaign said the decision follows the death of his brother-in-law in a traffic accident last week… -
Rob Sand withdraws from third governor debate, hopes to rescheduleDemocratic governor candidate Rob Sand has withdrawn from a statewide debate previously scheduled for Oct. 21 following the death of a family member. Democratic candidate for governor, Rob Sand, took questions from reporters after a debate…
Related markets
All governors ›Alabama's 2nd District margin of victory
24%Figures, 2+ pts
-132
Alabama's 3rd District margin of victory
38.6median
2454
Median 38.6Middle half 32.7 – 43.5
Alabama's 4th District margin of victory
59.2median
4272
Median 59.2Middle half 54.3 – 63.5
Alabama's 5th District margin of victory
23.6median
737
Median 23.6Middle half 18.5 – 28.9
Alabama's 6th District margin of victory
26.1median
1548
Median 26.1Middle half 20.6 – 31.4
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions