Alabama's 1st District margin of victory
25.6median
1560
Median 25.6Middle half 20.3 – 30.8
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Connecticut Governor margin of victory
The odds
17.9median
535
Median 17.9Middle half 12.3 – 23
How the odds have moved
Median: 21 on Oct 20, 17.9 now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lamont, 8+ pts | 87% | 82¢ | 92¢ | $1.09 | 511 | |
| Lamont, 11+ pts | 80% | ▼ 1 | 75¢ | 84¢ | $1.19 | 165 |
| Lamont, 14+ pts | 69% | 65¢ | 73¢ | $1.37 | 1.3K | |
| Lamont, 17+ pts | 55% | 50¢ | 60¢ | $1.67 | 835 | |
| Lamont, 20+ pts | 39% | 34¢ | 44¢ | $2.27 | 930 | |
| Lamont, 23+ pts | 25% | 20¢ | 30¢ | $3.33 | 856 | |
| Lamont, 26+ pts | 13% | 9¢ | 18¢ | $5.56 | 659 | |
| Lamont, 29+ pts | 6% | 1¢ | 11¢ | $9.09 | 5.00 | |
| Lamont, 32+ pts | 4% | 7¢ | $13.89 | 2.00 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Connecticut Governor
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A recap of the Connecticut governor debate between Ned Lamont and Ryan FazioDemocratic Gov. Ned Lamont and his Republican challenger, state Sen. Ryan Fazio, faced off Thursday in their first formal debate of the gubernatorial race, hosted by CT Insider and WFSB-TV Eyewitness News Channel 3. With the Nov. 3… -
Ned Lamont and Ryan Fazio square off in first of two debates for Connecticut governorROCKY HILL — Gov. Ned Lamont and Republican challenger Ryan Fazio spared Thursday night over electric rates, taxes and the broad issue of affordability in Connecticut during the first of two encounters less than two weeks before the… -
Live updates from the Connecticut governor debate between Ned Lamont and Ryan FazioDemocratic Gov. Ned Lamont and his Republican challenger, state Sen. Ryan Fazio, are facing off Thursday in their first formal debate of the gubernatorial race, hosted by CT Insider and WFSB-TV Eyewitness News Channel 3. With the Nov. 3… -
Ned Lamont and Ryan Fazio clash in Connecticut governor debate over taxes, electric ratesGovernor Ned Lamont, left, and State Senator Ryan Fazio shake hands after a gubernatorial debate at WFSB in Rocky Hill on October 22, 2026. Dan Haar, right, senior editor and columnist for CT Insider, and Susan Raff, far right, chief… -
With the rising costs of gas and diesel, where do the candidates for Connecticut's governor stand?NBC Connecticut With the rising costs of gas and diesel, where do the candidates for Connecticut's governor stand? -
Lamont, Fazio To Face Off In Connecticut Governor's Debate This WeekGov. Ned Lamont and Republican challenger state Sen. Ryan Fazio will face off Thursday in their first televised debate of Connecticut’s 2026 gubernatorial election, giving voters a chance to hear from both candidates before Election Day… -
Fact check: Reviewing claims from Lamont, Fazio in CT governor debateGovernor Ned Lamont, left, and State Senator Ryan Fazio participate in a gubernatorial debate at WFSB in Rocky Hill on October 22, 2026. The debate on Thursday was the first in the 2026 Connecticut governor’s race. The first gubernatorial… -
Mayor Mamdani puts out new ad supporting Hochul's run for reelection: Oct. 22 election updatePolitical newcomer and Army veteran Cait Conley is running against Congressman Mike Lawler in a midterm race that could impact the balance of power in Washington. NY-17 covers parts of Rockland, Putnam, Westchester and Dutchess counties in… -
Redding 2026 Election Voter Guide: Candidates, Polling Places, Early VotingREDDING, CT — Redding voters will head to the polls Tuesday, Nov. 3, to elect state and federal officials, including Connecticut's governor, members of Congress and representatives in the state legislature. Races on the ballot include… -
Monroe 2026 Election Voter Guide: Candidates, Polling Places, Early VotingMONROE, CT — Monroe voters will head to the polls Tuesday, Nov. 3, to elect state and federal officials, including Connecticut's governor, members of Congress and representatives in the state legislature. Races on the ballot include… -
Bethel 2026 Election Voter Guide: Candidates, Polling Places, Early VotingBETHEL, CT — Bethel voters will head to the polls Tuesday, Nov. 3, to elect state and federal officials, including Connecticut's governor, members of Congress and representatives in the state legislature. Races on the ballot include… -
Brookfield 2026 Election Voter Guide: Candidates, Polling Places, Early VotingBROOKFIELD, CT — Brookfield voters will head to the polls Tuesday, Nov. 3, to elect state and federal officials, including Connecticut's governor, members of Congress and representatives in the state legislature. Races on the ballot…
Related markets
All governors ›Alabama's 2nd District margin of victory
24%Figures, 2+ pts
-132
Alabama's 3rd District margin of victory
38.6median
2454
Median 38.6Middle half 32.7 – 43.5
Alabama's 4th District margin of victory
59.3median
4272
Median 59.3Middle half 54.3 – 63.6
Alabama's 5th District margin of victory
23.6median
737
Median 23.6Middle half 18.5 – 29
Alabama's 6th District margin of victory
26.2median
1548
Median 26.2Middle half 20.7 – 31.5
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 5 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions