Alabama's 1st District margin of victory
25.6median
1560
Median 25.6Middle half 20.3 – 30.7
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Colorado Governor margin of victory
The odds
26.9median
039
Median 26.9Middle half 22.6 – 31.2
How the odds have moved
Median: 27.2 on Oct 20, 26.9 now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weiser, 3+ pts | 96% | 95¢ | 97¢ | $1.03 | 12.00 | |
| Weiser, 6+ pts | 96% | 95¢ | 97¢ | $1.03 | 362 | |
| Weiser, 9+ pts | 96% | ▲ 1 | 95¢ | 97¢ | $1.03 | 161 |
| Weiser, 12+ pts | 96% | ▲ 1 | 94¢ | 97¢ | $1.03 | 399 |
| Weiser, 15+ pts | 95% | ▼ 1 | 92¢ | 97¢ | $1.03 | 666 |
| Weiser, 18+ pts | 93% | ▲ 2 | 89¢ | 97¢ | $1.03 | 337 |
| Weiser, 21+ pts | 82% | ▲ 1 | 78¢ | 86¢ | $1.16 | 334 |
| Weiser, 24+ pts | 69% | ▲ 4 | 64¢ | 73¢ | $1.37 | 283 |
| Weiser, 27+ pts | 50% | ▲ 5 | 45¢ | 54¢ | $1.85 | 1.3K |
| Weiser, 30+ pts | 31% | ▲ 1 | 26¢ | 35¢ | $2.86 | 244 |
| Weiser, 33+ pts | 17% | ▲ 2 | 12¢ | 21¢ | $4.76 | |
| Weiser, 36+ pts | 7% | ▲ 1 | 2¢ | 11¢ | $9.09 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Colorado Governor
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Weiser, Marx in race to succeed Polis as Colorado governorOctober 14, 2026 / 3:25 PM MDT / CBS Colorado Republican Victor Marx and Democrat Phil Weiser are the major-party nominees on Nov. 3. Both promise to make Colorado more affordable. Colorado voters will choose a new governor on Nov. 3 to… -
Republican Ken Buck endorses Phil Weiser in Colorado governor’s raceFormer Republican U.S. Rep. Ken Buck crossed party lines Wednesday to endorse Democratic Attorney General Phil Weiser’s campaign for Colorado governor. “I’m supporting Phil because I think he has the experience and he has the character to… -
Martial Law Explained as Trump Allies Raise Option Ahead of MidtermsOct 16, 2026 at 05:39 PM EDT Allies of President Donald Trump are openly discussing martial law and other extraordinary federal action if they conclude that next month's midterm elections have been "rigged." The proposals come less than… -
Gun Sense Majority: Everytown for Gun Safety Defeats NRA, Achieves Major Federal and State Electoral VictoriesGun Sense Candidates Won in States Including Colorado, Kansas, Michigan, Minnesota, Nevada, New Mexico, Oregon, Pennsylvania and Rhode Island Results Mark Significant Losses for an Increasingly Toxic NRA Nov 07, 2018, 03:56 ET STATEMENT… -
A growing number of prominent Republicans are endorsing Democrats in 2026In 2010, Ken Buck rode the tea party wave to win Colorado’s Republican Senate nomination but proved too conservative for the state’s general-election voters. In 2022, Don Bolduc rode a similar arc in the New Hampshire Senate race as an… -
Aurora 8th grader takes over Colorado governor's office for a dayDENVER — An eighth grader from Aurora got a taste of what it's like to lead the state of Colorado, spending the day in the governor's chair as part of a first-year student contest. Angelique Tolbert, a student at Sky Vista Middle School… -
Prominent Republicans Are Endorsing Democrats in 2026Just dropped · Trial Balloon · Ep. 191 CNN: “In 2010, Ken Buck rode the tea party wave to win Colorado’s Republican Senate nomination but proved too conservative for the state’s general-election voters.” “In 2022, Don Bolduc rode a similar… -
MAGA Supporters Urge Trump to Declare Martial Law if 2024 Election Results Are ManipulatedInkorr MAGA Supporters Urge Trump to Declare Martial Law if 2024 Election Results Are Manipulated MAGA Activists Press Trump for Emergency Action According to 5 канал: Supporters of the MAGA movement are urging former President Donald… -
MAGA activists are secretly urging Trump to impose martial law if Republicans lose midterms after 'rigged' electionBy SAMANTHA LOREN, US POLITICAL REPORTER MAGA activists are urging President Trump to consider martial law as they brace for what they believe could be another ‘rigged’ midterm election. The extraordinary proposals include seizing ballots… -
Colorado Senate, House Candidates Debate Ahead of November’s Midterm ElectionHickenlooper is a former Colorado governor and Denver mayor who is seeking his second Senate term which he said will be his last if he is re-elected. “We need to do everything we can to flip the House and the Senate, get this country back… - Martial Law, Seized Ballots? Trump Allies Float Radical Plan If Republicans Lose MidtermsSupporters of US President Donald Trump are urging him to consider extraordinary measures, including martial law, if they believe November's midterm elections have been "rigged", according to a report by Axios. Some of the proposals go…
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Encourage Newsom To Opt In To FSTCCityWatch LA Encourage Newsom To Opt In To FSTC EDUCATION - Governor Newsom could deliver billions of federal dollars to California students and their families if he opts into the Federal Scholarship Tax Credit. The FSTC allows working…
Related markets
All governors ›Alabama's 2nd District margin of victory
24%Figures, 2+ pts
-132
Alabama's 3rd District margin of victory
38.5median
2454
Median 38.5Middle half 32.7 – 43.4
Alabama's 4th District margin of victory
59.2median
4272
Median 59.2Middle half 54.3 – 63.5
Alabama's 5th District margin of victory
23.6median
737
Median 23.6Middle half 18.5 – 28.9
Alabama's 6th District margin of victory
26.1median
1548
Median 26.1Middle half 20.6 – 31.4
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions