Alabama's 1st District margin of victory
25.6median
1560
Median 25.6Middle half 20.3 – 30.8
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Arizona Governor margin of victory
The odds
7.23median
-120
Median 7.23Middle half 3.82 – 11
How the odds have moved
Median: 7.74 on Oct 20, 7.23 now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hobbs, 2+ pts | 87% | ▼ 1 | 86¢ | 87¢ | $1.15 | 8.2K |
| Hobbs, 5+ pts | 68% | ▼ 2 | 67¢ | 68¢ | $1.47 | 17.6K |
| Hobbs, 8+ pts | 44% | ▼ 2 | 43¢ | 45¢ | $2.22 | 11.6K |
| Hobbs, 11+ pts | 25% | ▼ 1 | 22¢ | 28¢ | $3.57 | 5.3K |
| Hobbs, 14+ pts | 14% | ▲ 1 | 13¢ | 15¢ | $6.67 | 1.4K |
| Hobbs, 17+ pts | 6% | ▲ 2 | 2¢ | 9¢ | $11.11 | 650 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Arizona Governor
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Watch: Arizona Governor-Aligned Canvassers Caught Willing To Allow Noncitizens To VoteCanvassers registering voters for groups backing Arizona Gov. Katie Hobbs's re-election told undercover Muckraker journalists posing as a non-citizen and as a felon on probation that they could go ahead and register to vote, hidden-camera… - Andy Biggs Pledges to Sign Vetoed Bills as Arizona GovernorNot every piece of GOP legislation needs Hobbs' signature to move forward, however. Legislative leaders passed seven resolutions along party lines this year that bypass her veto entirely and go straight to voters, the Arizona Mirror…
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Where Arizona governor candidates are getting their fundingKOLD Where Arizona governor candidates are getting their funding Colorado Springs seeking input on plan to revitalize creeks Cajuns turn focus to Southern Miss after 33-6 bounce-back win over Troy Quincy City Council hears first reading on… -
Hobbs outspends Biggs by millions in Arizona governor’s racePHOENIX (AZFamily) — Arizona Gov. Katie Hobbs, a Democrat, has outspent Republican challenger Andy Biggs by $12 million in the race for governor, according to the latest campaign finance reports. That gap widens when outside spending is… -
Politics Unplugged Podcast: Election countdown with Laura GersonyWith Election Day nearing, Arizona’s congressional races are drawing national attention. Arizona Republic reporter Laura Gersony joins Politics Unplugged to break down the high-stakes fights in AZ-01 and AZ-06, where the House majority… - Yuma Democrats criticize Biggs over rising costs ahead of Election DayEditor's Note: KAWC spoke with Congressman Andy Biggs on Thursday. Hear Biggs' response to Copper State Victory's comments in our interview with him. See the link below. Yuma-area Democrats criticized Republican U.S. Rep. Andy Biggs over…
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Overwhelmed By Election Ads? How Arizona Voters Are Using AI to Pick CandidatesWith the midterm election less than two weeks away, some Arizona voters are turning to artificial intelligence to help them decide who and what to vote for. Overwhelmed By Election Ads? How Arizona Voters Are Using AI to Pick Candidates Do… -
Campaign spending in race for Arizona governor a big-money mazePHOENIX — At least $31 million has been spent to get Katie Hobbs a second term as governor. But it's probably a lot more. And the reason why it's hard to get to a specific spending amount is that Arizona's Democratic governor and her… -
Millions flow through campaign committees in Arizona governor's race100th Anniversary Sale! Get 2 years of digital access for only $100/year Hobbs' fundraising network: At least $34 million in spending is identified in the article as connected to her reelection effort, although committee transfers… -
#Arizona Governor Katie Hobbs and ADWR Join #Nevada in Colorado River Lawsuit to Block Federal Cuts to Lower Basin Water Supplies #ColoradoRiver #COriver #aridificationArizona Governor Katie Hobbs and ADWR Join #Nevada in Colorado River Lawsuit to Block Federal Cuts to Lower Basin Water Supplies #ColoradoRiver #COriver #aridification coyotegulch.blog Today, Governor Katie Hobbs and the Arizona Department… -
Trump-picked—Biggs, Petersen, Kolodin—an Arizona election denier trifectaUpdate from original story publication Election deniers on the Nov. 3 ballot: A new CNN report shows how election deniers fared in 2020. A post from CNN highlights how the Arizona’s Cyber Ninjas failed audit turned 2020 election… -
Democrat Campaigner Caught Swiping Resident’s Porch Package [WATCH]An Arizona doorbell camera captured a jarring campaign scene as an individual approached a residence carrying Democratic Party materials, handled a package near the entrance, and then departed with the item. A second camera angle from the…
Related markets
All governors ›Alabama's 2nd District margin of victory
24%Figures, 2+ pts
-132
Alabama's 3rd District margin of victory
38.6median
2454
Median 38.6Middle half 32.7 – 43.5
Alabama's 4th District margin of victory
59.3median
4272
Median 59.3Middle half 54.3 – 63.6
Alabama's 5th District margin of victory
23.6median
737
Median 23.6Middle half 18.5 – 29
Alabama's 6th District margin of victory
26.2median
1548
Median 26.2Middle half 20.6 – 31.5
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions