Largest Company end of October 2026?
63%NVIDIA
- NVIDIA63%▲ 7
- Apple37%▼ 5
- Alphabet<1%
6 more
- Microsoft<1%
- Tesla<1%
- Saudi Aramco<1%
- Broadcom<1%
- Amazon<1%
- SpaceX<1%
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Meta family daily active people in Q3 (family daily active people in Q3 2026)
Settled 3,640,000,000A day before, traders had a median of 3.64B
The last odds before it closed
3.64Bmedian
- ✓ Above 3.61 billion88%
- ✓ Above 3.62 billion74%▼ 1
- ✓ Above 3.63 billion60%▼ 1
- Above 3.64 billion45%▼ 1
- Above 3.65 billion31%▼ 1
- Above 3.66 billion21%▼ 1
- Above 3.67 billion14%
- Above 3.68 billion9%
- Above 3.69 billion6%
- Above 3.7 billion4%
- Above 3.71 billion3%
- Above 3.72 billion3%
How the odds have moved
Median: 3.64B on Oct 20, 3.64B now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Last odds | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ✓ Above 3.61 billion | 88% | |||||
| ✓ Above 3.62 billion | 74% | 13.00 | ||||
| ✓ Above 3.63 billion | 60% | |||||
| ✗ Above 3.64 billion | 45% | 29.00 | ||||
| ✗ Above 3.65 billion | 31% | 223 | ||||
| ✗ Above 3.66 billion | 21% | 11.00 | ||||
| ✗ Above 3.67 billion | 14% | 3.00 | ||||
| ✗ Above 3.68 billion | 9% | 2.00 | ||||
| ✗ Above 3.69 billion | 6% | 59.00 | ||||
| ✗ Above 3.7 billion | 4% | 2.00 | ||||
| ✗ Above 3.71 billion | 3% | |||||
| ✗ Above 3.72 billion | 3% | 3.00 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Meta
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Review: Ray-Ban Meta AudioI am very lost in Los Angeles. I’m also sweating because I'm running as fast as I can, slapping my hands against the wet glasses frame on my face to boost the volume of the pulsing techno beats blasting into my ears—and anyone else’s if… -
Why Meta is charging to post more hyperlinksIn our team's Slack, co-host Wailin Wong responded to the low prices, "make it up on volume!?" Jeff Guo wrote, "how is this real." But like, actually. How is this real? Tom Kloza is the chief energy advisor for Gulf Oil Screenshot of a… -
How Many Billions Would It Take to Hold Meta Accountable?Earlier this week, a New Mexico judge ordered Meta to pay a $25 billion fine for violating consumer protection laws dating back to the Cambridge Analytica scandal. $25 billion is a massive fine, the largest Meta has ever faced, but it… -
Meta delays new business terms after publisher pushback on AI scrapingMeta is delaying the enforcement of its new business terms after publishers raised concerns that they could allow the company to scrape news sites for AI training, as reported earlier by Fast Company. In a statement to The Verge, Meta… -
Bill Ackman: Meta is 'incredibly undervalued'CNBC Bill Ackman: Meta is 'incredibly undervalued' -
Meta turns Muse sharing back onMeta has given new URLs to shared Muse ‘artifacts’ after security researchers reported that public links could be easy to find. Meta has re-enabled Muse sharing after security researchers had reported that public conversation links could… -
Meta shares are down 9% this week. Here's why Mike Khouw is buying nowSize is a relative matter. The standard Manhattan apartment would seem almost claustrophobic compared to the vast expanses offered by suburban living. A similar dynamic is playing out in the market. Mega-cap companies are generally defined… -
Why some people are falling for Meta's Muse AIYou might use artificial intelligence to write an email, make dinner reservations or plan your next vacation. But would you ever consider dating it? Some people are taking that idea seriously with Meta's new Muse AI agent. They're having… -
Meta-earnings-ads-Ray WangMeta's ad business 'still on fire': Analyst CNBC Meta's ad business 'still on fire': Analyst -
Meta Creates Non-Voting Stock to Fund AI Buildout, Keeping Zuckerberg in ControlMeta's board has approved a new class of non-voting stock, and every holder of Class A and Class B shares will receive one new share for each share they own. The company disclosed the plan on Wednesday with its third-quarter results, and… -
Meta plans to 'invest aggressively' next year: D.A. Davidson’s Gil LuriaMeta plans to 'invest aggressively' next year: Gil Luria CNBC Meta plans to 'invest aggressively' next year: D.A. Davidsonâs Gil Luria -
Muse will be a 'transformative product' for Meta, says Guggenheim Securities' Michael MorrisCNBC Muse will be a 'transformative product' for Meta, says Guggenheim Securities' Michael Morris
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.