María Corina Machado enters Venezuela by...?
>99%October 31
- October 31>99%▲ 89
- December 31>99%▲ 67
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Which leaders will meet before 2027?
The odds
73%Takaichi and Xi
- Takaichi and Xi73%▲ 11
- Lula and Milei26%▼ 4
- Netanyahu and al-Sharaa10%▲ 1
- Takaichi and Putin10%▲ 1
- Netanyahu and Erdoğan6%▲ 1
- Modi and Sharif6%▲ 1
- Netanyahu and MBS6%▲ 1
- Lee Jae Myung and Kim Jong Un5%▲ 1
- Putin and Carney5%
- Xi and Zelenskyy4%
- Takaichi and Kim Jong Un4%
How the odds have moved
Takaichi and Xi: 57% on Oct 19, 73% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Takaichi and Xi | 73% | ▲ 11 | 43¢ | 77¢ | $1.30 | 477 |
| Lula and Milei | 26% | ▼ 4 | 3¢ | 26¢ | $3.85 | 1.8K |
| Netanyahu and al-Sharaa | 10% | ▲ 1 | 6¢ | 14¢ | $7.14 | |
| Takaichi and Putin | 10% | ▲ 1 | 6¢ | 14¢ | $7.14 | |
| Netanyahu and Erdoğan | 6% | ▲ 1 | 2¢ | 10¢ | $10.00 | |
| Modi and Sharif | 6% | ▲ 1 | 2¢ | 10¢ | $10.00 | |
| Netanyahu and MBS | 6% | ▲ 1 | 2¢ | 10¢ | $10.00 | |
| Lee Jae Myung and Kim Jong Un | 5% | ▲ 1 | 2¢ | 8¢ | $12.50 | |
| Putin and Carney | 5% | 2¢ | 7¢ | $14.29 | 206 | |
| Xi and Zelenskyy | 4% | 8¢ | $12.50 | |||
| Takaichi and Kim Jong Un | 4% | 1¢ | 6¢ | $16.67 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news
No recent headlines name this market's subject.
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions