Will NYC ban horse-drawn carriages in 2026?
95%chance▼ 2
Install
When will Mamdani visit the White House?
The odds
39%Before Mar 1, 2027
- Before Nov 1, 20264%
- Before Jan 1, 202719%▲ 1
- Before Mar 1, 202739%▲ 1
How the odds have moved
Before Nov 1, 2026: 9% on Oct 19, 4% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Why it moved
- Oct 21, 2 PM ETBefore Nov 1, 2026: 10% → 4%
The biggest swings over the chart's period, each with the headlines about the market's subject published in the hours before it. News and odds moving together is not proof one caused the other.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Before Nov 1, 2026 | 4% | 7¢ | $14.29 | 1.4K | ||
| Before Jan 1, 2027 | 19% | ▲ 1 | 15¢ | 22¢ | $4.55 | 701 |
| Before Mar 1, 2027 | 39% | ▲ 1 | 35¢ | 43¢ | $2.33 | 474 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Zohran Mamdani, Mamdani
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Zohran Mamdani’s contempt for doing his job will cost him — and NYCThe Post’s exposure of Mayor Zohran Mamdani’s weird habit of not bothering to sign bills into law bodes ill for him and for the city. He’s taken the trouble to sign just one in his first 10 months, vs. 30, 47 and 28 for the last three… -
Zohran Mamdani casts his midterm ballot as first day of early voting kicks off in NYCEarly voting kicked off Saturday in New York with NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani casting his ballot at the Metropolitan Museum of Art. Early voting kicked off Saturday in New York with NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani casting his ballot at the… -
Zohran Mamdani criticized by panel for prioritizing social media over lawmakingFox Business Zohran Mamdani criticized by panel for prioritizing social media over lawmaking 'The Big Money Show' criticizes New York City Mayor Zohran Mamdani for prioritizing social media over passing laws. The panel debates the rise of… -
New Yorkers face ticking clock under Mayor Zohran Mamdani's new public bathroom initiativeNew York City architect Margot Kleinman breaks down Mayor Zohran Mamdani's rollout of 17 high-tech Throne Labs public toilets across the five boroughs, featuring QR-code access and 10-minute time limits. New Yorkers face ticking clock… -
Zohran Mamdani & Neon Set Free ‘Once Upon A Time In Harlem’ ScreeningsNeon has partnered with Mayor Zohran Mamdani’s office to host four free screenings of Once Upon a Time in Harlem across New York City this October. The screenings will happen on Saturday, October 24, and Sunday, October 25, at AMC Magic… -
Mayor Zohran Mamdani And Neon Set Free NYC Screenings Of ‘Once Upon A Time In Harlem’Neon, in partnership with Mayor Zohran Mamdani and the New York City Office of the Mayor, is offering four free screenings of documentary Once Upon A Time In Harlem at AMC Magic Johnson Harlem, Film Forum, and Film at Lincoln Center this… - Republican Bruce Blakeman says rival Kathy Hochul stumping with Zohran Mamdani will be ‘boost’ to his campaignRepublican Bruce Blakeman said Thursday he was thrilled that his rival Democratic Gov. Kathy Hochul will be campaigning with lefty Mayor Zohran Mamdani, calling it a “big boost” for his gubernatorial campaign. “I think that the more Kathy…
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Zohran Mamdani news - Today’s latest updatesThe city announced that 10,000 new spots will be added across the city for free childcare for 2-year-olds. CBS News New York's Christina Fan reports. Mayor Zohran Mamdani and Gov. Kathy Hochul announced Monday that more than 12,000… -
Zohran Mamdani’s Garba In NYC Goes Viral; Shares Pics From Navratri & Durga Puja CelebrationsThe 100th birthday Dr. Vikram Sarabhai, Father of Indian Space Programme is celebrated on the internet by remembering his achievements and through Google Doodle. Zohran Mamdaniâs Garba In NYC Goes Viral; Shares Pics From Navratri & Durga… -
Zohran Mamdani Instructs Illegal Migrants How to Dodge ICENew York City’s (NYC) socialist Mayor Zohran Mamdani advised illegal aliens on how to dodge U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) agents and instructed them on their rights. In a video posted to X with English subtitles, Mamdani… -
Adam Carolla Savages Sunny Hostin and Radical Nutjob Zohran Mamdani Over ICE Hypocrisy [WATCH]Adam Carolla and his old friend Dr. Drew used a recent episode of Carolla’s podcast to deliver a blistering and deliberately funny attack on Sunny Hostin of “The View” and NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani over their criticism of ICE. Carolla… -
Adam Carolla Slams ICE-Hating Hypocrites Sunny Hostin of ‘The View’ and ‘Radical Nutjob’ Zohran Mamdani (VIDEO)Adam Carolla and his old friend Dr. Drew did a hilarious takedown of hypocrite ICE-haters Sunny Hostin of ‘The View’ and NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani during a recent episode of Carolla’s podcast. Carolla takes Hostin to the woodshed for…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions