Will Mamdani sign an executive order this week? (10/25 - 10/31) (From Oct 25, 2026 to Oct 31, 2026)
13%chance
Install
Will Mamdani sign an executive order this week? (10/18 - 10/24) (From Oct 18, 2026 to Oct 24, 2026)
Settled NoA day before, traders gave it 100%.
The last odds before it closed
1%chance
How the odds have moved
Yes: 16% on Oct 20, 1% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Why it moved
- Oct 22, 4 PM ET18% → 5%
The biggest swings over the chart's period, each with the headlines about the market's subject published in the hours before it. News and odds moving together is not proof one caused the other.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Last odds | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ✗ Yes | 1% | 32.9K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Mamdani
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Mamdani gives migrants tips to avoid ICE in SpanishNew York City Mayor Zohran Mamdani delivers an anti-ICE message in Spanish, informing illegal immigrants about ways to avoid ICE. Mamdani gives migrants tips to avoid ICE in Spanish New York City Mayor Zohran Mamdani delivers an anti-ICE… -
Zohran Mamdani’s contempt for doing his job will cost him — and NYCThe Post’s exposure of Mayor Zohran Mamdani’s weird habit of not bothering to sign bills into law bodes ill for him and for the city. He’s taken the trouble to sign just one in his first 10 months, vs. 30, 47 and 28 for the last three… -
Mamdani Skips Line To Vote Early(New York) — New York Mayor Zohran Mamdani skipped the line at an early voting site Saturday morning. Video shows a man waiting in line before Mamdani walks in front of him on his way to the voting booth. The man can be heard yelling, “the… -
Even a socialist like Mamdani can improve New York — here’s howMayor Zohran Mamdani recently made an observation that ought to command widespread agreement. “Quality of life has come to be seen as somehow a right-wing concern,” he said. The same goes for efficiency and rooting out waste. His point was… -
Mamdani Causes Exodus of Orthodox Jews From New York to FloridaAs antisemitism surges under New York City Mayor Zohran Mamdani, more than 100 Orthodox Jewish families are packing up and heading south, and more are following. The families who spoke to the Post said the final push came from City Hall… - Blakeman amps up gubernational bid with three NYC stops, jabs Mamdani-Hochul allianceRepublican Bruce Blakeman hit three corners of NYC to deliver his affordability message Saturday as his gubernatorial bid reached the final stretch, jabbing opponent Gov. Kathy Hochul and “anti-American” Mayor Zohran Mamdani along the way…
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Mamdani Drops Spanish-Language ICE Video — GOP Senators Fire BackNew York City Mayor Zohran Mamdani just released a Spanish-language video instructing residents how to resist, question and walk away from federal immigration agents — and Republican senators are demanding answers. The mayor framed the… -
New Yorker yells 'the mayor cut me!' as Mamdani appears to bypass him in voting lineA New Yorker shouted out "the mayor cut me!" after New York City Mayor Zohran Mamdani appeared to skip the queue to cast his ballot in early voting at the New York Metropolitan Museum on Saturday. New Yorker yells 'the mayor cut me!' as… - Mamdani Drops Spanish-Language ICE Video — GOP Senators Fire Back – 100PercentFedUp.com – by JackNew York City Mayor Zohran Mamdani just released a Spanish-language video instructing residents how to resist, question and walk away from federal immigration agents — and Republican senators are demanding answers. The mayor framed the…
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Zohran Mamdani casts his midterm ballot as first day of early voting kicks off in NYCEarly voting kicked off Saturday in New York with NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani casting his ballot at the Metropolitan Museum of Art. Early voting kicked off Saturday in New York with NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani casting his ballot at the… -
‘Treason’: Mamdani’s Spanish-language ICE video has Republicans accusing him of helping immigrants evade arrestNew York City Mayor Zohran Mamdani has been accused of helping immigrants evade federal law enforcement after releasing a Spanish-language video explaining what residents can legally do when confronted by Immigration and Customs… -
Joe Rogan Stuns Guest with Mamdani Budget Comparison to All of Florida [WATCH]Joe Rogan left podcast guest Michael Malice stunned after comparing Zohran Mamdani’s proposed New York City budget with spending for the entire state of Florida. The contrast became the central point of disbelief during a recent episode of…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions