The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
Outcome
Chance
Day
Bid
Ask
Pays
Contracts
Above 15 million dollars
98%
95¢
$1.03
117
Above 20 million dollars
98%
95¢
$1.03
Above 25 million dollars
98%
95¢
$1.03
Above 30 million dollars
98%
95¢
$1.03
Above 40 million dollars
97%
94¢
$1.03
Above 50 million dollars
97%
94¢
$1.03
Above 75 million dollars
97%
93¢
$1.04
479
Above 100 million dollars
97%
93¢
$1.04
1.6K
Above 150 million dollars
93%
90¢
96¢
$1.04
1.6K
Above 200 million dollars
92%
▲ 1
89¢
94¢
$1.06
3.0K
Above 300 million dollars
57%
54¢
61¢
$1.64
1.6K
Above 400 million dollars
29%
24¢
34¢
$2.94
Above 500 million dollars
17%
12¢
22¢
$4.55
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
MAGA Inc Spends $277M on 2026 Midterms, GOP RacesHoodline · 3 days agoTrump's MAGA Inc. super PAC has spent over $277 million boosting Republicans in Texas, Michigan and Ohio ahead of the 2026 midterms. Explore Our Cities & Metro Areas (A-Z) Trump's MAGA Inc Pours $277 Million Into Midterms as GOP Fights to…
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MAGA Inc. Unleashes Millions to Turn Out RepublicansPolitical Wire · 5 days agoPolitical Wire “President Trump’s political operation has rolled out a major get-out-the-vote program online in the final days of this year’s midterm elections, flooding Facebook and Instagram with ads encouraging Republicans in a number…
DNC Asks Judge to Stop New MAGA Inc. Midterm Ad From AiringThe Washington Sun · 6 days agoThe ads often feature stylized edits of President Donald Trump and Cabinet officials, with one spot echoing Republican rhetoric on the dangers of communism and another depicting U.S. missile strikes on Iran. (Alex Brandon/AP) October 19…
Bay Area sports calendar, Oct. 23-25Yahoo Sports · 3 days agoNorth Carolina Central at Delaware State ESPN2 Duke at Virginia ESPN Massachusetts at UConn CBSSN Yale at Pennsylvania ESPNU Army at Tulsa ESPN2 Air Force at Wyoming KRON (4) NC State at Stanford ESPN (1050) 3p Women: Stanford at North…
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions