Southwest Airlines average passenger fare in fiscal 2026
$232.31median
$200$240
Median $232.31Middle half $230.68 – $233.93
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Southwest Airlines seats flown in 2026
The odds
229.73Mmedian
223.00M237.00M
Median 229.73MMiddle half 228.94M – 230.48M
How the odds have moved
Median: 229.09M on Oct 20, 229.73M now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Above 225 million | 96% | 95¢ | 96¢ | $1.04 | 897 | |
| Above 227 million | 93% | 92¢ | 93¢ | $1.08 | 3.7K | |
| Above 229 million | 75% | 74¢ | 75¢ | $1.33 | 2.6K | |
| Above 231 million | 8% | 7¢ | 8¢ | $12.50 | 1.5K | |
| Above 233 million | 6% | 5¢ | 6¢ | $16.67 | 1.6K | |
| Above 235 million | 6% | 5¢ | 6¢ | $16.67 | 3.0K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Southwest Airlines
Search ›-
Southwest Airlines: Revenue Transformation AcceleratesSouthwest Airlines is executing a major business model transformation, driving industry-leading revenue growth. Read why I rate LUV stock a Buy. - Southwest Airlines is executing a major business model transformation, driving… -
Southwest Airlines (NYSE:LUV) Releases FY 2026 Earnings GuidancePosted by Mitch Edgeman on Oct 24th, 2026 Southwest Airlines (NYSE:LUV – Get Free Report) updated its FY 2026 earnings guidance on Friday. The company provided EPS guidance of 2.600-2.850 for the period, compared to the consensus estimate… -
Southwest Airlines cuts 2026 profit forecast on higher fuelSouthwest Airlines became the third major U.S. airline this month to cut its 2026 profit forecast due to higher fuel prices, but CEO Bob Jordan said travelers continue to book despite higher fares. Here's what Southwest reported for third… -
JPMorgan Adjusts Price Target on Southwest Airlines to $58 From $59Southwest Airlines has an average rating of overweight and mean price target of $49.90, according to analysts polled by FactSet. ... JPMorgan Adjusts Price Target on Southwest Airlines to $58 From $59 Published on 10/23/2026 at 07:39 am… - Southwest Airlines (NYSE:LUV) Releases Q4 2026 Earnings GuidancePosted by Sarita Garza on Oct 23rd, 2026 Southwest Airlines (NYSE:LUV – Get Free Report) issued an update on its fourth quarter 2026 earnings guidance on Friday morning. The company provided EPS guidance of 0.550-0.800 for the period…
- Susquehanna Adjusts Price Target on Southwest Airlines to $43 From $45Southwest Airlines has an average rating of overweight and mean price target of $49.90, according to analysts polled by FactSet. ... Susquehanna Adjusts Price Target on Southwest Airlines to $43 From $45 Published on 10/23/2026 at 07:19 am…
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BMO Capital Adjusts Price Target on Southwest Airlines to $55 From $50Southwest Airlines has an average rating of overweight and mean price target of $49.90, according to analysts polled by FactSet. ... BMO Capital Adjusts Price Target on Southwest Airlines to $55 From $50 Published on 10/23/2026 at 06:57 am… - UBS Adjusts Price Target on Southwest Airlines to $54 From $52, Maintains Buy RatingSouthwest Airlines has an average rating of overweight and mean price target of $49.90, according to analysts polled by FactSet. Price: 40.70, Change: -1.32, Percent Change: -3.15 ... UBS Adjusts Price Target on Southwest Airlines to $54…
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Southwest Airlines Unrecognizable From Former IdentitySouthwest has unveiled more changes and a new international partnership in its pivot from Low Cost Carrier to standard network airline. If you haven’t followed us on Facebook or Instagram, add us today. They were also less expensive, but… -
Southwest Airlines Co. (LUV) Q3 2026 Earnings Call TranscriptSouthwest Airlines Co. (LUV) Q3 2026 Earnings Call October 22, 2026 10:00 AM EDT Danielle Collins - Managing Director of Investor RelationsRobert Jordan - President, CEO & Vice Chairman of the BoardJustin Jones - Executive VP & Chief… -
Southwest Airlines cuts 2026 profit forecast as rising fuel costs squeeze earningsSouthwest Airlines has lowered its annual profit forecast for 2026 as rising jet fuel prices threaten to offset gains from higher ticket prices and a major overhaul of its business, despite reporting record revenue in the third quarter… -
Southwest Airlines Posts Record Revenue After Charging Bags and Dropping Open SeatingSouthwest Airlines bag fees 2026 and assigned seating have cleared five full quarters of operation, and Q3 results confirm the transformation is paying off: $8.4 billion in record revenue and net income up fivefold to $270 million.
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 5 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions