Settled57,593,000A day before, traders had a median of 57.22M
The last odds before it closed
—
✓ Above 56 million99%▲ 2
✓ Above 56.5 million99%▲ 2
✓ Above 57 million99%▲ 25
✓ Above 57.5 million99%▲ 64
Above 58 million1%▼ 4
Above 58.5 million1%▼ 2
Above 59 million1%▼ 1
Above 59.5 million1%▼ 1
Above 60 million1%▼ 1
Above 60.5 million1%▲ 1
Above 61 million1%▲ 1
Above 61.5 million1%▲ 1
1 more
Above 62 million1%▲ 1
How the odds have moved
Above 56 million: 98% on Oct 20, 100% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
Outcome
Last odds
Day
Bid
Ask
Pays
Contracts
✓ Above 56 million
99%
7.8K
✓ Above 56.5 million
99%
5.5K
✓ Above 57 million
99%
13.4K
✓ Above 57.5 million
99%
29.2K
✗ Above 58 million
1%
8.4K
✗ Above 58.5 million
1%
6.3K
✗ Above 59 million
1%
2.4K
✗ Above 59.5 million
1%
28.6K
✗ Above 60 million
1%
7.9K
✗ Above 60.5 million
1%
4.8K
✗ Above 61 million
1%
20.4K
✗ Above 61.5 million
1%
3.2K
✗ Above 62 million
1%
6.2K
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions