Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
Outcome
Chance
Day
Bid
Ask
Pays
Contracts
SPD
61%
▼ 1
58¢
65¢
$1.54
CDU
26%
22¢
30¢
$3.33
AfD
10%
6¢
14¢
$7.14
Grüne
3%
6¢
$16.67
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
Germany warns of significant risk of Russian-orchestrated sabotageBNN · 5 days agoA spokesperson for the German Defence Ministry confirmed this assessment, stating to journalists that the Bundeswehr is facing a significant threat of sabotage. The German Armed Forces have, for the first time, classified the threat of…
German military for the first time recognizes 'significant' threat of sabotage by Russiaenglish.nv.ua · 6 days agoGermany's armed forces have for the first time rated the threat of Russian sabotage against military facilities and Bundeswehr personnel as "significant," the second-highest danger level, Tagesschau reported on Oct. 21, citing an internal…
Is this email hack an attempt to destroy the AfD?The Spectator · 6 days agoHundreds of thousands of private emails from Germany’s Alternative for Germany (AfD) party have been hacked and published online, exposing the inner workings of the party and raising the possibility that members could be harassed. The…
Germany's military warns of 'significant' Russian sabotage threatLexington Herald Leader · 6 days agoBERLIN, Oct 21 (Reuters) - Germany's armed forces classified the threat of Russian sabotage against their own troops and facilities as "significant" for the first time, the second-highest level on their internal threat scale, according to…
Germany raises Russia threat alert to second-highest levelThe Jerusalem Post | JPost.com · 6 days agoGermany's armed forces classified the threat of Russian sabotage against their own troops and facilities as "significant" for the first time, the second-highest level on their internal threat scale, according to a Bundeswehr assessment…
Third lawmaker from Germany's SPD facing corruption probeYahoo News · 12 days agoGermany's Bundestag on Thursday lifted the immunity of Social Democrat (SPD) lawmaker Adis Ahmetovic amid a growing corruption investigation in the northern city of Hanover. The lower house of parliament voted to lift the 33-year-old's…
German Bundestag lifts immunity of SPD lawmaker amid corruption probeYahoo News · 12 days agoGermany's Bundestag on Thursday lifted the immunity of Social Democrat (SPD) lawmaker Adis Ahmetovic amid a growing corruption investigation in the northern city of Hanover. The lower house of parliament voted to lift the 33-year-old's…
Press commentary: 'Volksstimme' on the local elections in Lower SaxonyMarketScreener · 15 days agoPublished on 09/14/2026 at 11:37 pm EDT MAGDEBURG (dpa-AFX) - "Volksstimme" on the local elections in Lower Saxony: Salzgitter: Earnings revision after the H126 final results August 12, 2026 at 04:52 am EDT Salzgitter confirms turnaround…
In Lower Saxony, CDU finishes ahead of SPD in local electionsMarketScreener · 15 days agoIn the local elections in Lower Saxony on Sunday, the CDU held on as the strongest force ahead of the SPD. According to the provisional official final results, however, both parties suffered... In the local elections in Lower Saxony on…
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions