Will NYC ban horse-drawn carriages in 2026?
97%chance▼ 1
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Jessica Tisch departure announced? (Before Jan 1, 2028)
The odds
36%Before Jan 1, 2028
- Before Jan 1, 202719%
- Before Jul 1, 202726%▼ 1
- Before Jan 1, 202836%
How the odds have moved
Before Jan 1, 2027: 20% on Oct 20, 19% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Before Jan 1, 2027 | 19% | 17¢ | 20¢ | $5.00 | 30.3K | |
| Before Jul 1, 2027 | 26% | ▼ 1 | 21¢ | 30¢ | $3.33 | |
| Before Jan 1, 2028 | 36% | 33¢ | 38¢ | $2.63 | 2.00 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Jessica Tisch
Search ›- NYPD Commissioner Jessica Tisch would be Mamdani’s biggest foe when he’s up for reelection: pollMayor Zohran Mamdani’s NYPD commissioner could be the biggest threat if she runs against him when he’s up for reelection in 2029, a new poll found. Honan Strategy Group found the democratic socialist mayor has the support of 54% of likely…
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Don’t Let the DSA Oust Jessica TischThe NYPD commissioner is effective—which is why the Democratic Socialists of America wants Mayor Mamdani to replace her. The hounds are once again baying for New York City Police Commissioner Jessica Tisch. She still has the support of her… -
NYC high school faces backlash over ‘intifada’ post10/21/2026 04:58 PM EDT Stuyvesant High School is facing backlash over a school-based socialist youth group's social media post. | Mary Altaffer/AP INTIFADA FLARE UP: One of New York City’s most prestigious public high schools is facing… -
Zohran Mamdani news - Today’s latest updatesThe city announced that 10,000 new spots will be added across the city for free childcare for 2-year-olds. CBS News New York's Christina Fan reports. Mayor Zohran Mamdani and Gov. Kathy Hochul announced Monday that more than 12,000… -
The Intercept Live in Conversation With Robert ReichWatch live as Inequality Media co-founder Robert Reich and The Intercept’s Akela Lacy break down the most pressing issues of the midterm elections. Democrats may be ahead in the polls. But can they withstand billions in campaign spending… -
The Left Comes for Jessica TischFox News The Left Comes for Jessica Tisch Why Mamdani is standing by the NYPD Commissioner for now -
ICE Lodges Detainers on 2 in NYPD StabbingDOMINICAN REPUBLIC · US IMMIGRATION The two men, D’Angelo Rafael Jean Caraballo, 25, and Sneider Mejía Bautista, 24, have pleaded not guilty and are held without bail in the Bronx. A detainer is a request that a jail tell the immigration… -
Mamdani’s High-Wire Balancing Act Between ICE and NYPD Can’t LastThe New York City mayor has said he doesn’t want to “normalize” ICE. But the NYPD, led by Jessica Tisch, has other plans. Ian F. Blair is a writer and editor in New York City. Noticeably absent from any of Mamdani’s public remarks about… -
Mayor Mamdani Attends Mayoral Accountability AssemblyIn spite of the heavy rains, more than 2,000 city residents, mostly from Queens, attended. The mayor agreed to several key commitments: 1- Affordable Housing: He pledged to build thousands of new affordable homes on city-owned land across… -
Wong wants action on Glendale streetTwo people were hurt by cars at this intersection this year. A child was hit by a car Oct. 14 on the same Glendale street where a man was seriously injured in a hit-and-run in March. The 12-year-old victim, whose identity was not revealed… - The divide among Mamdani allies over reforming the NYPDPublished Oct 22, 2026 at 11:01 a.m. ET This column originally appeared in The Politics Brief, our weekly newsletter on the people, power and policies that shape New Yorkers' lives. ICE’s shooting of a Dominican man in Marble Hill earlier…
- Five reputed members of the Trinitarios street gang indicted for violent two-day shooting spree in Corona, injuring two minors: DAFive purported members of the Trinitarios street gang were indicted for a violent shooting spree in Corona over two days in late August, Queens District Attorney Melinda Katz and NYPD commissioner Jessica Tisch announced on Thursday. The…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions