Will Minji, Hanni, Haerin, or Hyein leave NewJeans before Jan 1, 2027?

Kalshi Culture Closes Jan 1, 2027 · $79 traded · $30 at stake · prices read 3 h ago

The odds

18%chance▼ 2

How the odds have moved

Yes: 19% on Oct 19, 18% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome	Chance	Day	Bid	Ask	Pays	Contracts
Yes	18%	▼ 2	13¢	22¢	$4.55	449

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Minji, Hanni, Haerin

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NewJeans' Haneul, Overtakes Haerin to Rank No. 2 in Star Ranking Female Idol Category… Shining PresenceSTARNEWS · 3 days agoHaneul of the group NewJeans recorded the No. 2 spot in the Star Ranking female idol ranking. In the 260th Star Ranking female idol voting, which ran from 3:01 p.m. on the 15th to 3:00 p.m. on the 22nd, Haneul secured the No. 2 position…
Danielle's Melbourne Vlog Highlights NewJeans Bonds with Hanni Visit and Group NodsX (formerly Twitter) · 5 days agoIn her 10-minute YouTube video 'Sisters in Melbourne,' Danielle visits bandmate Hanni, giggles with her fluffy white and brown dogs, and features five colorful ice cream cones fans link to all NewJeans members. Subtle touches like Minji's…
Minji Kang, Natthakritta Vongtaveelap Make Aces at 2026 Buick LPGA Shanghai | News | LPGA | Ladies Professional Golf AssociationLPGA · 9 days agoMinji Kang, Natthakritta Vongtaveelap Make Aces at 2026 Buick LPGA Shanghai LPGA SKIP TO MAIN CONTENT Race to CME Globe Minji Kang, Natthakritta Vongtaveelap Make Aces at 2026 Buick LPGA Shanghai Jennifer Meyer is the Manager of Digital…
Death Notice - Donald J. “Don” HanniSt. Maries Gazette Recored · 11 days agoEnter all nine digits of your zip code, without a hyphen.Last Name needs to be in all caps. Donald J. “Don” Hanni, 79, of St. Maries, Idaho, passed away peacefully at his home on October 4, 2026, following a courageous battle with cancer…
Donald Hanni, 79Hagadone News Network · 11 days agoDonald J. “Don” Hanni, 79, of St. Maries, Idaho, passed away peacefully at his home Oct. 4, 2026, following a courageous battle with cancer. Surrounded by the life and place he loved, Don left behind a legacy of hard work, devotion to…
Aesop Rock & Blockhead Team Up With Hanni El Khatib For New Single “Coyote Summer”mxdwn Music · 11 days agomxdwn Music Aesop Rock & Blockhead Team Up With Hanni El Khatib For New Single “Coyote Summer” Today, musical artist’s Aesop Rock and Blockhead have shared “Coyote Summer,” which is a new track featuring Hanni El Khatib from their…
Aesop Rock & Blockhead – “Coyote Summer” (Feat. Hanni El Khatib)Stereogum · 12 days agoAesop Rock & Blockhead Share New Song "Coyote Summer": Listen Stereogum Aesop Rock & Blockhead – “Coyote Summer” (Feat. Hanni El Khatib) 12:02 PM EDT on October 13, 2026 Abstract rap legend Aesop Rock and veteran producer Blockhead have…
NewJeans' Hae-rin Ranks No. 2 in Star Ranking Female Idol Category... Minji at No. 1, Hyein at No. 3STARNEWS · 13 days agoHae-rin of the group NewJeans has secured the No. 2 spot in the Star Ranking Female Idol ranking for the 21st consecutive week. In the 258th Star Ranking Female Idol vote, which ran from 3:01 p.m. on the 1st to 3:00 p.m. on October 8…
NewJeans' Minji, Tops Star Ranking Female Idol Chart for '21 Consecutive Weeks'STARNEWS · 13 days agoMinji, the leader of the group NewJeans, has claimed the top spot in the Star Ranking Star Idol Female ranking for 21 consecutive weeks. In the 258th Star Ranking Star Idol Female voting, which ran from 3:01 p.m. on the 1st to 3:00 p.m. on…
TIM HANNI vs. THE TYRANNY OF THE WINE EXPERTSalangoldfarb2424.substack.com · 13 days ago(THIS NEWSLETTER IS WRITTEN 100% BY A HUMAN — ME) Tim Hanni: “I’m taking an axe to wine misinformation and the status quo.” For nearly 40 years trying to convince the wine industry that its approach to wine education has “created this…
NewJeans sweeps top 3 in Star Ranking female idol chart… Hyein also ranks 4th after Hani takes 3rd placeSTARNEWS · 13 days agoHani of the group NewJeans has risen to third place in the Star Ranking Star Idol Female ranking. Hani secured third place in the 258th Star Ranking Star Idol Female voting, which was conducted from 3:01 p.m. on the 1st until 3:00 p.m. on…

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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

About this market

VenueKalshi

Settles onVariety, Bloomberg, NBC

Trading closesJan 1, 2027 10:00 AM ET

Traded$79 (449 contracts)

At stake$30

Followed here sinceOct 19, 2026

The rules

If Minji, Hanni, Haerin, or Hyein leaves NewJeans before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

The full rules are on the market's page at Kalshi.

Reading the odds

A prediction market trades contracts that pay $1 if something happens. Its price is the market's chance: a contract at 62¢ means traders give it 62%. Each number here is the midpoint between the best bid and offer, or the last trade when they are more than ten cents apart.

For a question with many answers (who wins, which range a number lands in), the chances are scaled to add up to 100%. A price ladder ("above 4.25%, above 4.50% ...") gives a whole distribution: its median is where traders see an even chance either way.

Kalshi is a U.S. exchange regulated by the CFTC; its money is counted in contracts, shown here as dollars at their price. Polymarket counts dollars. ForecastEx is Interactive Brokers' exchange, regulated by the CFTC; its contracts too are shown as dollars at their price. Crypto.com lists its markets on Crypto.com | Derivatives North America, a U.S. exchange regulated by the CFTC; it reports the dollars traded. Where more than one asks the same question, each is shown, never averaged.

Prefer betting odds? Switch to American (+150) or decimal (2.50) odds at the top of the page.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.