Steve Feinberg out as Deputy Secretary of Defense? (Before Jul 1, 2027)

Kalshi Politics › Trump administration Closes Jun 30, 2027 · $8 traded · $8 at stake · prices read 9 h ago

The odds

Dec 17, 2026even chance by
  • Before Nov 1, 202614%▲ 1
  • Before Dec 1, 202641%
  • Before Jan 1, 202760%
  • Before Jul 1, 202769%

How the odds have moved

Before Nov 1, 2026: 14% on Oct 19, 14% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Contracts
Before Nov 1, 2026 14% ▲ 1 10¢ 18¢ $5.56 6.00
Before Dec 1, 2026 41% 36¢ 46¢ $2.17 5.00
Before Jan 1, 2027 60% 55¢ 64¢ $1.56 8.00
Before Jul 1, 2027 69% 64¢ 74¢ $1.35

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Deputy Secretary of Defense, Steve Feinberg

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  • Senator Elizabeth Warren (@senatorwarren)Substack · 4 days agoSubstack Boeing has overcharged the Pentagon nearly 8,000% for soap dispensers. Talk about government waste. If the Pentagon wants to crack down on price gouging by defense contractors and do something to save American tax dollars — I'm…
  • Warren, Grassley Press Pentagon’s Feinberg on Price Transparency@BGOV · 5 days agoBloomberg Government News A bipartisan group of US senators is pressing Deputy Defense Secretary Steve Feinberg to detail how he’ll compel defense companies to disclose detailed cost and pricing data for contracts below a $10 million…
  • Pentagon creates agency for technological sabotage in foreign countries — PoliticoTASS · 3 days agoWASHINGTON, October 22. /TASS/. An agency tasked with technological sabotage in foreign countries has been created within the US Department of Defense, the Politico newspaper wrote. "The Pentagon has spent months quietly building an elite…
  • Pete Hegseth’s secret ‘movie-level spy craft’ agency sparks oversight alarm: reportRaw Story · 3 days agoDefense Secretary Pete Hegseth's Pentagon has spent months quietly standing up a new covert agency that has insiders worried about who's watching it. The Technology Support Office, or TSO, was set up in April to secretly undermine rival…
  • Pentagon and Lockheed have agreed to produce 850 F-35 fighter jetsUkrainian National News (UNN) · 3 days agoOctober 22 2026, 01:15 PM • 600 views Lockheed Martin has reached a preliminary agreement with the Pentagon to produce and support 850 F-35s over 10 years. The company will invest at least $7 billion. Lockheed Martin has reached a…
  • The Pentagon is quietly building an elite new tech sabotage agencyYahoo News · 4 days agoThe Pentagon has spent months quietly building an elite new tech agency to help covertly disrupt and sabotage foreign technology programs considered threats to American military superiority. Neither Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth nor any…
  • Senate lawmakers press Pentagon for greater price transparencyFederal News Network · 4 days agoThe lawmakers want to know whether DoD will disqualify contractors that refuse to provide necessary cost and pricing data. A group of lawmakers is pressing the Pentagon to explain how it will obtain cost and pricing data from defense…
  • US backs $80 million drug supply projectSocial News XYZ · 8 days agoHome » International » US backs $80 million drug supply project Posted By: Gopi October 17, 2026 Washington, Oct 18 (SocialNews.XYZ) The US Department of War announced an $80 million conditional loan commitment to biotechnology company…
  • War Department Commits $80 Million Loan to AntheiaMirage News · 8 days agoWollongong-based online news outlet covering Australia and beyond. If you have anything newsworthy - a story, video or picture to share with us, please email us. Today, the vast majority of KSMs and APIs are manufactured outside the United…
  • Department of War's Office of Strategic Capital Signs $80 Million CondU.S. Department of War (.gov) · 8 days agoitional Loan Commitm U.S. Department of War (.gov) Today, the vast majority of KSMs and APIs are manufactured outside the United States. OSC's conditional loan commitment to Antheia would help address this reliance on foreign production…
  • Trump launches Super Intelligence Force to advance AI in USRBC-Ukraine · 9 days agoUS President Donald Trump announced the creation of a new government body, the Super Intelligence Force, which will coordinate the US administration's policy on artificial intelligence, according to The Washington Post. The new body will…
  • US Counter-Drone Task Force Marks First Year With Faster Procurement PushTheDefenseWatch.com · 10 days agoThe Defense Watch | U.S. & Global Defense News, Analysis & Military Updates Get the latest update The U.S. Department of War’s Joint Interagency Task Force 401 (JIATF-401) has reached its first anniversary after a year focused on speeding…

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