LA-01 Democratic nominee? (LA-01 (D))
7%Lauren Jewett
- Lauren Jewett7%
- Jim Long1%
Install
LA-04 Republican nominee? (LA-04 (R))
The odds
7%Mike Johnson
- Mike Johnson7%▼ 1
- Josh Morott1%
- Mike Nichols1%
How the odds have moved
Mike Johnson: 12% on Oct 20, 7% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mike Johnson | 7% | ▼ 1 | 4¢ | 9¢ | $10.99 | 69.8K |
| Josh Morott | 1% | 2¢ | $55.56 | 3.2K | ||
| Mike Nichols | 1% | 2¢ | $55.56 | 2.2K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: LA- Republican, Mike Johnson, Josh Morott
Search ›-
Mike Johnson asks Trump for more midterm money as Republicans seek to avert disaster in House racesIn the final sprint to the midterms, Speaker Mike Johnson went to President Donald Trump with a crucial ask, according to a person familiar with the exchange. Johnson’s message: Could Trump spare more cash to help House Republicans in this… -
House Speaker Mike Johnson campaigns for Kevin Lincoln in competitive Central Valley congressional raceOctober 21, 2026 / 10:36 PM PDT / CBS Sacramento House Speaker Mike Johnson traveled to Stockton on Wednesday to campaign for Republican Kevin Lincoln, stepping up GOP efforts to reclaim California's 13th Congressional District less than… -
Mike Johnson Warns America Could Face France-Style Riots if Democrats Take CongressU.S. House Speaker MIKE JOHNSON (R-LA) warns that TV images of violent riots in France could offer a preview of how America may look if radical Democrats gain control of Congress on November 3rd; he also charges that Christians opting to… - Speaker Mike Johnson faces crowded field in La.’s District 4 raceLOUISIANA (KPLC) - For the last four years, Mike Johnson has served as Speaker of the House. Now, it’s the Speaker against the field. After Louisiana’s primaries for the House of Representatives were delayed last April following the…
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Trump puts pressure on Mike Johnson to oust Dem lawmaker in overnight tiradeRegardless of the midterm election outcome in less than two weeks, President Donald Trump is putting public pressure on House Speaker Mike Johnson (R-LA) not to seat a Democratic lawmaker.Trump posted on Truth Social at 11:20 p.m. ET… - Mike Johnson asks Trump for more cash as GOP scrambles to defend vulnerable House seats: ReportWASHINGTON, DC: House Speaker Mike Johnson has asked President Donald Trump for additional campaign money as Republicans scramble to protect their narrow House majority ahead of the November midterm elections, according to people familiar…
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Trump declares Dem’s House seat ‘conceded’ and orders Republicans to inform Mike JohnsonPresident Donald Trump declared Friday that Democratic Rep. Ilhan Omar’s congressional seat had been “conceded” and instructed two Republican allies to deliver the news to House Speaker Mike Johnson. The remarks, during a rambling speech… -
Mike Johnson Amplifies FCC Chair’s “Fake Polls” Warning to Broadcasters — Former FCC Officials Say “Dangerous and Unconstitutional”House Speaker Mike Johnson, UKinUSA, CC BY-SA 4.0, via Wikimedia Commons Speaker Mike Johnson said Friday that “the polls are WRONG,” citing a warning from the Federal Communications Commission’s chairman about “fake polls.” The chairman… -
Kevin McCarthy predicts Republicans will LOSE the House in two weeks as he blames Mike JohnsonBy SAMANTHA LOREN, US POLITICAL REPORTER Kevin McCarthy has no hope left of Republicans maintaining control of the House. In an interview with Bloomberg TV on Thursday, the former House Speaker said Democrats would likely win the chamber… - Mike Johnson needs to speak up for Ilhan OmarThe raid on Ilhan Omar’s home potentially violated her rights as a member of Congress. As speaker of the House, Mike Johnson needs to stand by her. Federal agents took possession of Rep. Ilhan Omar’s laptop and personal cellphone when they…
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Mike Johnson, U.S. Representative for LouisianaJames Michael Johnson was born in January 1972 in Shreveport, Louisiana. He earned an undergraduate degree and a Juris Doctor from Louisiana State University. He became a constitutional lawyer, serving as senior counsel for the Alliance… -
Kevin McCarthy sideswipes Mike Johnson in tense interview as midterm pressure mountsFormer House Speaker Kevin McCarthy predicted Republicans will lose the House and blamed House Republican leaders under his successor, Speaker Mike Johnson (R-LA), of letting Democrats “dictate.” McCarthy made the prediction in a Bloomberg…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions