LA-01 Democratic nominee? (LA-01 (D))
7%Lauren Jewett
- Lauren Jewett7%
- Jim Long1%
Install
LA-03 Democratic nominee? (LA-03 (D))
The odds
9%John Day
- John Day9%▼ 1
- Caleb Walker3%
- Tia LeBrun2%
How the odds have moved
John Day: 16% on Oct 20, 9% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Why it moved
- Oct 21, 7 PM ETJohn Day: 16% → 10%
No headline about it in the hours around this move.
The biggest swings over the chart's period, each with the headlines about the market's subject published in the hours before it. News and odds moving together is not proof one caused the other.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Day | 9% | ▼ 1 | 6¢ | 12¢ | $8.33 | 13.3K |
| Caleb Walker | 3% | 0¢ | 6¢ | $16.67 | 10.6K | |
| Tia LeBrun | 2% | 1¢ | 4¢ | $26.32 | 14.0K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: LA- Democratic, John Day, Caleb Walker
Search ›- Goulburn-Murray and Shepparton local news briefing: Wednesday, October 21, 2026Here's what's making news in the Goulburn-Murray and Shepparton regions today. Police have charged a man after he allegedly struck independent MP Helen Haines with his car on Monday, leaving her with critical injuries. The charges include…
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What’s on the ballot in Lafayette Parish? Key races, amendments and early voting dates.Stickers are on hand for voters to take during early voting Monday May 4, 2026, at the Lafayette Parish Government Building in Lafayette, La. Lafayette Parish voters will decide several local races on Nov. 3, including contests for… -
October 9, 2026: Charlie Cook, Dadrius Lanus, Jeff SadowWRKF October 9, 2026: Charlie Cook, Dadrius Lanus, Jeff Sadow Political analyst Charlie Cook talks his projections regarding the upcoming elections. Member of the East Baton Rouge Parish School System and executive director of the LA…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 5 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions