LA-01 Democratic nominee? (LA-01 (D))
7%Lauren Jewett
- Lauren Jewett7%
- Jim Long1%
Install
LA-01 Republican nominee? (LA-01 (R))
The odds
6%Steve Scalise
- Steve Scalise6%▼ 2
- Randall Arrington1%▲ 1
How the odds have moved
Steve Scalise: 10% on Oct 20, 6% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Steve Scalise | 6% | ▼ 2 | 4¢ | 8¢ | $12.05 | 137.2K |
| Randall Arrington | 1% | ▲ 1 | 0¢ | 2¢ | $50.00 | 28.6K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: LA- Republican, Steve Scalise, Randall Arrington
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Republicans skeptical of polling data ahead of midtermsHouse Majority Leader Steve Scalise discusses the fight for the House majority. Scalise encourages people to 'show up and vote' in order for GOP to hold the House. Republicans skeptical of polling data ahead of midterms House Majority… -
Reporter's Notebook: Congress braces for post-election game of musical chairs as leadership battles loomFox News chief congressional correspondent Chad Pergram reports on the Senate failing to advance the CLARITY Act in a procedural vote amid Democratic concerns over ethics provisions in the cryptocurrency legislation on ‘Special Report.’… -
We're on a path to 'barely' hold the House: Majority Leader ScaliseFox News We're on a path to 'barely' hold the House: Majority Leader Scalise House Majority Leader Rep. Steve Scalise, R-La., discusses what Democratic control of Congress could look like on 'Hannity.' House Majority Leader Rep. Steve… -
‘Swing district.’ Steve Scalise stumps for Marques in competitive 2nd District raceDOTHAN, Ala. — House Majority Leader Steve Scalise urged Republicans Monday to rally around State Rep. Rhett Marques during a campaign stop in Dothan as both national parties vie for Alabama’s 2nd Congressional District seat. Speaking… -
Letters: Russian diesel deal won’t help us, will hurt UkraineFILE - Ukraine's President Volodymyr Zelenskyy addresses a media conference prior to a meeting of NATO defense ministers at NATO headquarters in Brussels, Wednesday, Oct. 11, 2023. NATO is set to celebrate on Thursday, April 4, 2024, 75… -
Louisiana midterms: what is on the ballotTulane twins create AI startup connecting coders with corporations Can’t get over ‘Euro summer’? These 5 New Orleans dinner spots feel like a trip abroad Tulane restores engineering majors two decades after Katrina Tropical storm Isaias… -
Ties to Trump, Biden loom large in key South Texas congressional raceby Will Hammann, The Texas Tribune October 26, 2026 U.S. Rep. Vicente Gonzalez, a five-term Democrat who defeated Republicans in all five general elections, faces his toughest campaign yet after his South Texas district was redrawn to… -
This Louisiana election is unusual, some observers say. Here’s why.A poster of the "I Voted" sticker by Terrance Osborne was on display during early voting for the Nov. 3 ballot. WASHINGTON – Baton Rouge pollster John Couvillon turned on his TV after Labor Day expecting — and like most political junkies… -
Get-Out-the-Vote rallies sprout up around South Florida with early voting underwayWith the Nov. 3 election near and early voting underway in South Florida, candidates from both major parties along with voter mobilization groups are rallying voters to get to the polls. Salazar leads rally for Republicans in Miami-Dade On… -
Rep Al Green escorted from House chambers after holding up sign reading: 'Black People Aren't Apes'The incident marked the second consecutive time the Texas lawmaker and outspoken Trump critic was removed from a presidential address to Congress. Democratic Rep. Al Green was escorted out of House chambers Tuesday night during President… -
Did Radical Leftist Jennifer Welch Just Call for Violence Against Vice President JD Vance?Don’t forget that on June 14, 2017, a leftist whom leftist rhetoric inspired opened fire on a congressional baseball game practice, seriously wounding Rep. Steve Scalise (R-La.). Tyler Robinson, the suspected shooter in the Charlie Kirk… -
Control of Congress at stake as early voting begins in LouisianaNEW ORLEANS (WVUE) - At New Orleans City Hall, people took advantage of the first day of early voting for the Nov. 3 election. “I would love to have a huge turnout,” said Lisa Manning Bridges, New Orleans Registrar of Voters. There are two…
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LA-03 Democratic nominee? (LA-03 (D))
10%John Day
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LA-04 Democratic nominee? (LA-04 (D))
8%Conrad Cable
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LA-04 Republican nominee? (LA-04 (R))
8%Mike Johnson
- Mike Johnson8%▲ 2
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LA-05 Democratic nominee? (LA-05 (D))
6%Dan McKay
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2 more
- Larry Foy1%
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 5 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions