María Corina Machado enters Venezuela by...?
>99%October 31
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Will the US restrict access to Kimi in 2026?
The odds
14%chance▼ 2
How the odds have moved
Yes: 13% on Oct 19, 14% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 14% | ▼ 2 | 12¢ | 15¢ | $6.67 | 4.7K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Kimi K3, Kimi
Search ›-
DeepSeek and Kimi K3: The Open-Source Strategy Turning Chinese AI Into a Geopolitical ForceChinese AI controls 55% of developer traffic—DeepSeek and Kimi K3 rewrote the rules Latin Times -
Claude, Codex, Kimi K3, Qwen: I graded their web search 120 timesThe Kimi API usage in this post was paid for with credits Moonshot AI provided for evaluation. Moonshot AI had no part in designing, running, or concluding the test. Four months ago I wrote that my own AI agents search Brave, not Google… -
Kimi K3 reads video natively. Claude still caught the same issuesMoonshot AI provided the Kimi API credits used here ($50) for evaluation. They had no part in designing, running, or concluding the test. Everything K3 couldn't do, and the features that didn't work, are in this post too. Moonshot AI's… -
Kimi K3.1 Pro API Pricing: Half of Claude Opus 5.5, Same as Sonnet 5.5Short answer: Moonshot AI released Kimi K3.1 Pro at $2 per 1M input tokens and $10 per 1M output tokens. That matches Claude Sonnet 5.5 and cuts Claude Opus 5.5 pricing in half. For long prompts without tiered pricing penalties, Kimi K3.1… - New Chinese Kimi K3.1 Pro AI Model Outperforms GPT-6 Astra With Near Claude Opus 5.5 PerformanceMonhot AI's Kimi K3.1 Pro model scores higher than its predecessor and than GPT-6 Astra in AI benchmarks, while extra reasoning and tool calls can offset its lower token rates. Independent evaluator Artificial Analysis measured a jump from…
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Moonshot AI Cuts Hacking Skills from its New Kimi ModelChinese AI startup Moonshot AI has weakened the hacking skills of its new model, Kimi K3.1 Pro. The Beijing company announced the change on October 24. It plans to release the model's weights on November 4, 2026. Fears are growing that AI… -
Moonshot AI launches Kimi K3.1 Pro, closing in on Claude Opus 5.5 in coding performanceThe new model scored 65.7% on Terminal Bench 4.0, approaching Claude Opus 5.5 while introducing a one million token context window and expanded agent capabilities. Chinese AI startup Moonshot AI has launched Kimi K3.1 Pro, its latest AI… -
Moonshot AI curbs hacking ability in Kimi K3.1 Pro modelThe Chinese startup filtered cyber-related training data out of its newest model, trading some exploit capability for a safer open-weight release Moonshot AI just did something unusual for an AI lab: it made its newest model deliberately… - Kimi K3.1 Pro: 65,7% en Terminal-Bench, según Moonshot; pesos abiertos 4 novMoonshot AI activó hoy Kimi K3.1 Pro en Kimi.ai, Kimi Work, Kimi Code y su API, aunque los pesos abiertos del modelo recién llegarán el 4 de noviembre. Mientras tanto, ya compite de cerca con Claude Opus 5.5 en programación de agentes…
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Moonshot releases Kimi K3.1 Pro and says it cut its hacking skillsThe Chinese lab says its new open model comes within a point of Claude Opus 5.5 on coding. Moonshot has released Kimi K3.1 Pro, an upgraded version of its open-weight Kimi K3, with full weights due by 4 November. It says the model nearly… -
Moonshot AI launches Kimi K3.1 Pro with better coding skills, reduced cyber risksMoonshot AI, the Beijing-based artificial intelligence startup, has introduced Kimi K3.1 Pro, its first major model upgrade since K3 gained global attention in July 2026. The new model, which will be announced on Saturday, October 24, is…
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Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions