María Corina Machado enters Venezuela by...?
>99%October 31
- October 31>99%▲ 89
- December 31>99%▲ 67
Install
Kash Patel out as FBI Director? (Before Jan 2027)
The odds
Aug 1, 2027even chance by
- Before Nov 1, 20262%▼ 1
- Before Dec 1, 20265%▼ 1
- Before Feb 1, 202722%▲ 2
- Before Apr 1, 202734%▼ 1
- Before Jul 1, 202748%▼ 2
- Before Oct 1, 202754%▼ 3
- Before Jan 1, 202862%▼ 2
- Before Jul 1, 202873%▼ 2
- Before Jan 1, 202981%▼ 4
How the odds have moved
Before Jul 1, 2027: 48% on Oct 20, 48% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Before Sep 1, 2026 | 1% | $100.00 | 30.7K | |||
| Before Oct 1, 2026 | 2% | $50.00 | 38.3K | |||
| Before Nov 1, 2026 | 2% | ▼ 1 | 1¢ | 2¢ | $50.00 | 87.6K |
| Before Dec 1, 2026 | 5% | ▼ 1 | 4¢ | 6¢ | $16.67 | 102.2K |
| Before Feb 1, 2027 | 22% | ▲ 2 | 21¢ | 23¢ | $4.35 | 38.00 |
| Before Apr 1, 2027 | 34% | ▼ 1 | 31¢ | 36¢ | $2.78 | 2.5K |
| Before Jul 1, 2027 | 48% | ▼ 2 | 45¢ | 51¢ | $1.96 | 2.3K |
| Before Oct 1, 2027 | 54% | ▼ 3 | 51¢ | 57¢ | $1.75 | 2.3K |
| Before Jan 1, 2028 | 62% | ▼ 2 | 61¢ | 63¢ | $1.59 | 657 |
| Before Jul 1, 2028 | 73% | ▼ 2 | 69¢ | 76¢ | $1.32 | 98.00 |
| Before Jan 1, 2029 | 81% | ▼ 4 | 79¢ | 83¢ | $1.20 | 1.8K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Kash Patel, FBI Director
Search ›-
Kash Patel Lays Out Details Behind New Charges Tied to Hunter Biden LaptopOct 23, 2026 at 01:28 PM EDT FBI Director Kash Patel on Friday outlined allegations against two former senior FBI officials charged with lying to Congress about their knowledge of investigations involving Hunter Biden’s laptop, reviving a… -
FBI Director Kash Patel (@FBIDirectorKash) on XTwo former senior FBI officials, Nikki Cole Floris and Bradley Benavides, were taken into custody today on charges of allegedly lying to Congress about their involvement in the FBI’s investigations into Hunter Biden. The charges stem from… -
FBI is taking an ‘offensive and defensive approach’ to cybercrime: Director Kash PatelFox News FBI is taking an ‘offensive and defensive approach’ to cybercrime: Director Kash Patel FBI Director Kash Patel discusses the bureau’s ‘Operation Blackout’ initiative aimed at cracking down on cybercrime on ‘Hannity.’ FBI Director… -
“That’s Dangerous”: Charles Barkley’s Comments on FBI Director Kash Patel Leaves Kenny Smith Surprisedشبكة تواصل الإخبارية If Shaq needed any more proof his buddy is retiring, Charles Barkley’s no-holds-barred, I’m-already-outta-here humor proved it. With Inside the NBA back for the 2026-27 season, potentially Charles Barkley and Ernie… - FBI Director Kash Patel Highlights Cases Of Two Nigerians Extradited To US Over SextortionThe Federal Bureau of Investigation (FBI) has disclosed that two Nigerian men, Mudasiru Afeez Olawale and Adebola Festus Adekunle, were extradited from Nigeria to the United States in August 2026 to face federal charges related to…
-
FBI director Kash Patel announces Sen. Louise Lucas chargesDemocratic Virginia state Sen. L. Louise Lucas says she won't be "bullied" by the federal government after being charged with drug trafficking and money laundering. The charges come months after an FBI search of Lucas' district office and… -
Kash Patel Says US Dismantled 20 Scam Compounds In Global CrackdownWASHINGTON, DC-FBI Director Kash Patel said the bureau and its partners had seized more than $17 billion from overseas scam compounds under Operation Blackout, as the Trump administration launched a government-wide crackdown on call… -
BIG BREAKING: Kash Patel revealed two former senior FBI officials ARRESTED in Hunter Biden caseIt’s just been revealed by FBI Director Kash Patel that two former senior FBI officials have been arrested in the Hunter Biden case. Specifically, they’ve been arrested for lying to Congress about their involvement in investigations of… -
Kash Patel Announces Arrests of Ex-FBI Officials Involved in 'Russian Disinfo' Spin on Biden LaptopOne of the most glaring examples of how the Deep State colludes with Democrats and media happened shortly before the 2020 election. That effort sought to manufacture a narrative that claims about Biden family corruption and Hunter's laptop… -
Kash Patel Praises FBI’s World Cup Security Success with Zero Major IncidentsAt SSBCrack News, our dedicated editorial team brings you the latest and most reliable updates on Defence, Geopolitics, Military Affairs, Science, and Technology. Driven by a passion for national security and strategic awareness, the… -
Charles Barkley roasts Shaq over Kash Patel connectionLess than an hour into Inside the NBA coverage of the 2026-27 season, the always-honest Charles Barkley said something that caught host Ernie Johnson off guard. During the NBA Tip-Off pregame show ahead of Wednesday night’s ESPN NBA… -
Charles Barkley calls out Shaq for 'dangerous' Kash Patel relationship live on ESPNCharles Barkley took a major swipe at Shaquille O'Neal on their return to screens for the new NBA season this week Charles Barkley wasted no time making headlines on the first "Inside the NBA" show of the season as he called out Shaquille…
Related markets
All trump administration ›Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
2%chance
Trump out as President before 2027?
5%chance
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
3%chance▼ 1
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?
98%chance▼ 1
Trump declassifies new UFO files by...?
>99%October 31
- October 31>99%▲ 47
- November 30>99%▲ 16
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions