Marvel: Robert Downey Jr. back as Iron Man this year? (By 2027)

Kalshi Culture › Movies & box office Closes Jan 1, 2027 · $11 today · $20.8K traded · $5.1K at stake · prices read 35 min ago

The odds

49%chance

How the odds have moved

Yes: 50% on Oct 20, 49% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Why it moved

  1. Oct 21, 7 PM ET49% → 55%

The biggest swings over the chart's period, each with the headlines about the market's subject published in the hours before it. News and odds moving together is not proof one caused the other.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Contracts
Yes 49% 45¢ 52¢ $1.92 42.9K

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Robert Downey Jr, Iron Man, Marvel

Search ›

Related markets

All movies & box office ›

Next James Bond actor?

37%Jack Lowden
  • Jack Lowden37%▼ 3
  • No Bond chosen19%▲ 1
  • Callum Turner16%▼ 4
21 more
  • Josh O'Connor7%▼ 4
  • Jacob Elordi6%▲ 1
  • James Norton3%▲ 3
  • Jack Barton3%▼ 1
  • Tom Francis3%
  • Jack O'Connell1%▲ 1
  • Harris Dickinson1%
  • Richard Madden1%▲ 1
  • Henry Cavill1%
  • Paul Mescal<1%
  • Theo James<1%
  • Tom Hardy<1%
  • Tom Holland<1%
  • Aaron Taylor-Johnson<1%
  • Pierce Brosnan<1%
  • Robert James-Collier<1%
  • Timothee Chalamet<1%
  • Michael B Jordan<1%
  • Nicholas Galitzine<1%
  • Jonathan Bailey<1%
  • Tom Blyth<1%

Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.