S&P close price end of 2026?

Kalshi Finance › Indexes Closes Dec 31 · $2K today · $508K traded · $265K at stake · prices read 3 min ago

The odds

3,8009,200
Median 7,759Middle half 7,325 – 8,023Above today's price 56%

How the odds have moved

Median: 7,858 on Sep 22, 7,759 now.

The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Contracts
3,999.99 or below 1% 1¢ $100.00 464.7K
4,000 to 4,199.99 1% 1¢ $100.00 119.3K
4,200 to 4,399.99 1% 1¢ $100.00 107.7K
4,400 to 4,599.99 1% 1¢ $100.00 115.4K
4,600 to 4,799.99 1% 1¢ $100.00 120.8K
4,800 to 4,999.99 1% 1¢ $100.00 133.4K
5,000 to 5,199.99 1% 1¢ $100.00 142.6K
5,200 to 5,399.99 1% 1¢ $100.00 136.9K
5,400 to 5,599.99 1% 1¢ $100.00 144.3K
5,600 to 5,799.99 1% 1¢ $100.00 168.2K
5,800 to 5,999.99 1% 1¢ $100.00 218.8K
6,000 to 6,199.99 1% 1¢ $100.00 268.5K
6,200 to 6,399.99 1% 2¢ $50.00 293.6K
6,400 to 6,599.99 1% ▼ 1 1¢ 2¢ $50.00 313.8K
6,600 to 6,799.99 2% 2¢ 3¢ $33.33 296.8K
6,800 to 6,999.99 4% ▲ 1 3¢ 5¢ $20.00 371.4K
7,000 to 7,199.99 5% ▼ 1 5¢ 6¢ $16.67 350.6K
7,200 to 7,399.99 7% 7¢ 8¢ $12.50 398.0K
7,400 to 7,599.99 10% ▲ 1 10¢ 11¢ $9.09 553.2K
7,600 to 7,799.99 15% ▲ 1 14¢ 16¢ $6.25 567.8K
7,800 to 7,999.99 20% ▼ 3 20¢ 21¢ $4.76 612.0K
8,000 to 8,199.99 14% ▲ 2 14¢ 15¢ $6.67 626.0K
8,200 to 8,399.99 7% ▲ 1 7¢ 8¢ $12.50 408.6K
8,400 to 8,599.99 2% 2¢ 3¢ $33.33 296.9K
8,600 to 8,799.99 1% 1¢ $100.00 292.2K
8,800 to 9,000 1% 1¢ $100.00 299.2K
9,000.01 or above 1% 1¢ 2¢ $50.00 273.1K

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news

No recent headlines name this market's subject.

Related markets

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What will S&P 500 (SPY) hit in October 2026?

$776.50high with an even chance

Traders see an even chance of trading as high as $776.50 and as low as $752.70.

  • Reaches $770>99%
  • Reaches $78023%
  • Falls to $760>99%
  • Falls to $75032%

Already reached: ↑ $780, ↑ $770, ↓ $760, ↑ $770, ↑ $770, ↓ $770

Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions