Will the S&P finish positive this year? (2026)
92%chance▲ 2
Install
S&P price range on Oct 23, 2026 at 4pm EDT?
The odds
7,732median
S&P 500 now 7,690.73 +0.41% 7,3508,100
Median 7,732Middle half 7,633 – 7,807Above today's price 62%
How the odds have moved
Not enough history yet.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7,374.9999 or below | 2% | ▼ 3 | 1¢ | 4¢ | $25.00 | |
| 7,375 to 7,399.9999 | 1% | ▼ 2 | 3¢ | $33.33 | ||
| 7,400 to 7,424.9999 | 1% | 3¢ | $33.33 | |||
| 7,425 to 7,449.9999 | 2% | 4¢ | $25.00 | |||
| 7,450 to 7,474.9999 | 2% | ▼ 2 | 4¢ | $25.00 | ||
| 7,475 to 7,499.9999 | 2% | 4¢ | $25.00 | |||
| 7,500 to 7,524.9999 | 2% | ▼ 2 | 1¢ | 4¢ | $25.00 | |
| 7,525 to 7,549.9999 | 2% | ▼ 18 | 1¢ | 4¢ | $25.00 | 5.00 |
| 7,550 to 7,574.9999 | 3% | 2¢ | 6¢ | $16.67 | ||
| 7,575 to 7,599.9999 | 3% | 2¢ | 6¢ | $16.67 | ||
| 7,600 to 7,624.9999 | 4% | ▼ 1 | 3¢ | 7¢ | $14.29 | |
| 7,625 to 7,649.9999 | 5% | ▼ 2 | 4¢ | 8¢ | $12.50 | |
| 7,650 to 7,674.9999 | 6% | 5¢ | 9¢ | $11.11 | ||
| 7,675 to 7,699.9999 | 6% | 6¢ | 10¢ | $10.00 | ||
| 7,700 to 7,724.9999 | 8% | 7¢ | 12¢ | $8.33 | ||
| 7,725 to 7,749.9999 | 9% | 9¢ | 13¢ | $7.69 | ||
| 7,750 to 7,774.9999 | 9% | 9¢ | 13¢ | $7.69 | ||
| 7,775 to 7,799.9999 | 8% | 8¢ | 12¢ | $8.33 | ||
| 7,800 to 7,824.9999 | 7% | ▲ 4 | 7¢ | 11¢ | $9.09 | |
| 7,825 to 7,849.9999 | 5% | 4¢ | 9¢ | $11.11 | ||
| 7,850 to 7,874.9999 | 4% | ▼ 1 | 2¢ | 7¢ | $14.29 | |
| 7,875 to 7,899.9999 | 2% | 4¢ | $25.00 | |||
| 7,900 to 7,924.9999 | 1% | ▼ 2 | 3¢ | $33.33 | ||
| 7,925 to 7,949.9999 | 1% | ▼ 4 | 3¢ | $33.33 | ||
| 7,950 to 7,974.9999 | 1% | ▼ 2 | 3¢ | $33.33 | ||
| 7,975 to 7,999.9999 | 1% | ▼ 2 | 3¢ | $33.33 | ||
| 8,000 to 8,024.9999 | 1% | 3¢ | $33.33 | |||
| 8,025 to 8,049.9999 | 1% | ▼ 3 | 3¢ | $33.33 | ||
| 8,050 to 8,074.9999 | 1% | 3¢ | $33.33 | |||
| 8,075 or above | 1% | 3¢ | $33.33 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news
No recent headlines name this market's subject.
Related markets
All indexes ›S&P 500 (SPY) closes above ___ on October 19?
$767.50median
$745$805
Median $767.50Middle half $766.25 – $768.75
What will S&P 500 (SPY) hit Week of October 19 2026?
$774.67high with an even chance
Traders see an even chance of trading as high as $774.67 and as low as $760.15.
- Reaches $770>99%
- Reaches $77547%
- Falls to $76582%
- Falls to $76049%
Already reached: ↑ $765
What will S&P 500 (SPY) hit in October 2026?
$779.08high with an even chance
Traders see an even chance of trading as high as $779.08 and as low as $753.79.
- Reaches $770>99%
- Reaches $78045%
- Falls to $76070%
- Falls to $75038%
Already reached: ↑ $780, ↑ $770, ↓ $760, ↑ $770, ↑ $770, ↓ $770
S&P close price end of 2026?
7,834median
3,8009,200
Median 7,834Middle half 7,440 – 8,060
Bitcoin vs. Gold vs. S&P 500 in 2026
69%S&P 500
- S&P 50069%▼ 1
- Bitcoin18%
- Gold6%▼ 2
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.