NC-11 House Election Winner
85%Jamie Ager (D)
- Jamie Ager (D)85%
- Jennifer Balkcom (R)13%▼ 3
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NC-11 House winner? (2026)
The odds
86%Jamie Ager
- Jamie Ager86%▲ 1
- Jennifer Balkcom14%▼ 1
How the odds have moved
Jamie Ager: 79% on Oct 20, 86% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jamie Ager | 86% | ▲ 1 | 85¢ | 86¢ | $1.16 | 205.4K |
| Jennifer Balkcom | 14% | ▼ 1 | 14¢ | 15¢ | $6.67 | 241.8K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The same question on Polymarket
- NC-11 House winner? (2026)Jennifer Balkcom (R)Kalshi 14%Polymarket 13%1 pts apart
Shown side by side, never averaged: each venue's rules decide its own market.
The news: NC- House, Jamie Ager, Jennifer Balkcom
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‘Fierce positivity:’ Jamie Ager is relentlessly optimistic. Can he actually win?Editor’s note: The Smoky Mountain News has on several occasions attempted to contact Jennifer Balkcom’s campaign for a profile like this one. On Sept. 17, a campaign staffer texted SMN saying they’d reach out in a week. Despite numerous… -
NC-11 candidate Jamie Ager holds rally in Hendersonville, highlights key issuesHENDERSONVILLE, N.C. (WLOS) — With just two weeks to go, the two candidates for North Carolina's 11th Congressional District are pulling out all the stops this week. Democrat Jamie Ager held a rally in Hendersonville on Tuesday. "I feel… -
Recommended StoriesWashington Examiner is a news organization based in Washington, D.C., covering Congress, the White House, national security, the courts and elections, with breaking news, investigative reporting and conservative analysis. It publishes a… - Letter: Ager will step up for us in CongressIn baseball, the rule is three strikes and you’re out. For the last 14 years, Republicans in servitude to Donald Trump and their own shameful personal interests have represented our 11th Congressional District in the House of…
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GOP braces itself as Trump district in Appalachia on path to turn blue: 'Already lost'Republicans may be about to lose a Western North Carolina seat they’ve held for more than a decade, The Washington Sun reported after speaking with over a dozen operatives from both parties. In fact, noted reporter Alex Roarty on X… -
Members of farming families face off in contest for NC mountain congressional seatDemocratic congressional candidate Jamie Ager is a fifth-generation farmer, but that’s not his only family business. Ager, who is running to represent Western North Carolina’s 11th Congressional District, comes from a family of… -
Trump, in North Carolina, says Republicans will defy midterm oddsPolls show former Democratic Governor Roy Cooper with a commanding lead over Republican Michael Whatley, a former senior party official, in a Senate race that could help decide the balance of power in Washington. The two are running to… - JD Vance’s Fiery Rant About Speaking English Explodes Into a Humiliating Viral Disaster When He Botches His Own WordsVice President JD Vance seemed to have trouble getting his words out during a recent rally appearance. The irony of the 42-year-old Ohio native complaining about non-native English speakers while mangling his remarks did not go unnoticed…
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Balkcom’s ‘Momma’ ad is brilliant, but questions remainRepublican congressional candidate Jennifer Balkcom, right, appears with her mother, Kathy Ward-King, in a campaign ad that has gone viral. In the ad, Balkcom says her mother once shot a home intruder, a claim Asheville Watchdog’s John… -
Trump, Whatley continue attacks on Cooper during Greenville visitThe crowd cheers as President Donald Trump is about to take the stage during his rally on Tuesday. A supporter holds up her phone to capture the moment President Donald Trump’s plane flew into Pitt-Greenville Airport on Tuesday. Mugshots… -
A Farmer Tries To Flip Carolina’s Mountain CountryDemocrats have long struggled to find traction in the mountains of western North Carolina, a region that has reliably favored Republicans in recent cycles. Jamie Ager is trying to break that pattern. Ager, a farmer by trade, is working to… -
Left-Wing Dark Money Groups Are Sending Mailers to Mislead NC-01 Voters on Laurie Buckhout's RecordThis time, the mailers sent by "American Forge Coalition" are blatantly lying about Buckhout's position on abortion, falsely claiming that she supports allowing abortion up to birth. This is false. Col. Buckhout is pro-life. This is the…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions