Another critical Cloudflare incident by...?
99%October 31
- October 3199%▲ 1
- November 3099%▲ 1
- December 3199%▲ 14
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Hims subscribers in Q3 (subscribers in Q3 2026)
The odds
3.05Mmedian
2.90M3.30M
Median 3.05MMiddle half 3.01M – 3.15M
How the odds have moved
Median: 3.05M on Oct 20, 3.05M now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Above 2.95 million | 93% | 88¢ | 97¢ | $1.03 | 1.2K | |
| Above 3 million | 80% | 75¢ | 85¢ | $1.18 | 750 | |
| Above 3.05 million | 50% | 45¢ | 54¢ | $1.85 | 901 | |
| Above 3.1 million | 37% | 32¢ | 42¢ | $2.38 | 2.5K | |
| Above 3.15 million | 25% | 20¢ | 30¢ | $3.33 | 3.6K | |
| Above 3.2 million | 10% | ▲ 1 | 5¢ | 14¢ | $7.14 | 1.0K |
| Above 3.25 million | 5% | ▲ 1 | 2¢ | 8¢ | $12.50 | 506 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Hims
Search ›-
'It had to be him!' - Phillipe strikes against HamburgRayan Phillipe, who is currently on a season-long loan from Hamburg, scores for Paderborn to give them the win. WATCH MORE: Football video on BBC Sport 'It had to be him!' - Phillipe strikes against Hamburg. Video, 00:00:15'It had to be… -
Jason Alexander admits ‘Seinfeld’ fame sent him to therapyComedian Tim Young tells Fox News Digital that anti-Israel protesters are interrupting the comedian's stand-up performances in hopes of getting a reaction that will spread across social media. For Jason Alexander, fame wasn't all it was… -
These are the midterm deciders: They voted for Trump and now disapprove of himBreaking news and analysis on politics, business, world, national news, entertainment and more. In-depth DC, Virginia, Maryland news coverage including traffic, weather, crime, education, restaurant reviews and more. They’re a small but… -
Trump's Words Used Against Him in Alaska Lawsuit, DOJ Sanctions SoughtOct 24, 2026 at 08:43 AM EDT Oct 24, 2026 at 10:11 AM EDT President Trump’s words were used against him in a legal motion filed on Friday seeking to dismiss a lawsuit brought by the Department of Justice (DOJ) that could potentially block… -
Ric Flair makes first statement after scary fall that left him hospitalizedRic Flair is back home after a scary fall outside a Tampa restaurant Friday that left him hospitalized. Flair, who is dealing with blood clots, “suddenly fell and injured his face,” after walking out of the restaurant and across the street… -
Bruins Postgame: James Hagens Is Giving Marco Sturm More Reasons to Trust HimThe Boston Bruins are getting more out of James Hagens than what shows up on the scoresheet. The Bruins (9-2-1) extended their point streak to eight with a 6-4 win over the San Jose Sharks (6-5-1) on Saturday night at TD Garden. Hagens… -
Barcelona summer signing names the teammate who has surprised him the mostBarcelona star Anthony Gordon has this weekend named the player who has surprised him most with his talents in training since his arrival in Catalunya's capital. Attacker Gordon of course swapped English football for Spanish this past… -
Zohran Mamdani’s contempt for doing his job will cost him — and NYCThe Post’s exposure of Mayor Zohran Mamdani’s weird habit of not bothering to sign bills into law bodes ill for him and for the city. He’s taken the trouble to sign just one in his first 10 months, vs. 30, 47 and 28 for the last three… -
Josh Brolin credits strict morning ritual with helping him stay sober for 12 yearsThe trailer for 20th Century Studios' "Whalefall" starring Austin Abrams, Josh Brolin, John Ortiz and Elisabeth Shue. Directed by Brian Duffield. Josh Brolin starts his mornings with a commitment to sobriety. The "Dune" star said he joins… -
Tom Kean had everything going for him. Then the Republican New Jersey congressman disappearedEven with a multimillion-dollar war chest, the US representative faces a stiff fight for his seat from Democrat Rebecca Bennett The stars above New Jersey seemed aligned for Tom Kean Jr. The Republican congressman had a war chest of more… -
Ric Flair shows off eyepatch in update after fall left him hospitalized: 'I will be okay'WWE star Drew McIntyre plays coy when asked about his return to the ring in an interview with OutKick. Ric Flair was in good spirits on Saturday after a fall the day before forced him to land in the hospital. The pro wrestling legend was… -
Trump praises Elon Musk as a 'genius' while defending him against potential Democratic probesPresident Donald Trump told FOX Business that Americans have an "obligation to protect our geniuses," defending Elon Musk as a "brilliant guy" when asked whether Democrats could target the billionaire if they win control of Congress…
Related markets
All companies ›Largest Company end of December 2026?
60%NVIDIA
- NVIDIA60%▲ 1
- Apple38%▼ 1
- Alphabet1%
5 more
- Microsoft1%
- SpaceX<1%
- Tesla<1%
- Saudi Aramco<1%
- Amazon<1%
Largest Company end of October 2026?
66%NVIDIA
- NVIDIA66%▲ 5
- Apple30%▼ 7
- Alphabet<1%
6 more
- Microsoft<1%
- Tesla<1%
- Saudi Aramco<1%
- Broadcom<1%
- Amazon<1%
- SpaceX<1%
Walmart Credit Card Spend in October (October 2026)
100.3median
92112
Median 100.3Middle half 96.9 – 101.9
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by...?
>99%October 31
- October 31>99%
- December 31>99%
United Airlines Credit Card Spend in October (October 2026)
106.7median
91117
Median 106.7Middle half 104.9 – 109.7
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions