María Corina Machado enters Venezuela by...?
>99%October 31
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How much will the US acquire Greenland for?
The odds
$-2.51median
$-7$1,499
Median $-2.51Middle half $-4.76 – $-0.2675
How the odds have moved
Median: $-2.60 on Oct 20, $-2.51 now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $0 / No Acquisition | 89% | 90¢ | 90¢ | $1.11 | 881.0K | |
| $1 billion to $9 billion | 1% | 1¢ | 2¢ | $41.67 | 104.3K | |
| $10 billion to $99 billion | 2% | 1¢ | 3¢ | $40.00 | 129.8K | |
| $100 billion to $299 billion | 3% | 1¢ | 4¢ | $25.64 | 120.7K | |
| $300 billion to $599 billion | 2% | 1¢ | 3¢ | $31.25 | 120.8K | |
| $600 billion to $899 billion | 2% | 1¢ | 3¢ | $33.33 | 202.8K | |
| $900 billion to $1199 billion | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | 130.4K | ||
| $1.2 trillion or more | 1% | 1¢ | 1¢ | 93.0K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Greenland
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US oil company holds key to Trump's Greenland drilling ambitionsGreenland Energy CEO Robert Price says the United States needs to look to "friendly jurisdictions" to become independent from foreign supplies of oil. His company is in the permitting process and plans to drill wells in Greenland in 2027… -
Denmark handed Greenland over to US — TrumpThe US leader emphasized that "it's going to go down as the greatest real estate deal in history, probably after Venezuela" - Russian Politics & Diplomacy Russian Politics & DiplomacyInto section â- Business & Economy Business &… -
Donald Trump Falsely Claims US Acquired Greenland and Venezuela at Georgia RallyFormer US President Donald Trump recently made a controversial claim at a Georgia rally, asserting that the United States ... - Latest News. Find Breaking Headlines, Current and Latest international news at Lokmattimes.com Former US… -
President Trump Announces We Got Greenland AND Venezuela — The Press Won’t Talk About It!President Trump just said out loud what the political class and its media partners would rather leave buried: America came out of the Greenland standoff and the Venezuela crisis holding two enormous strategic wins. Speaking Saturday night… -
‘We got them both’: Trump claims US has Greenland and Venezuela- the facts tell a different storyThe October 22 US-Denmark agreement focuses on shipbuilding and maritime cooperation, not territorial ownership. Georgia (United States): US President Donald Trump has claimed that the United States has secured control of both Greenland… -
At NATO summit, Trump pressures allies on loyalty, defense spending and GreenlandNew U.S. strikes on Iran come against the backdrop of the NATO summit in Turkey, where leaders are hoping to strengthen Europe’s ability to defend itself. President Trump brought his long-standing criticisms of European countries, once… -
Opinion | Why Trump is so interested in GreenlandIn the aftermath of his imperialist usurpation of Venezuela’s oil, he set his sights on Iran. As that war imploded, he resorted to a huge oil deal with President Vladimir Putin of Russia aimed at ... Trump’s misguided obsession with… -
Greenland shark found to be oldest vertebrate, living up to 400 yearsAt SSBCrack News, our dedicated editorial team brings you the latest and most reliable updates on Defence, Geopolitics, Military Affairs, Science, and Technology. Driven by a passion for national security and strategic awareness, the… -
Will Greenland Be Trump’s Alaska?Not sure what fits? A licensed AMAC advisor will walk you through it, at no cost. Critics mocked the purchase of Alaska - but the Last Frontier would ultimately become vital to American prosperity and national defense. Could Trump's… - Pages 2k Greenland Proxy TemperaturesSome of the problems with figure 1 are statistical and similar to the problems with Mann’s hockey stick. This post is about selected and well-known Greenland ice core proxies and the technical problems using them to compute temperatures…
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Tobias Friedrich Reveals Greenland’s Stunning Shades of Water and IceTobias Friedrich, together with freediver Anna von Boetticher, takes us deep into the frigid waters of East Greenland to reveal what lies beneath the ice. The Phoblographer may receive affiliate compensation for products purchased using…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 5 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions