How much government spending will Trump cut before 2027?
5%At least 50 billion
-1503,000
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How much government spending will Trump cut before his term ends? (Before 2029)
The odds
6%At least $1 billion
$-48$3,000
How the odds have moved
Not enough history yet.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least $1 billion | 6% | 2¢ | 9¢ | $11.11 | 4.0K | |
| At least 50 billion | 5% | 2¢ | 8¢ | $12.50 | 1.1K | |
| At least 100 billion | 5% | ▼ 1 | 1¢ | 8¢ | $12.50 | 545 |
| At least 150 billion | 5% | ▼ 1 | 1¢ | 8¢ | $12.50 | 144 |
| At least 200 billion | 5% | 5¢ | 6¢ | $16.67 | 736 | |
| At least 250 billion | 4% | 1¢ | 5¢ | $20.00 | 37.3K | |
| At least 500 billion | 4% | 1¢ | 6¢ | $18.18 | 12.5K | |
| At least 750 billion | 4% | 5¢ | 6¢ | $16.95 | 9.9K | |
| At least 1 trillion | 4% | 2¢ | 6¢ | $15.63 | 16.5K | |
| At least 2 trillion | 4% | 2¢ | 6¢ | $17.86 | 10.6K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Trump
Search ›No recent headlines name this market's subject.
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Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.