How many states will elect a governor and senator from different parties this year? (Directional) (2026 midterms)

Kalshi Elections › Governors Closes Nov 3 · $129 today · $1.2K traded · $1.2K at stake · prices read 59 min ago

The odds

5.17median
09
Median 5.17Middle half 3.72 – 5.94

How the odds have moved

Median: 5.34 on Oct 19, 5.17 now.

The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Contracts
At least 1 97% 95¢ 98¢ $1.02 46.00
At least 2 96% 94¢ 98¢ $1.02 26.00
At least 3 91% 89¢ 92¢ $1.09 369
At least 4 69% 67¢ 71¢ $1.41 463
At least 5 56% ▲ 1 52¢ 59¢ $1.69 693
At least 6 23% ▲ 1 19¢ 27¢ $3.70 500
At least 7 15% ▲ 1 11¢ 19¢ $5.26 1.00
At least 8 7% 4¢ 9¢ $11.11 54.00

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Directional

Search ›

No recent headlines name this market's subject.

Related markets

All governors ›
Elections › Governors

California Governor Election Winner

97%Xavier Becerra
  • Xavier Becerra97%
  • Steve Hilton3%
  • Rick Caruso<1%
20 more
  • Alex Padilla<1%
  • Katie Porter<1%
  • Antonio Villaraigosa<1%
  • Stephen Cloobeck<1%
  • Butch Ware<1%
  • Betty Yee<1%
  • Toni Atkins<1%
  • Kyle Langford<1%
  • Chad Bianco<1%
  • Eleni Kounalakis<1%
  • Daniel Mercuri<1%
  • Tony Thurmond<1%
  • Michael Younger<1%
  • Leo Zacky<1%
  • Nicole Shanahan<1%
  • Eric Swalwell<1%
  • Tom Steyer<1%
  • Kamala Harris<1%
  • Matt Mahan<1%
  • Elaine Culotti<1%

Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.