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Gold price on Oct 20, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Settled $4,125.25A day before, traders had a median of $4,147
The last odds before it closed
- ✓ Above $3971100%
- ✓ Above $3981100%
- ✓ Above $3991100%
- ✓ Above $4001100%▲ 1
- ✓ Above $4011100%▲ 1
- ✓ Above $4021100%▲ 1
- ✓ Above $4031100%▲ 2
- ✓ Above $4041100%▲ 2
- ✓ Above $4051100%▲ 3
- ✓ Above $4061100%▲ 3
- ✓ Above $4071100%▲ 3
- ✓ Above $4081100%▲ 5
28 more
- ✓ Above $4091100%▲ 8
- ✓ Above $4101100%▲ 13
- ✓ Above $4111100%▲ 20
- ✓ Above $412199%▲ 27
- Above $41311%▼ 59
- Above $41411%▼ 48
- Above $41511%▼ 36
- Above $41611%▼ 25
- Above $41711%▼ 16
- Above $41811%▼ 10
- Above $41911%▼ 10
- Above $42011%▼ 6
- Above $42111%▼ 4
- Above $42211%▼ 2
- Above $42311%▼ 2
- Above $42411%▼ 2
- Above $42511%▼ 2
- Above $42611%▼ 1
- Above $42711%▼ 1
- Above $42811%▼ 1
- Above $42911%
- Above $43011%
- Above $43111%
- Above $43211%
- Above $43311%
- Above $43411%
- Above $43511%
- Above $43611%
How the odds have moved
Median: $4,147 on Oct 19, $4,126 now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Last odds | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ✓ Above $3971 | 100% | 1.00 | ||||
| ✓ Above $3981 | 100% | 1.00 | ||||
| ✓ Above $3991 | 100% | 1.00 | ||||
| ✓ Above $4001 | 100% | |||||
| ✓ Above $4011 | 100% | |||||
| ✓ Above $4021 | 100% | 909 | ||||
| ✓ Above $4031 | 100% | 512 | ||||
| ✓ Above $4041 | 100% | 2.4K | ||||
| ✓ Above $4051 | 100% | 2.0K | ||||
| ✓ Above $4061 | 100% | 1.7K | ||||
| ✓ Above $4071 | 100% | 2.0K | ||||
| ✓ Above $4081 | 100% | 4.8K | ||||
| ✓ Above $4091 | 100% | 5.1K | ||||
| ✓ Above $4101 | 100% | 6.5K | ||||
| ✓ Above $4111 | 100% | 13.4K | ||||
| ✓ Above $4121 | 99% | 21.5K | ||||
| ✗ Above $4131 | 1% | 31.1K | ||||
| ✗ Above $4141 | 1% | 10.1K | ||||
| ✗ Above $4151 | 1% | 6.3K | ||||
| ✗ Above $4161 | 1% | 2.8K | ||||
| ✗ Above $4171 | 1% | 5.5K | ||||
| ✗ Above $4181 | 1% | 6.9K | ||||
| ✗ Above $4191 | 1% | 1.8K | ||||
| ✗ Above $4201 | 1% | 1.6K | ||||
| ✗ Above $4211 | 1% | 1.1K | ||||
| ✗ Above $4221 | 1% | 2.6K | ||||
| ✗ Above $4231 | 1% | 1.6K | ||||
| ✗ Above $4241 | 1% | 1.5K | ||||
| ✗ Above $4251 | 1% | 1.2K | ||||
| ✗ Above $4261 | 1% | 701 | ||||
| ✗ Above $4271 | 1% | 697 | ||||
| ✗ Above $4281 | 1% | 510 | ||||
| ✗ Above $4291 | 1% | 1.1K | ||||
| ✗ Above $4301 | 1% | |||||
| ✗ Above $4311 | 1% | 94.00 | ||||
| ✗ Above $4321 | 1% | 94.00 | ||||
| ✗ Above $4331 | 1% | 94.00 | ||||
| ✗ Above $4341 | 1% | 94.00 | ||||
| ✗ Above $4351 | 1% | |||||
| ✗ Above $4361 | 1% |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: gold prices, gold, PM EDT
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Traders see an even chance of trading as high as $107.87.
- Reaches $100>99%
- Reaches $10576%
- Falls to $9523%
- Falls to $908%
Already reached: ↑ $90, ↑ $95, ↓ $90, ↓ $90, ↓ $90, ↑ $90
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What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit Week of October 19 2026?
Traders see an even chance of trading as high as $102.50.
- Reaches $100>99%
- Reaches $105<1%
- Falls to $95<1%
- Falls to $90<1%
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions