The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
Outcome
Chance
Day
Bid
Ask
Pays
Contracts
Above $3824
99%
98¢
808
Above $3834
99%
▲ 1
99¢
Above $3844
99%
▲ 1
98¢
$1.01
Above $3854
99%
▲ 1
98¢
$1.01
2.00
Above $3864
99%
▲ 2
98¢
$1.01
25.00
Above $3874
99%
▲ 3
98¢
$1.01
46.00
Above $3884
99%
▲ 4
98¢
$1.01
Above $3894
99%
▲ 5
98¢
99¢
$1.01
385
Above $3904
98%
▲ 6
97¢
98¢
$1.02
110
Above $3914
98%
▲ 8
97¢
98¢
$1.02
339
Above $3924
97%
▲ 9
96¢
97¢
$1.03
2.00
Above $3934
92%
▲ 6
91¢
92¢
$1.09
450
Above $3944
91%
▲ 7
89¢
90¢
$1.11
6.00
Above $3954
91%
▲ 14
91¢
92¢
$1.09
1.4K
Above $3964
88%
▲ 14
86¢
89¢
$1.12
2.0K
Above $3974
75%
▲ 7
74¢
75¢
$1.33
1.2K
Above $3984
75%
▲ 14
74¢
75¢
$1.33
2.4K
Above $3994
68%
▲ 14
67¢
68¢
$1.47
7.7K
Above $4004
56%
▲ 8
55¢
56¢
$1.79
6.9K
Above $4014
45%
▼ 1
44¢
45¢
$2.22
2.5K
Above $4024
39%
▼ 6
37¢
41¢
$2.44
1.2K
Above $4034
30%
▲ 7
28¢
31¢
$3.23
1.5K
Above $4044
21%
▲ 5
19¢
23¢
$4.35
986
Above $4054
14%
▲ 3
13¢
16¢
$6.25
234
Above $4064
8%
▼ 2
7¢
8¢
$12.50
1.1K
Above $4074
6%
▼ 2
5¢
6¢
$16.67
332
Above $4084
5%
▼ 1
4¢
5¢
$20.00
170
Above $4094
3%
▼ 2
2¢
3¢
$33.33
655
Above $4104
3%
3¢
4¢
$25.00
1.0K
Above $4114
3%
3¢
4¢
$25.00
125
Above $4124
2%
▼ 2
1¢
2¢
$50.00
223
Above $4134
2%
2¢
3¢
$33.33
189
Above $4144
1%
▼ 1
2¢
$50.00
34.00
Above $4154
1%
▼ 1
1¢
$100.00
Above $4164
1%
▼ 1
1¢
$100.00
Above $4174
1%
▼ 1
1¢
$100.00
Above $4184
1%
1¢
$100.00
21.00
Above $4194
1%
1¢
$100.00
50.00
Above $4204
1%
▼ 1
1¢
$100.00
94.00
Above $4214
1%
▼ 1
1¢
$100.00
213
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions