Another critical Cloudflare incident by...?
99%October 31
- October 3199%▲ 1
- November 3099%▲ 1
- December 3199%▲ 14
Install
First Solar module volume sold in Q3 (module volume sold in Q3 2026)
The odds
4,197median
3,6005,500
Median 4,197Middle half 4,041 – 4,363
How the odds have moved
Median: 4,197 on Oct 20, 4,197 now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Above 3700 mw | 98% | 97¢ | 98¢ | $1.02 | 7.8K | |
| Above 3800 mw | 96% | 95¢ | 96¢ | $1.04 | 10.0K | |
| Above 3900 mw | 93% | 92¢ | 93¢ | $1.08 | 4.7K | |
| Above 4000 mw | 82% | 81¢ | 82¢ | $1.22 | 6.3K | |
| Above 4100 mw | 66% | 65¢ | 66¢ | $1.52 | 6.7K | |
| Above 4200 mw | 50% | 49¢ | 50¢ | $2.00 | 2.8K | |
| Above 4300 mw | 35% | 34¢ | 35¢ | $2.86 | 1.9K | |
| Above 4400 mw | 20% | 19¢ | 20¢ | $5.00 | 3.6K | |
| Above 4500 mw | 11% | ▲ 1 | 10¢ | 11¢ | $9.09 | 5.8K |
| Above 4600 mw | 7% | 6¢ | 7¢ | $14.29 | 5.6K | |
| Above 4700 mw | 3% | 2¢ | 4¢ | $25.00 | 3.5K | |
| Above 4800 mw | 3% | 3¢ | 4¢ | $25.00 | 17.2K | |
| Above 4900 mw | 3% | 2¢ | 3¢ | $33.33 | 1.2K | |
| Above 5000 mw | 2% | 1¢ | 2¢ | $50.00 | 44.9K | |
| Above 5100 mw | 2% | 1¢ | 2¢ | $50.00 | 9.4K | |
| Above 5200 mw | 1% | 1¢ | $100.00 | 26.9K | ||
| Above 5300 mw | 1% | 1¢ | $100.00 | 6.7K | ||
| Above 5400 mw | 1% | 1¢ | $100.00 | 5.6K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Solar
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BBC Learning English - 6 Minute English / Space-saving solar hacksSolar power is key for meeting net-zero targets, but how can we find space to build more solar panels? Neil and Beth discuss this and teach you some useful vocabulary. Which ancient Greek philosopher was responsible for using reflected… -
Grant program provides solar power for Minnesota schoolsCBS News Minnesota is a local news organization that is part of CBS News and Stations. Also referred to as WCCO-TV and channel 4, CBS News Minnesota offers local breaking news, weather coverage and investigative reporting. Grant program… -
Minnesota on track to debut 400th solar-powered school this yearCBS News Minnesota is a local news organization that is part of CBS News and Stations. Also referred to as WCCO-TV and channel 4, CBS News Minnesota offers local breaking news, weather coverage and investigative reporting. Minnesota on… -
Minnesota on track to debut 400th solar-powered school by end of 2026October 22, 2026 / 2:02 PM CDT / CBS Minnesota Minnesota is on track to convert its 400th solar-powered school by the end of 2026. On Thursday, Justice Alan Page Elementary in Maplewood held a celebration to mark reaching the sun-fueled… -
Coolfly’s solar-powered Aura Smart Bird Feeder is nearly 50 percent offI’m not sure when birdwatching became so popular, but it seems everybody’s getting into it these days. If you want to see what all the fuss is about without leaving your couch, both Coolfly and Birdfy are discounting their camera-equipped… -
The 2027 total solar eclipse will plunge these 10 ancient Egyptian temples and monuments into darknessThe "eclipse of the century" will plunge some of ancient Egypt's most spectacular sites into darkness on Aug. 2, 2027. These temples, tombs and monuments are inside the path of totality. Location: East bank of Luxor, Egypt If one temple is… -
KIER Addresses Solar Cell Lifespan Challenges to Advance Next-Generation Solar Cell Commercialization■ To address these limitations, the KIER research team has developed a novel catalytic and filtration process in which lithium salts are used only to induce the necessary chemical reactions before the lithium ions are extracted together… -
Solar Expansion and the Evening PeakSENER and CFEâs solar-plus-storage wave requires CENACE market design updates by 2029 to prevent capacity price collapse, writes Luis Arias. Join our expert contributor program Between 2026 and 2029, the Ministry of Energy (SENER) and… -
Solar farm development will be good for Jay | LetterMaine’s top source for news and information. You are able to gift 5 more articles this month. Anyone can access the link you share with no account required. Learn more. With a The Portland Press Herald subscription, you can gift 5 articles… -
Helcro Solar on What Happens to Old Panels as Australia Moves Toward Mandatory Solar RecyclingSOUTH MELBOURNE, Australia – TBA – Helcro Solar, a CEC-accredited solar retailer operating in Melbourne for 18 years, says the question it is being asked more frequently as Australia approaches 500,000 battery installations is the one that… - Helcro Solar: New Rules Cut Commercial Solar Costs by 20% for Businesses, Strata and FarmsHelcro Solar is an Australian-owned solar retailer based in South Melbourne, providing solar panel installation, battery storage, home electrification, and electrical services to homes and businesses across Melbourne and Victoria since…
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Best 5 Solar Installers in SaskatoonA tech enthusiast and visionary thinker, exploring the ever-evolving landscape of innovation. With a knack for demystifying complex concepts, Basit's insightful commentary navigates readers through the dynamic world of technology…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions