Will NYC ban horse-drawn carriages in 2026?
98%chance▲ 4
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Jacob Frey out as Mayor of Minneapolis? (Before 2027)
The odds
5%chance
How the odds have moved
Yes: 5% on Oct 20, 5% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 5% | 3¢ | 7¢ | $14.49 | 31.2K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Mayor of Minneapolis, Jacob Frey
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Pandering Mayor Jacob Frey Says Somalis Are Being Targeted Because They’re CEOs and EntrepreneursMinneapolis Mayor Jacob Frey knows how to pander. The Democrat was recently trying to appeal to a crowd at a Somali networking event. During the gathering, he tried to paint Somali Minnesotans as victims. Then he delivered the pandering… -
Minneapolis opens 12 pop-up early voting sites across the city ahead of Nov. 3 electionOctober 19, 2026 / 12:22 PM CDT / CBS Minnesota Minneapolis is expanding early voting opportunities with 12 pop-up locations opening across the city Monday as officials encourage residents to cast their ballots before Election Day. The… -
Minnesota Now: Oct. 19, 2026Immigrant advocates in Minnesota say they're seeing the federal government revoke refugee status for some who have already been vetted. We'll hear more about how this could be a continuation of a campaign for more deportations by the Trump… -
Trump promises whistleblowers they could ‘become rich’ exposing fraud. Critics see contradictionsOpponents point to the president’s dismissal of inspectors general and pardons of people convicted of fraud as they challenge his new program. President Donald Trump and Vice President JD Vance announced on Tuesday a new incentive for… -
Minneapolis’ Nicollet Mall doesn’t have to stay stuck at second-rateNicollet Mall, the 1960s-era transformation of downtown Minneapolis’ main shopping street, has stagnated for so long that even saying so has become cliché. Go there outside of 10 a.m. and 2 p.m. and it compares poorly to main streets of… -
Antisemitic Streamer Hasan Piker to Headline Minneapolis Event With Ilhan Omar, Omar FatehMonday, October 19th | 8 Heshvan 5787 Minnesota state Sen. Omar Fateh is scheduled to host US Rep. Ilhan Omar (D-MN) and political streamer Hasan Piker at a Minneapolis event on Oct. 26, drawing attention to the political alliances among… -
Minneapolis climate program advocates push back against proposed budget cutsOn a corner lot in south Minneapolis, community gardeners celebrated the end of the season Saturday by cooking blue corn tortillas over a fire. Leticia Cordova said they grew the corn a few yards away. It was “everybody’s work,” she said… -
Minnesota’s Fifth Congressional District Loves ImmigrantsIlhan Omar was in the news recently because of a contemptible, despicable raid on her home. She’s the representative from Minnesota’s Fifth Congressional District which has been represented by a Democrat since 1963. That’s 64 consecutive… -
Federal authorities announce end to immigration crackdown in MinnesotaFederal officials in the US have announced an end to an immigration crackdown in Minnesota that led to mass detentions, protests and two deaths. “As a result of our efforts here, Minnesota is now less of a sanctuary state for criminals,”… -
Minneapolis Council Fails to Override Frey's Veto of Driverless Rideshare Rules as Saint Paul Begins Separate ReviewMINNEAPOLIS, Minn. | October 17, 2026 Minneapolis Mayor Jacob Frey's veto of proposed regulations for autonomous rideshare vehicles will remain in effect after the City Council failed Thursday to secure the nine votes required to overturn… -
Minneapolis City Council fails to override mayor's veto on driverless vehicle ordinanceOctober 15, 2026 / 10:02 AM CDT / CBS Minnesota A vote to override Minneapolis Mayor Jacob Frey's veto of the City Council's rideshare ordinance that would require a human monitor in the driverless vehicles failed Thursday morning at City… -
Frey nominates Bill Peterson as MPD chief, drawing oppositionMinneapolis Mayor Jacob Frey nominated interim Police Chief Bill Peterson on Oct. 9 to lead the Minneapolis Police Department permanently, setting up a City Council confirmation fight over who should run a department still under pressure…
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Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.