Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
2%chance
Install
Will FERC move to break up PJM in 2026?
The odds
11%chance▼ 1
How the odds have moved
Yes: 11% on Oct 19, 11% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 11% | ▼ 1 | 7¢ | 14¢ | $7.14 | 2.0K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: FERC
Search ›- POLITICO Pro: ‘Credible threat’: Senate deal boosts FERC’s power over US grid build-outFormer commissioners and staff say Senate permitting reforms would empower the Federal Energy Regulatory Commission to intervene in transmission disputes.
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Fuel groups warn pump prices could rise under potential FERC pipeline pricing shiftBriefs Finance helps everyday people get better with money and invest with confidence, from getting out of debt all the way to investing like an expert. It starts with Market Briefs, a free five-minute daily newsletter, and grows into… -
FERC finds no significant impact from Constitution gas pipeline proposalFERC on Friday gave an environmental all-clear to the proposed Constitution gas pipeline, saying the project and an associated expansion of a compressor station wouldn’t cause major environmental harms. The new analysis marks the latest… -
FERC accepts ISO-NE proposal to establish independent asset condition reviewerAdd quotation marks to find an exact phrase (e.g., “offshore wind”). The Federal Energy Regulatory Commission (FERC) has accepted a proposal to establish ISO New England as the independent reviewer of asset condition projects in the… - FERC Proposes LNG Blanket Authorization ProgramThe commission issued a notice of proposed rulemaking seeking to establish the LNG blanket authorization program, which would allow eligible activities at LNG facilities to proceed without case-specific authorization orders under Sections…
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D.C. Circuit Review - Reviewed: Contract Interpretation, the Plain Meaning Rule, and FERC - Yale Journal on RegulationD.C. Circuit Review – Reviewed: Contract Interpretation, the Plain Meaning Rule, and FERC Yale Journal on Regulation A blog from the Yale Journal on Regulation and ABA Section of Administrative Law & Regulatory Practice. Made possible in… - AI data centers Put FERC Grid Rules Under StrainInterconnection queues were already large before the June 2026 orders. The 2024 FERC State of the Markets report, released in March 2025, put active interconnection requests in RTO and ISO queues at about 2,289 GW at the end of 2024, down…
- FERC in the US proposes speeding up LNG terminal expansions — The HillThe US Federal Energy Regulatory Commission (FERC) has proposed a program to speed up approval of expansions at US liquefied natural gas (LNG) export terminals. As The Hill reports, the commission proposes limiting the deadlines for…
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FERC’s Reliability Office Offers Lessons Learned From 2026 CIP Reliability AuditsThe CIP Report found that most cybersecurity protection processes and procedures adopted by the audited Registered Entities met the CIP Reliability Standards, but gaps remain. Accordingly, the CIP Report provides information and… -
FERC launches first LNG authorisation programmeFollow us on social media for the latest industry news and updates. In a Notice of Proposed Rulemaking (NOPR), FERC proposes to establish an LNG blanket authorisation programme to allow eligible activities at LNG facilities to proceed…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.