Fear & Greed Index on Oct 30, 2026?

Kalshi Finance › Indexes Closes Nov 6 · $258 today · $843 traded · $741 at stake · prices read 79 min ago

The odds

38%Fear

Fear38%▼ 16
Extreme Fear32%▲ 9
Neutral11%▼ 6
Greed2%▼ 5
Extreme Greed1%▼ 1

How the odds have moved

Fear: 50% on Oct 19, 38% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Why it moved

Oct 24, 9 AM ETFear: 47% → 38%

No headline about it in the hours around this move.

The biggest swings over the chart's period, each with the headlines about the market's subject published in the hours before it. News and odds moving together is not proof one caused the other.

Every outcome

Outcome	Chance	Day	Bid	Ask	Pays	Contracts
Fear	38%	▼ 16	39¢	51¢	$1.96	501
Extreme Fear	32%	▲ 9	31¢	33¢	$3.03	1.5K
Neutral	11%	▼ 6	10¢	11¢	$9.09	241
Greed	2%	▼ 5	1¢	2¢	$50.00	3.3K
Extreme Greed	1%	▼ 1		1¢	$100.00	8.7K

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Fear & Greed Index, Extreme Fear

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Fear & Greed Index Hits 31: Investors Are Running Scared. Should You Be?24/7 Wall St. · 46 h agoCNN’s Fear & Greed Index rose to 31 on Wednesday, deep in “Extreme Fear” territory. A week ago, it read 30. The increase follows a hot inflation report, new attacks in the Middle East, and a selloff in chipmakers as AI debt fears…
Oil Shock: Bitcoin Slips Toward $81,000Trending Topics · 44 h agotrendingtopics.eu “Uptober” can turn quickly: On Wednesday, Bitcoin was closing in on $85,000; by Thursday, the largest cryptocurrency was back at around $81,300 (about €72,500). That is a loss of almost 4 percent over 24 hours, wiping out…
AKE Surges 33.6 Percent as Bitcoin Holds Near 81504The Currency analytics · 31 h agoAKE’s outperformance matters because it shows selective risk-taking is still present even as the broader crypto market remains largely muted and Bitcoin trades near the middle of its recent range. With Bitcoin dominance holding steady and…
Brent crude tops $116 as oil spike drags crypto into risk-off moodCrypto Briefing · 23 h agoSticky inflation expectations and pricier oil left Bitcoin near $81K and squeezed rate-cut hopes across markets Brent crude climbed above $116 a barrel, its first trip to that level since April. Equities flinched, crypto followed, and…
Crypto Today: Bitcoin holds the 50-day EMA as Ethereum and XRP face structural resistanceFXStreet · 28 h agoBitcoin (BTC) gradually ticks up on Friday, trading above $81,000. The Crypto King has recently defended structural support near $80,000, reinforcing the prevailing bullish outlook. Ethereum (ETH) similarly edges higher above $2,400, while…
Pump.fun (PUMP) Price: Faster Buys, Fewer Errors, and a Dip Traders Are WatchingCoinCentral · 30 h agoPump.fun’s token, PUMP, is in focus after the platform made Pump Bridge the default route for cross-chain trades. The bridge replaces Relay inside the Pump.fun app. Your crosschain trades have been slow, broken and overpriced for months…
ARK Surges Past $0.22 with 15.1% Jump in Just One HourCoinfomania · 26 h agoARK price surged 15.09% to $0.2273 in just one hour. Here's why traders are paying attention. ARK jumps 15.09% in one hour, hitting $0.2273. 24-hour performance shows a substantial 28.20% increase. Market sentiment appears to be shifting…
Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP, Dogecoin Sink as Iran War Fears Return: Analyst Says Deeper BTC Correction Won’t Be ‘Weird’TradingView · 37 h agoLeading cryptocurrencies plunged on Thursday as reports of renewed hostilities between the U.S. and Iran spooked investors. Crypto Market Goes ‘Neutral’ Bitcoin went downhill from $84,000 to an intraday low of $80,989, while Ethereum…
Top Reasons Crypto Market Is Dropping TodayCoinGape · 30 h agoAllChained, live data on tokenized treasuries, funds and stablecoins. Who can buy tokenized funds? The crypto market is dropping today with market cap paring earlier gains and sliding to $2.82 trillion, down nearly 90 billion over 24…
Bitcoin Hits Weekly High as Crypto Market ReboundsDecrypt · 3 days agoBitcoin traders and hodlers are breathing this week after a pretty spooky start to the month with the historically best gains. Bitcoin traded near $84,500 on Wednesday, up 2.5% over 24 hours, as the crypto market bounced back from a…
CZ Warns Crypto Users to Stay Alert as PHP Vulnerabilities Put Web Servers at RiskCrypto Economy · 41 h agoHome > Technology > CZ Warns Crypto Users to Stay Alert as PHP Vulnerabilities Put Web Servers at Risk Last Wednesday, October 21, Binance founder Changpeng Zhao urged users to exercise extreme caution when browsing the web following the…
M Jumps 12.3% as Crypto Market Slides 3.6%The Currency analytics · 2 days agoRisk-off sentiment dominated as equities and risk assets pulled back, pushing Bitcoin dominance to 59.4% even as the Fear & Greed Index held at 68 in greed territory. Bitcoin and Ethereum both slipped 1.1% in the last 24 hours while the…

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Finance › Indexes

Fear & Greed Index on Nov 6, 2026?

46%Fear

Fear46%▲ 1
Neutral19%▼ 4
Extreme Fear19%

2 more

Greed12%▼ 5
Extreme Greed3%

Finance › Indexes

Fear & Greed Index on Nov 13, 2026?

33%Fear

Fear33%▲ 2
Extreme Fear21%
Neutral19%

2 more

Greed17%
Extreme Greed5%▼ 1

Finance › Indexes

What will S&P 500 (SPY) hit Week of October 19 2026?

$772.50high with an even chance

Traders see an even chance of trading as high as $772.50 and as low as $757.50.

Reaches $770>99%
Reaches $775<1%

Falls to $765>99%
Falls to $760>99%

Already reached: ↑ $765

Finance › Indexes

Nasdaq 100 Futures Price (Oct 23, 2026)

29,218median

27,80030,300

Median 29,218

Finance › Indexes

S&P 500 Futures Price (Oct 23, 2026)

36%Above 7,275

7,2507,925

Finance › Indexes

IBOVESPA closing level on Oct 26, 2026

213,533median

189,000221,000

Median 213,533Middle half 194,583 – 216,116

Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

About this market

VenueKalshi

Settles onCNN Fear & Greed Index

Trading closesNov 6, 2026 3:00 PM ET

Traded$843 (14,268 contracts)

Today$258

This week$843

At stake$741

Followed here sinceOct 19, 2026

The rules

If the value at 4:00 PM ET on Oct 30, 2026 is Extreme Fear, then the market resolves to Yes.

The full rules are on the market's page at Kalshi.

Reading the odds

A prediction market trades contracts that pay $1 if something happens. Its price is the market's chance: a contract at 62¢ means traders give it 62%. Each number here is the midpoint between the best bid and offer, or the last trade when they are more than ten cents apart.

For a question with many answers (who wins, which range a number lands in), the chances are scaled to add up to 100%. A price ladder ("above 4.25%, above 4.50% ...") gives a whole distribution: its median is where traders see an even chance either way.

Kalshi is a U.S. exchange regulated by the CFTC; its money is counted in contracts, shown here as dollars at their price. Polymarket counts dollars. ForecastEx is Interactive Brokers' exchange, regulated by the CFTC; its contracts too are shown as dollars at their price. Crypto.com lists its markets on Crypto.com | Derivatives North America, a U.S. exchange regulated by the CFTC; it reports the dollars traded. Where more than one asks the same question, each is shown, never averaged.

Prefer betting odds? Switch to American (+150) or decimal (2.50) odds at the top of the page.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.