KalshiFinanceCloses Dec 31 · $60 traded · $20 at stake · prices read 4 h ago
The odds
679.01%median
633.53%846.8%
Median679.01%Middle half643.39% – 712.99%
How the odds have moved
Median: 679.79% on Oct 19, 679.01% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
Outcome
Chance
Day
Bid
Ask
Pays
Contracts
2% or more above base
79%
74¢
84¢
$1.19
3% or more above base
72%
67¢
77¢
$1.30
4% or more above base
66%
61¢
71¢
$1.41
5% or more above base
61%
56¢
66¢
$1.52
27.00
6% or more above base
56%
51¢
61¢
$1.64
7% or more above base
54%
49¢
59¢
$1.69
19.00
8% or more above base
52%
47¢
57¢
$1.75
20.00
9% or more above base
44%
39¢
49¢
$2.04
10.00
10% or more above base
37%
32¢
42¢
$2.38
11% or more above base
33%
28¢
38¢
$2.63
12% or more above base
29%
24¢
34¢
$2.94
13% or more above base
27%
22¢
32¢
$3.13
14% or more above base
24%
19¢
29¢
$3.45
15% or more above base
23%
18¢
28¢
$3.57
13.00
16% or more above base
22%
17¢
27¢
$3.70
17% or more above base
21%
16¢
26¢
$3.85
18% or more above base
20%
15¢
25¢
$4.00
19% or more above base
20%
15¢
25¢
$4.00
20% or more above base
19%
14¢
24¢
$4.17
12.00
21% or more above base
18%
13¢
23¢
$4.35
22% or more above base
17%
12¢
22¢
$4.55
23% or more above base
16%
11¢
21¢
$4.76
24% or more above base
15%
10¢
20¢
$5.00
25% or more above base
14%
9¢
19¢
$5.26
30% or more above base
8%
3¢
13¢
$7.69
160
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions
