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Will DOJ formally investigate Watergate prosecutorial misconduct in 2026?
The odds
8%chance
How the odds have moved
Yes: 10% on Oct 19, 8% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 8% | 6¢ | 9¢ | $11.11 | 6.7K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Department of Justice, Watergate
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Election monitors will observe voting in Adams County, Colorado, Department of Justice saysOctober 22, 2026 / 1:14 PM MDT / CBS Colorado The U.S. Department of Justice plans to send election monitors to Adams County on Election Day in Colorado. According to the Civil Rights Division in the DOJ, the monitors will be there to… -
Ex-adviser to Trump under criminal investigation by Department of JusticeCorey Lewandowski, currently a top aide for homeland security, alleged to have profited off government role Corey Lewandowski, a former political adviser to Donald Trump and top aide at the Department of Homeland Security, is under… -
Is The US Department Of Justice Creating A Constitutional Crisis?This voice experience is generated by AI. Learn more. This voice experience is generated by AI. Learn more. A recent poll shows that nearly 70 percent of people in the United States lack confidence ... Is The US Department Of Justice… -
Bay Area elections offices receive ‘threatening’ letters from Department of Justice as midterms nearFederal prosecutors sent letters to county elections officials in the Bay Area and across California on Friday demanding they set aside ballots that the Department of Justice said may belong to noncitizens, and work with federal agents to… -
United States Department of Justice news - Today’s latest updatesHearn's lawyers complain the inspector general has referred the case to the Office of Professional Responsibility, a unit that was largely gutted and lacks independence. Omar's attorneys asked the government to immediately return the… -
American woman masterminds $6 million marriage fraud scheme, Department of Justice saysDepartment of Justice prosecutors accused U.S. citizen Jennifer Gonzalez Tuesday of fraudulently arranging sham marriages in Massachusetts between American citizens and illegal aliens for over a decade. An American woman living in… -
Department of Justice brings additional noncitizen voting charges ahead of 2026 electionIndependent reporting on state government that impacts Pennsylvania communities — free to read and republish Support the Capital-Star today The Department of Justice has charged nine more Pennsylvania residents with voting as a noncitizen… -
Department of Justice probes Connecticut towns over firearm waiting periodsThe U.S. Department of Justice building in Washington, D.C. Ajay Suresh / Flickr / CC BY 2.0 / Cropped from Original (The Center Square) — The U.S. Justice Department is investigating two Connecticut cities over claims they are violating… -
Newport reaches settlement with U.S. Department of Justice over proposed ICE detention facilityThe City of Newport has reached a settlement with the U.S. Department of Justice (DOJ) following nearly 10 months of litigation over the potential siting of an Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) detention facility in Newport. A… - Department of Justice Tells Multiple California Counties to Verify 'Noncitizen' BallotsAcross California, county registrars are receiving letters from federal prosecutors with the Department of Justice demanding they set aside and provide verification for ballots allegedly submitted by noncitizens. The DOJ is giving…
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US Department of Justice seeks quick action in dispute over alleged California noncitizen voter ballotsABC7 New York Department of Justice seeks quick action in dispute over alleged California noncitizen voter ballots -
California latest target in Department of Justice efforts to end public benefits fraudThursday, Oct. 22, 2026 | 4:02 p.m. LOS ANGELES — More than a dozen people in Southern California were charged with allegedly siphoning nearly $2 billion in fraudulent healthcare costs, the Department of Justice and state prosecutors…
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Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions