Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?
99%chance
Install
Will Trump abolish the Department of Education?
The odds
10%chance
How the odds have moved
Yes: 11% on Oct 20, 10% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 10% | 9¢ | 12¢ | $8.33 | 164.8K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Department of Education
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West Virginia Department of EducationWSAZ HUNTINGTON, W.Va. (WSAZ) - Creating cakes that survive crash test cars, and everything is built by students! We hear all about this week’s Culineering Challenge! More than 1.5 million pounds of meat including hot dogs, bacon and deli… -
Delta school education shows large improvement in Department of Education's annual school accountability documentAcross the Delta, a number of schools were graded by subject proficiency, growth in skills, participation, and graduation. Some of the largest growths were in the Clarksdale and Greenwood-Leflore districts, which jumped approximately 100… -
Florida Department of Education Approves Takeoff by IXL for Statewide AdoptionSep 28, 2026, 08:15 ET Custom-built for Florida's B.E.S.T. Standards, Takeoff's K-5 core math curriculum blends print workbooks and innovative digital tools to help teachers differentiate math instruction TALLAHASSEE, Fla., Sept. 28, 2026… -
Department for Education approves Shropshire Council SEND Reform PlanShropshire Council’s SEND Reform Plan, which it submitted to the Department for Education in June, alongside other local authorities across the country, has been approved. The council is already rolling out improved services through the… -
Swindon SEND plan approved by Department for EducationA new plan to improve support for children with special educational needs and disabilities has been given the green light. Swindon Borough Council’s SEND Reform Plan has been approved by the Department for Education and aims to deliver… -
Facing Another Super Typhoon, Guam Communities Sheltered by the Red Cross and Department of EducationRed Cross volunteer Tim Rohrer leads a family into the Machananao Elementary School shelter before Typhoon Champi. For the third time since April communities on Guam and in the Commonwealth of the Northern Mariana Islands are facing a… -
What is the Department of Education’s plan for primary school consultation?Sir, – In two weeks, on October 31st, primary schools all over Ireland must inform the Department of Education whether they wish to act on the results of last winter’s Primary School Survey. More than 200,000 parents responded, and four in… -
McGraw Hill Says Florida Department of Education Approves K-12 Math ProgramsMcGraw Hill said Thursday the Florida Department of Education has approved all of the company's submitted K-12 math instructional materials, making these available for all 67 school districts... McGraw Hill Says Florida Department of… - Assessment and Accountability Data 2025-2026 - Kentucky Department of EducationAn Official Website of the Commonwealth of Kentucky Supplemental and Historical Data Each year, the Kentucky Department of Education provides comprehensive data on key education metrics about the performance and progress…
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R114M Stolen From Department Of Education: Pastor Thandekile Sibiya Freed On R10K BailMbombela (Nelspruit) – A female pastor arrested for her alleged role in siphoning more than R100 million from the Mpumalanga Department of Education has been freed on R10 000 bail. Pastor Thandekile Sibiya appeared in the Nelspruit… -
October 16, 2026: Albemarle Supervisors want answers from Albemarle School Board, refer list of demands to Virginia Department of EducationAlbemarle County Supervisors have formally asked the Albemarle School Board to produce a lot of information related to policies on mandatory child-abuse reporting and whistleblower protections, and want the school system to produce a… -
U.S. Department of Education Identifies Six Areas of IDEA Noncompliance in MassachusettsOct. 7, 2026, U.S. Department of Education’s Office of Special Education Programs (OSEP) issued a Differentiated Monitoring and Support (DMS) report for Massachusetts. OSEP identified six areas of noncompliance with Individuals with…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.